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This volume compiles some 200 specific policy options for reducing spending or increasing federal revenues in a wide variety of programs. It is the 18th such compendium that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has prepared as part of its annual report to the House and Senate Committees on the Budget.
The policy options included in this report come from many sources, and the Congress has considered most of them at some time in the past. In keeping with CBO's mandate to provide objective and impartial analysis, the discussion of each option presents the cases for and against it as fairly as possible. CBO does not endorse the options included, nor does exclusion of any proposal imply a recommendation for or against it.
The report begins with an introductory chapter that provides general background information on CBO's latest deficit projections and explains how to use the options presented in this volume. The next three chapters include more than 150 options for reducing spending, organized by broad categories that have become the focus for deficit reduction efforts--defense and international discretionary spending, domestic discretionary spending, and entitlement and other mandatory spending. The fifth chapter presents several integrated packages of options for reducing the growth of spending for Medicare and Medicaid instead of a series of individual policy options. The discussion highlights the trade-offs and interactions that must be considered when combining detailed policies into comprehensive proposals. The last chapter presents 39 revenue-generating options. The report concludes with an appendix listing the spending options by the budget functions that would be affected, and a glossary of budget and economic terms.
All divisions of the Congressional Budget Office contributed to this report, which was coordinated by James L. Blum. Edward Davis prepared Chapter 1. The options presented in Chapters 2 through 4 and Chapter 6 were coordinated by Mark B. Booth, David H. Moore, R. Mark Musell, Constance Rhind, and R. William Thomas. Joseph R. Antos and Linda Bilheimer prepared Chapter 5. Budget authority and outlay estimates were coordinated by Paul R. Cullinan, Peter H. Fontaine, Michael A. Miller, and Murray N. Ross. The staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation prepared most of the revenue estimates.
Paul L. Houts and Sherry Snyder supervised the editing and production of the report. Major portions were edited by Paul L. Houts, Sherwood D. Kohn, Sherry Snyder, and Christian Spoor. Marlies Dunson provided editorial assistance during production. The authors owe thanks to Cynthia Cleveland, Sharon Corbin-Jallow, Denise Jordan, Angela Z. McCollough, Ronald Moore, L. Rae Roy, and Simone Thomas, who typed the early drafts. Kathryn Quattrone and Jill Sands prepared the report for publication.
The Deficit Outlook
What Is Needed to Balance the Budget by 2002?
How to Use This Report
Other General Caveats in Using This Volume
TWO DEFENSE AND INTERNATIONAL DISCRETIONARY SPENDING
The National Defense Budget
The International Affairs Budget
How to Use and Combine Savings Estimates
Strategic Systems
DEF-01 Reduce Nuclear Delivery
Systems Within Overall Limits of Start II
DEF-02 Terminate Production of
D5 Missiles After 1997
DEF-03 Reduce the Scope of DOE's
Stockpile Stewardship and Management Program
DEF-04 Focus Theater Missile
Defense Efforts on Core Systems
Navy/Marine Corps Programs
DEF-05 Cancel the New Attack Submarine
DEF-06 Reduce the Number of Aircraft
Carriers and Air Wings to 10
DEF-07 Reduce Procurement of
DDG-51 Destroyers
DEF-08 Terminate the Arsenal
Ship Program
DEF-09 Cancel the Upgrade of
the Navy's F/A-18 Fighter and Buy the Current Model
DEF-10 Cancel the Marine Corps's
V-22 Aircraft Program and Buy CH-53E Helicopters
DEF-11 Reduce Air Force Tactical
Forces
Air Force Programs
DEF-12 Cancel the Air Force's
F-22 Aircraft Program
DEF-13 Buy No More Than 72 C-17s
and Preposition Equipment Instead
DEF-14 Defer Modernization of
Tactical Airlift
DEF-15 Retire Excess KC-135 Tankers
