Preliminary Analysis of Rivlin-Ryan Health Care Proposal
November 17, 2010 pdf
Letter to the Honorable Paul Ryan
CBO's 2010 Long-Term Projections for Social Security: Additional Information
October 2010pdfadditional infoblog post
The Economic Outlook and Fiscal Policy Choices
September 28, 2010pdfchartsblog post
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate
Historical Data on the Federal Debt
August 5, 2010pdfadditional info
Original and Revised Projections of Crowding-Out Effects in The Long-Term Budget Outlook, 2010
August 3, 2010pdf
Letter to the Honorable Kent Conrad
Federal Debt and the Risk of a Fiscal Crisis
July 27, 2010pdfblog post
Economic and Budget Issue Brief
Social Security Disability Insurance: Participation Trends and Their Fiscal Implications
July 22, 2010pdfblog post
Economic and Budget Issue Brief
Social Security Policy Options
July 2010summarypdfadditional infoblog post
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
June 2010summarypdfadditional infoblog post
NOTE: To correct errors in projections of how the growth of federal debt
would reduce, or crowd out, private investment and thereby lower
gross domestic product in the United States, Figures 1-5 and 1-6
and related text were revised on August 3, 2010. The changes affect
pages 19 through 22 in the pdf of the entire document. (The summary was not affected.)
"Exit Strategy" for Fiscal Policy
December 2009pdfblog post
CBO Director Doug Elmendorf's presentation to The Group of Thirty
Background Paper: How Slower Growth in the Labor Force Could Affect the Return on Capital
October 2009pdfblog post
CBO's Long-Term Projections for Social Security: 2009 Update
August 2009pdfadditional infoblog post
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
July 16, 2009htmlpdfwebcastblog post
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate
Background Paper: CBO's Long-Term Model: An Overview
June 2009pdf
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
June 2009summaryhtmlpdfadditional infowebcastblog post
Federal Budget Challenges
April 2009pdfblog post
CBO Director Doug Elmendorf's Introductory Economics lecture at Harvard University
Updated Long-Term Projections for Social Security
August 2008htmlpdfadditional infoblog post
Long-Term Effects of Indexing the Alternative Minimum Tax and Extending the Tax Reductions of 2001 and 2003
July 17, 2008pdfblog post
Letter to the Honorable Kent Conrad
The Long-Term Budget Outlook and Options for Slowing the Growth of Health Care Costs
June 17, 2008htmlpdfwebcastblog post
Testimony before the Committee on Finance, United States Senate
The Long-Term Economic Effects of Some Alternative Budget Policies
May 19, 2008htmlpdfblog post
Letter to the Honorable Paul Ryan
Growing Disparities in Life Expectancy
April 17, 2008htmlpdfblog post
The Long-Term Budgetary Effects of Three Specified Policy Scenarios
March 14, 2008htmlpdfblog post
Letter to the Honorable John M. Spratt Jr.
Technological Change and the Growth of Health Care Spending
January 2008htmlpdfchartsblog post
Testimony on Growth in Health Care Costs
January 31, 2008htmlpdfchartswebcastblog post
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate
Society of Government Economists Distinguished Lecture on Economics
January 2008pdfblog post
CBO Director Peter Orszag's presentation at the annual meeting of Allied Social Science Associations
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
December 2007htmlpdfadditional infowebcastblog post
Testimony on the Long-Term Budget Outlook
December 13, 2007htmlpdfchartswebcastblog post
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. House of Representatives
The Long-Term Outlook for Health Care Spending
November 2007pdfaudiowebcast
Presentation at the American Enterprise Institute. (Also delivered on November 14, 2007, to the Tax Council and on November 11, 2007, to the New America Foundation)
The Long-Term Outlook for Health Care Spending
November 2007htmlpdfadditional infoblog post
Testimony on the Federal Government's Liabilities Under the Nuclear Waste Policy Act
October 4, 2007htmlpdfwebcast
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. House of Representatives
Potential Cost Savings from the Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program
September 2007pdf
Financing Projected Spending in the Long Run
July 9, 2007htmlpdf
Letter to the Honorable Judd Gregg
Testimony on Health Care and the Budget: Issues and Challenges for Reform
June 21, 2007htmlpdfwebcast
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate
Long-Term Spending on Entitlement Programs
March 8, 2007pdf
Letter to the Honorable Jeb Hensarling
Testimony on Future Medical Spending by the Department of Veterans Affairs
February 15, 2007htmlpdf
Testimony before the Subcommittee on Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies, Committee on Appropriations, U.S. House of Representatives
Is Social Security Progressive?
