Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
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Blog Post
Uncertainties in the Economic Outlook
September 7, 2016CBO discusses several uncertainties in the outlook for the U.S. economy, as described in An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2016 to 2026.
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Report
An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2016 to 2026
August 23, 2016The deficit under current law is projected to be larger this year, but smaller over the 2017–2026 period, than CBO projected in March. Since January, CBO has reduced its projections of GDP growth and interest rates over the coming decade.
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Report
The 2016 Long-Term Budget Outlook
July 12, 2016If current laws remained generally unchanged, the United States would face steadily increasing federal budget deficits and debt over the next 30 years—reaching the highest level of debt relative to GDP ever experienced in this country.
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Report
Updated Budget Projections: 2016 to 2026
March 24, 2016CBO projects a $534 billion deficit in fiscal year 2016, about $100 billion more than in 2015. If current laws generally remained unchanged, the deficit would increase from 2.9 percent to 4.9 percent of GDP over the next decade.
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The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2016 to 2026
January 25, 2016CBO estimates that the federal budget deficit in 2016 will be $544 billion, raising debt held by the public to 76 percent of GDP. Solid short-term growth in the economy is projected to be followed by slower growth in subsequent years.
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Report
Updated Budget Projections: 2015 to 2025
March 9, 2015Under current law, CBO estimates the deficit will total 2.7 percent of GDP in 2015, drop to roughly 2.4 percent for the following three years, and then begin to rise. By 2025, debt held by the public is projected to reach 77 percent of GDP.
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Report
Choices for Deficit Reduction: An Update
December 20, 2013Federal debt is projected to rise significantly over the long term. What policy changes could reduce future deficits and thus lower the trajectory of federal debt? What criteria might be used to evaluate those policy changes?