DEF-16 Make the Army Responsible
for Close Air Support
Army Programs
DEF-17 Reduce the Number of Army
Light Divisions
DEF-18 Eliminate Four Guard Divisions
DEF-19 Cancel the Army's Comanche
Helicopter Program
Other Investment
DEF-20 Cut Spending for Dual-Use
Technology Programs to Historical Levels
Military Personnel
DEF-21 Assign a Wartime Function
to Military Personnel in Training or Transit
DEF-22 Restructure Military Housing
Allowances
DEF-23 Reduce the Basic Allowance
for Subsistence of Enlisted Personnel
DEF-24 Restructure Officer Accession
Programs
DEF-25 Restructure the Bonus
Program for Nuclear Officers
DEF-26 Deny Unemployment Compensation
to Service Members Who Voluntarily Leave Military Service
DEF-27 Merge the Army National
Guard and the Army Reserve
Military Health Care
DEF-28 Adopt HMO Staffing Patterns
in Military Medical Facilities
DEF-29 Revise Cost Sharing for
Military Health Care Benefits
DEF-30 Downsize the Military
Medical System
DEF-31 Close the Uniformed Services
University of the Health Sciences
Operation and Maintenance
DEF-32 Close and Realign Additional
Military Bases
DEF-33 Reduce Professional Development
Education
DEF-34 Reduce Funding for DOE's
Cleanup Program
DEF-35 Increase Competition Between
Private-Sector and Department of Defense Housing
DEF-36 Reduce Subsidies for Military
Commissaries
DEF-37 Consolidate the Military
Exchanges and Include Them in the Federal Budget
International Programs
DEF-38 Reduce State Department
Funding and Eliminate Miscellaneous Foreign Affairs Activities
DEF-39 Eliminate Overseas Broadcasting
DEF-40 Recover the Full Cost
of Military Exports
DEF-41 Reduce Security Assistance
DEF-42 Eliminate the Export-Import
Bank, Overseas Private Investment Corporation, and Trade and Development
Agency
DEF-43 Cease Supporting Multilateral
Development Banks
THREE DOMESTIC DISCRETIONARY SPENDING
Recent Developments and Trends
Rationales For and Against Spending Reductions
Process and Presentation
General Science, Space, and Technology
DOM-01 Cancel the International
Space Station Program
DOM-02 Cancel NASA's Earth Observation
System
DOM-03 Eliminate the Experimental
Program to Stimulate Competitive Research
Energy
DOM-04 Reduce the Department of
Energy's Basic Research Programs
DOM-05 Eliminate the Department
of Energy's Applied Research Programs for Nuclear Power and Fossil Fuels2
DOM-06 Eliminate the Department
of Energy's Applied Research Programs for Energy Conservation and for Solar
and
Other Renewable Energy Resources
DOM-07 Eliminate Further Funding
for the Clean Coal Technology Program
DOM-08 Eliminate Energy Conservation
Grant Programs
DOM-09 Eliminate Electrification
and Telephone Credit Subsidies Provided by the Rural Utilities Service
Natural Resources and Environment
DOM-10 Increase Net Receipts from
National Forest Timber Sales
DOM-11 Impose a Five-Year Moratorium
on Land Purchases by the Departments of Agriculture and the Interior
DOM-12 Eliminate Federal Grants
for Water Infrastructure
DOM-13 Cancel Uneconomic Water
Projects
DOM-14 Eliminate the Superfund
Program or Revise Its Cleanup Criteria
DOM-15 Reduce National Weather
Service Costs
Agriculture
DOM-16 Reduce Federal Support
for Agricultural Research and Extension Activities
DOM-17 Reduce Department of Agriculture
Spending for Export Marketing and International Activities
Credit and Commerce
DOM-18 End Small Business Administration
Loans and Loan Guarantees
DOM-19 Reduce Costs of the ITA
by Eliminating Trade Promotion Activities or Charging the Beneficiaries
DOM-20 Eliminate the Advanced
Technology Program
DOM-21 Eliminate the Manufacturing
Extension Partnership and the National Quality Program
DOM-22 Eliminate the Minority
Business Development Agency
DOM-23 Eliminate New Funding
for the Rural Rental Housing Assistance Program
DOM-24 Eliminate New Direct Loans
for Rural Homeowners
Transportation
DOM-25 Reduce Federal Aid for
Mass Transit
DOM-26 Eliminate the Intelligent
Transportation Systems Program
DOM-27 Eliminate the Operating
Subsidy for Amtrak
DOM-28 Eliminate Airport Grants-in-Aid
DOM-29 Eliminate the Essential
Air Service Program