December 15, 2006pdf
Designing a Premium Support System for Medicare
December 2006pdf
Opening Remarks at the Director's Conference on Long-Term Budget Challenges
December 2006pdf
Comparing Budget and Accounting Measures of the Federal Government's Fiscal Condition
December 2006pdf
Alternatives for Future U.S. Space-Launch Capabilities
October 2006pdf
Testimony on Medicaid Spending Growth and Options for Controlling Costs
July 13, 2006pdf
Testimony before the Special Committee on Aging, United States Senate
Projections of Net Migration to the United States
June 2006pdf
Updated Long-Term Projections for Social Security
June 2006pdfadditional info
Long-Term Analysis of S. 2427, the Sustainable Solvency First for Social Security Act of 2006
April 5, 2006pdfadditional info
Letter to the Honorable Robert F. Bennett
Long-Term Analysis of the Liebman-MacGuineas-Samwick Social Security Proposal
February 8, 2006pdfadditional info
Letter to the Honorable Jim Kolbe
Analysis of Potential Claims Under S. 852, the Fairness in Asbestos Injury Resolution Act of 2005
December 19, 2005pdf
Letter to the Honorable Arlen Specter
Global Population Aging in the 21st Century and Its Economic Implications
December 2005pdf
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
December 2005pdfadditional info
Letter to the Honorable Arlen Specter and the Honorable Patrick J. Leahy regarding S. 852, the Fairness in Asbestos Injury Act of 2005
November 16, 2005pdf
Background Paper: Quantifying Uncertainty in the Analysis of Long-Term Social Security Projections
November 2005pdf
Long-Term Economic Effects of Chronically Large Federal Deficits
October 13, 2005pdf
The Risk Exposure of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
September 2005pdf
The Effects of S. 662 on the Long-Term Financial Outlook of the U.S. Postal Service
September 1, 2005pdf
Letter to the Honorable Judd Gregg
Testimony on Multiemployer Pension Plans
June 28, 2005pdf
Testimony before the Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures, Committee on Ways and Means, U.S. House of Representatives
Testimony on the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation: Financial Condition, Potential Risks, and Policy Options
June 15, 2005htmlpdf
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate
Testimony on Estimating the Costs of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
June 9, 2005htmlpdf
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. House of Representatives
Testimony on Implications of Demographic Changes for the Budget and the Economy
May 19, 2005pdf
Testimony before the Committee on Ways and Means
Remittances: International Payments by Migrants
May 2005pdf
Testimony on the Cost and Financing of Long-Term Care Services
April 27, 2005htmlpdf
Testimony before the Subcommittee on Health, Committee on Energy and Commerce, U.S. House of Representatives
Testimony on the Cost and Financing of Long-Term Care Services
April 19, 2005htmlpdf
Testimony before the Subcommittee on Health, Committee on Ways and Means, U.S. House of Representatives
Long-Term Budget Simulations: Fiscal Impacts of Two Different Tax Policies
March 14, 2005htmlpdf
Letter to the Honorable Nancy Pelosi
The Potential Cost of Meeting Demand for Veterans' Health Care
March 2005htmlpdf
Testimony on the Economic Costs of Long-Term Federal Obligations
February 16, 2005htmlpdf
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate
Long-Term Analysis of the Diamond-Orszag Social Security Plan
December 22, 2004htmlpdf
Letter to the Honorable Larry E. Craig
A Description of the Immigrant Population
November 2004htmlpdf
Measures of the U.S. Government's Fiscal Position Under Current Law
August 2004htmlpdf
Long-Term Analysis of Plan 2 of the President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security
July 21, 2004htmlpdf
Letter to the Honorable Larry E. Craig
Long-Term Analysis of H.R. 3821, the Bipartisan Retirement Security Act of 2004
July 21, 2004htmlpdf
Letter to the Honorable Jim Kolbe
The Outlook for Social Security
June 2004htmlpdf
Tax-Deferred Retirement Savings in Long-Term Revenue Projections
May 2004htmlpdf
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
December 2003htmlpdf
Comparing Budgetary and Trust Fund Measures of the Outlook for Social Security and Medicare
October 10, 2003htmlpdf
Growth in Medical Spending by the Department of Defense
September 9, 2003htmlpdf
Growth in Medical Spending by the Department of Defense
September 2003htmlpdf
Testimony on the Economic Costs of Long-Term Federal Obligations
July 24, 2003htmlpdf
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. House of Representatives
The Future Growth of Social Security: It's Not Just Society's Aging
July 1, 2003htmlpdf
Acquiring Financial Assets to Fund Future Entitlements
June 16, 2003htmlpdf
Social Security Reform: The Use of Private Securities and the Need for Economic Growth
January 3, 2003htmlpdf
Evaluating and Accounting for Federal Investment in Corporate Stocks and Other Private Securities
January 2003htmlpdf
The Impact of Social Security and Medicare on the Federal Budget
November 14, 2002htmlpdf
The Impact of Trust Fund Programs on Federal Budget Surpluses and Deficits
November 4, 2002htmlpdf
Federal Debt and the Commitments of Federal Trust Funds
October 25, 2002htmlpdf
Social Security and the Federal Budget: The Necessity of Maintaining a Comprehensive Long-Range Perspective
August 1, 2002htmlpdf
The Looming Budgetary Impact of Society's Aging
July 3, 2002htmlpdf
A 125-Year Picture of the Federal Government's Share of the Economy, 1950 to 2075
June 14, 2002htmlpdf
Uncertainty in Social Security's Long-Term Finances: A Stochastic Analysis
December 2001htmlpdf
The Long-Term Budget Outlook
October 2000htmlpdf
The Long-Term Budget Outlook: An Update
December 1999htmlpdf
Long-Term Budgetary Pressures and Policy Options
May 1998htmlpdf
An Economic Model for Long-Run Budget Simulations
July 1997pdf
Long-Term Budgetary Pressures and Policy Options
March 1997htmlpdf
Testimony on Long-Term Budget and Outlook Options
January 22, 1997htmlpdf
Testimony on the Long-Run Budgetary Impacts of an Aging Population
March 13, 1996htmlpdf
Testimony before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. House of Representatives
Testimony on How Budget Deficits Affect Long-Term Economic Growth
June 5, 1992htmlpdf
Testimony before the Subcommittee on Deficits, Debt Management and International Debt, Committee on Finance, United States Senate
Budget Projections Through 2001
October 1991pdf
Testimony on Long Range Budget Projections
April 3, 1975pdf
Testimony before the Joint Economic Committee