DOM-30 Eliminate NASA's Support
for Producers and Users of Commercial Airliners
DOM-31 Eliminate Cargo Preferences
Community and Regional Development
DOM-32 Eliminate Certain Rural
Development Programs
DOM-33 Eliminate the Economic
Development Administration
DOM-34 Eliminate the Appalachian
Regional Commission
DOM-35 Eliminate or Restrict
Community Development Block Grants
DOM-36 Eliminate Federal Support
for Tennessee Valley Authority Activities
DOM-37 Eliminate the Neighborhood
Reinvestment Corporation
Education, Training, Employment, and Social Services
DOM-38 Eliminate Funding for Head
Start
DOM-39 Eliminate or Reduce Funding
for Title I, Education for the Disadvantaged
DOM-40 Eliminate Funding for
Bilingual Education
DOM-41 Eliminate or Reduce Funding
to School Districts for Impact Aid
DOM-42 Eliminate Funding for
the Safe and Drug-Free Schools and Communities Act
DOM-43 Reduce Funding for Elementary
and Secondary Education Programs
DOM-44 Eliminate 16 Small Grant
Programs in the Department of Education
DOM-45 Eliminate State Student
Incentive Grants
DOM-46 Eliminate Federal Funding
for Campus-Based Student Aid
DOM-47 Eliminate Funding for
the National and Community Service Act
DOM-48 Eliminate the Senior Community
Service Employment Program
DOM-49 Eliminate Funding for
the Arts and Humanities
Health
DOM-50 Reduce the Maternal and
Child Health Care Block Grant and the Preventive Health Services Block
Grant
DOM-51 Eliminate Subsidies for
Health Professions Education
DOM-52 Reduce Funding for Research
Supported by the National Institutes of Health
DOM-53 Limit the Government's
Cost for the FEHB Program by Adopting an Employee Voucher Plan
Income Security
DOM-54 Eliminate Low-Income Home
Energy Assistance
DOM-55 End the Expansion of Programs
for Building New Housing Units for Elderly and Disabled People
DOM-56 Reduce Federal Rent Subsidies
by Shifting Some Costs to Tenants
DOM-57 Reduce the Number of Families
Receiving Rental Assistance
Veterans Benefits and Services
DOM-58 Reduce Staffing at VA
Medical Facilities by 5 Percent
DOM-59 Suspend Funding for Major
Construction of Veterans' Medical Facilities
Administration of Justice
DOM-60 Reduce Funding for Law
Enforcement Efforts to Control Illegal Drugs
DOM-61 Reduce Funding for Justice
Assistance and Certain Justice-Related Activities
General Government, Allowances, and Multifunction
Options
DOM-62 Reduce the Overhead Rate
on Federally Sponsored University Research
DOM-63 Reduce the Number of Political
Appointees
DOM-64 Repeal the Service Contract
Act
DOM-65 Repeal or Modify the Davis-Bacon
Act
FOUR
ENTITLEMENTS AND OTHER MANDATORY SPENDING
Factors Underlying the Growth in Mandatory Spending
Pay-As-You-Go Rules
Program Trends and Options
Energy
ENT-01 Restructure the Power
Marketing Administrations to Charge Higher Rates and End Direct Subsidies
Natural Resources and Environment
ENT-02 Change the Revenue-Sharing
Formula from a Gross-Receipt to a Net-Receipt Basis for Commercial
Activities on Federal Lands
ENT-03 Charge Royalties and Holding
Fees for Hardrock Mining on Federal Lands
ENT-04 Reform Public Land Recreation
Fee Policies
ENT-05 Raise Grazing Fees on
Public Lands
ENT-06 Recover Costs Associated
with Administering U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Permitting Programs
Agriculture
ENT-07 Reduce Loan Guarantees
Made Under the USDA's Export Credit Programs by Eliminating Guarantees
for Loans
to High-Risk Borrowers
ENT-08 Eliminate the Export Enhancement
Program
ENT-09 Eliminate the Market Access
Program
ENT-10 Increase Producer Assessments
to Participants in the Federal Program Supporting the Price of Tobacco
Commerce
ENT-11 Charge a User Fee on Commodity
Futures and Options Contract Transactions
ENT-12 Eliminate the Flood Insurance
Subsidy on Pre-FIRM Structures
ENT-13 Extend and Broaden the
FCC's Authority to Use Auctions to Assign Licenses to Use the Radio Spectrum
ENT-14 Auction a Portion of the
Television Spectrum
ENT-15 Increase Copyright Registration
Fees
Transportation
ENT-16 Impose User Fees on the
Inland Waterway System
ENT-17 Establish Charges for
Airport Takeoff and Landing Slots
ENT-18 Establish User Fees for
Air Traffic Control Services
ENT-19 Increase User Fees for
FAA Certificates and Registrations
Education
ENT-20 Reduce Subsidies for Loans
to Students and Parents
ENT-21 Raise the Cost of the
Student Loan Program to Lenders, Guaranty Agencies, and Schools
ENT-22 Reduce Student Loan Spending
by Including Home Equity in the Determination of Financial Need and
Modifying the Simplified Needs Test
Health
ENT-23 Increase User Fees on
Products Regulated by the FDA
Income Security
ENT-24 Reduce the 50 Percent
Floor on the Federal Share of Foster Care and Adoption Assistance Payments
ENT-25 Reduce Matching Rates
for Administrative Costs in the Foster Care and Adoption Assistance Programs
ENT-26 Reduce Federal Employee
Retirement Costs
ENT-27 End or Scale Back Trade
Adjustment Assistance
ENT-28 Reduce the $20 Exclusion
from Income in Supplemental Security Income
ENT-29 Create a Sliding Scale
for Children's SSI Benefits Based on the Number of Recipients in a Family
ENT-30 Reduce the Federal Matching
Rate and Increase Fees in the Child Support Enforcement Program
Social Security
ENT-31 Reduce the Replacement
Rate Within Each Bracket of the Social Security Benefit Formula
ENT-32 Lengthen the Social Security
Benefit Computation Period by Three Years
ENT-33 Eliminate Social Security
Benefits for Children of Retirees Ages 62 to 64
ENT-34 Consider Veterans' Compensation
When Determining Social Security Disability Income Payments
Veterans Benefits and Services
ENT-35 End Future Veterans' Compensation
Payments for Certain Veterans with Low-Rated Disabilities
ENT-36 End Veterans' Disability
and Death Compensation Awards in Future Cases When a Disability Is Unrelated
to
Military Duties
ENT-37 Eliminate "Sunset" Dates
on Certain Provisions for Veterans in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation
Act of 1993
ENT-38 Revise the Terms of the
Montgomery GI Bill Program
ENT-39 Extend and Increase Copayments
on Drugs and Medical Supplies Provided to Veterans
ENT-40 Increase Beneficiary Cost
Sharing for VA Nursing Facility Care
Allowances (All Functions)
ENT-41 Eliminate the Presidential
Election Campaign Fund and Raise the Limit on Presidential Campaign Contributions
by Individuals
ENT-42 Impose a Cost-of-Capital
Offset Fee on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
ENT-43 Eliminate the One-Dollar
Bill and Replace It with a New Dollar Coin
ENT-44 Restrict Cost-of-Living
Adjustments in Non-Means-Tested Benefit Programs
ENT-45 Apply Means Tests to Federal
Entitlements
ENT-46 Charge Federal Employees
Commercial Rates for Parking
ENT-47 Make Permanent Various
Expiring User Fees Included in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Acts of
1990 and 1993
FIVE MEDICARE AND MEDICAID: DEFICIT REDUCTION AND PROGRAM RESTRUCTURING
I. Medicare
II. Medicaid
SIX
REVENUES
Trends and International Comparisons
Revenue-Raising Options
Raise Income Tax Rates
REV-01 Raise Marginal Tax Rates
for Individuals and Corporations
REV-02 Amend or Repeal the Indexing
of Income Tax Schedules
REV-03 Tax All Corporate Income
at a 35 Percent Rate
Restrict Itemized Deductions and Credits Under the
Income Tax
REV-04 Eliminate or Limit Deductions
for Mortgage Interest
REV-05 Eliminate or Limit Deductions
of State and Local Taxes
REV-06 Eliminate or Limit Deductions
for Charitable Giving
REV-07 Limit the Tax Benefit
of Itemized Deductions to 15 Percent
REV-08 Phase Out the Dependent-Care
Credit
Restrict the Tax-Favored Treatment of Nonretirement
Fringe Benefits
REV-09 Impose an Excise Tax on
Nonretirement Fringe Benefits
REV-10 Tax Employer-Paid Health
Insurance
REV-11 Tax Employer-Paid Life
Insurance
Restrict the Tax-Favored Treatment of Certain Household
Income
REV-12 Decrease Limits on Contributions
to Qualified Pension and Profit-Sharing Plans
REV-13 Impose a 5 Percent Tax
on Investment Income of Pension Plans and Individual Retirement Accounts
REV-14 Tax the Income-Replacement
Portion of Workers' Compensation and Black Lung Benefits
REV-15 Increase Taxation of Social
Security and Railroad Retirement Benefits
REV-16 Tax Investment Income
from Life Insurance and All Annuities
REV-17 Tax a Portion of the Insurance
Value of Medicare Benefits
Increase Taxes Dedicated to Social Insurance Trust
Funds
REV-18 Expand Medicare and Social
Security Coverage
REV-19 Increase the Payroll Tax
Rate for Medicare Hospital Insurance by One Percentage Point
REV-20 Increase the Maximum Taxable
Earnings for the Social Security Payroll Tax
Increase Taxes on Income From Worldwide Activity
REV-21 Curtail Tax Subsidies
for Exports
REV-22 Impose a Minimum Tax on
Foreign-Owned Businesses
Broaden Taxes on Wealth and Capital Gains
REV-23 Tax Capital Gains from
Home Sales
REV-24 Tax Capital Gains Held
Until Death
REV-25 Increase Estate and Gift
Taxes
Curtail Income Tax Preferences for Businesses
REV-26 Amortize a Portion of Advertising
Costs
REV-27 Eliminate Private-Purpose,
Tax-Exempt Bonds
REV-28 Reduce Tax Credits for
Rehabilitating Buildings
REV-29 Repeal the Low-Income
Housing Credit
REV-30 Tax Credit Unions Like
Other Thrift Institutions
REV-31 Repeal Tax Preferences
for Extractive Industries
REV-32 Capitalize the Costs of
Producing Timber
REV-33 Repeal the Partial Exemption
for Alcohol Fuels from Excise Taxes on Motor Fuels
Impose Broad-Based Taxes on Consumption
REV-34 Impose a Value-Added Tax
REV-35 Impose a Broad-Based Energy
Tax
Increase Excise Taxes
REV-36 Increase Excise Taxes on
Tobacco and Alcoholic Beverages
REV-37 Increase Taxes on Petroleum
and Motor Fuels
REV-38 Impose Excise Taxes on
Water Pollutants
REV-39 Impose Excise Taxes on
Air Pollutants
APPENDIXES
A
Estimated Savings from the Administration's 1998 Request for Selected National
Defense Options
B
Spending Options by Budget Function
GLOSSARY
TABLES
1-1.
CBO Budget Outlook Under Current-Policy Economic Assumptions with Inflation
in Discretionary Programs After
1998
1-2.
Illustrative Balanced Budget Path
2-1.
Appropriations for National Defense for Fiscal Year 1997
2-2.
U.S. Military Forces
2-3.
Appropriations for International Affairs for Fiscal Year 1997
2-4.
Alternative Budget Paths for National Defense
3-1.
Budget Authority and Outlays for Domestic Discretionary Programs, by Budget
Function, Fiscal Year 1997
4-1.
Sources of Growth in Mandatory Spending
4-2.
CBO Baseline Projections for Mandatory Spending, Including Deposit Insurance
5-1.
Projections of Medicare Outlays
5-2.
Projections of Medicare Benefits by Type of Service
5-3.
Medicare Spending Compared with Total Federal Outlays and the Economy
5-4.
Medicare Enrollment and Workers per Enrollee
5-5.
Budgetary Impact of Illustrative Medicare Packages, 1998-2002
5-6.
Illustrative Policy Package to Meet a Savings Target of $100 Billion, 1998-2002
5-7.
Projections of Monthly Premiums for Supplementary Medical Insurance
5-8.
Status of the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, 1998-2002 and 2007
5-9.
Illustrative Policy Package to Meet a Savings Target of $150 Billion, 1998-2002
5-10. Federal Outlays
for Medicaid, 1990-1996
5-11. Projections
of Federal Medicaid Outlays, 1997-2002
5-12. Federal Medicaid
Outlays Under the Block Grant Option, 1997-2002
5-13. Federal Medicaid
Outlays Under the Per Capita Cap Option, 1997-2002
5-14. Federal Medicaid
Outlays Under the Option to Reduce Payments to Disproportionate Share Hospitals,
1997-2002
5-15. Federal Medicaid
Outlays Under Options to Change Federal Matching Rates, 1997-2002
6-1.
CBO Projections for Revenues Under Current-Policy Economic Assumptions
6-2.
Individual Income Tax Brackets, 1997
6-3.
The Size of Two Possible Tax Bases for a Value-Added Tax, 1995
A-1. Estimated
Savings from the Administration's 1998 Plan for Selected Department of
Defense Options
FIGURES
2-1.
Outlays for National Defense
2-2.
Outlays for International Affairs
6-1.
Total Revenue as a Share of GDP
6-2.
Revenues by Source as a Share of GDP
6-3.
Total Tax Revenues as a Percentage of GDP, 1994
6-4.
Taxes on General Consumption as a Percentage of Total Taxation, 1994
BOXES
1-1.
Procedures for Controlling the Deficit
3-1.
Categories of Domestic Discretionary Spending
5-1.
Medicare as a Defined Contribution Plan
5-2.
Options to Reduce Growth in Medicare Spending
5-3.
Adjusting Payments for Favorable Selection