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Updated 19 August, 2004
Changing Ecosystems
A USGCRP Program Element
 

 

Changing Ecosystems

Overview

Recent Accomplishments

Near-Term Plans

New Postings

Archived Postings

Related Sites

Calls for Proposals

For long term plans, see Ecosystems chapter of the Strategic Plan for the Climate Change Science Program (2003) posted on CCSP web site

WaterLiliesCCSP-supported research on ecosystems focuses on: (1) how natural and human-induced environmental changes interact to affect the structure and functioning of ecosystems (and the goods and services they provide) at a range of spatial and temporal scales, including those ecosystem processes that in turn influence regional and global environmental changes; and (2) what options society may have to ensure that desirable ecosystem goods and services will be sustained, or enhanced, in the context of still uncertain regional and global environmental changes. Among the specific focus areas are the cycling of nutrients such as nitrogen and how these nutrients interact with the carbon cycle; key processes that link ecosystems with climate; and options for managing agricultural lands, forests, and other ecosystems to sustain goods and services essential to societies.

 

Strategic Research Questions

8.1.  What are the most important feedbacks between ecological systems and global change (especially climate), and what are their quantitative relationships?

8.2  What are the potential consequences of global change for ecological systems?

8.3.   What are the options for sustaining and improving ecological systems and related goods and services, given projected global changes?

See Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Chapter 8, for detailed discussion of these research questions.

Ecosystems shape societies and nations by providing essential renewable resources and other benefits. They sustain human life by providing the goods and services on which life depends, including food, fiber, shelter, energy, biodiversity, clean air and water, recycling of elements, and cultural, spiritual, and aesthetic returns. Ecosystems also affect the climate system by exchanging large amounts of energy, momentum, and greenhouse gases with the atmosphere. The goal of the Ecosystems research element of the CCSP is to understand and be able to project the potential effects of global change on ecosystems, the goods and services ecosystems provide, and ecosystem links to the climate system.

Climate variability and change can alter the structure and functioning of ecosystems. This, in turn, can affect the availability of ecological resources and benefits, can change the magnitude of some feedbacks between ecosystems and the climate system, and can affect economic systems that depend on ecosystems. Research during the last decade focused on the vulnerability of ecosystems to global change and contributed to assessments of the potential effects of global change on ecological systems at multiple scales.

We now know that the effects of environmental changes and variability may be manifested in complex, indirect, and conflicting ways. For example, warming may enhance tree growth by extending growing season length (in temperate and cool regions), but pathogens better able to survive the winter because of higher temperature may decrease forest productivity and increase vulnerability of forests to disturbances such as fire. Subtle changes in winds over the ocean can affect currents, which in turn may alter the ranges and population sizes of fish species and increase or decrease fish catches. Whether environmental changes result from human activities or are natural in origin, human societies face substantial challenges in ensuring that ecosystems sustain the goods and services on which we depend for our quality of life and survival itself.

Research should be focused on building the scientific foundation needed for an enhanced capability to forecast effects of multiple environmental changes (such as concurrent changes in climate, atmospheric composition, land use, pollution, invasive species, and resource management practices) on ecosystems, and for developing products for decision support in managing ecosystems. Near-term priorities will be placed on economically important ecosystems and special studies relevant to regions where abrupt environmental changes or threshold responses by ecosystems may occur. Investigations will emphasize changes in ecosystem structure and functioning and changes in the frequency and intensity of disturbance processes anticipated to have significant consequences for society during the next 50 years, including altered productivity, changes in biodiversity and species invasions (including pests and pathogens), and changes in carbon, nitrogen, and water cycles.

Ensuring the desired provision of ecosystem goods and services will require understanding of interactions among basic ecosystem processes and developing approaches to reduce the vulnerabilities to, or take advantage of opportunities that arise because of, global and climatic changes. Scientific research can contribute to this societal goal by addressing three questions that focus on linkages and feedbacks between ecosystems and drivers of global change, important consequences of global change for ecological systems, and societal options for sustaining and enhancing ecosystem goods and services as environmental conditions change. This research will produce critical knowledge and provide a forecasting capability that will continuously improve decisionmaking for resource management and policy development.

See also:

Ecosystems [also available: PDF Version].  Chapter 8 from the Strategic Plan for the Climate Change Science Program (July 2003).

Climate -- Ecosystem Interactions.  Presentation from Breakout Session 14 of the US Climate Change Science Program: Planning Workshop for Scientists and Stakeholders, 3-5 December 2002, Washington, DC.

Carbon Cycle -- Ecosystems -- Land Use/Land Cover.  Presentation from Breakout Session 20 of the US Climate Change Science Program: Planning Workshop for Scientists and Stakeholders, 3-5 December 2002, Washington, DC. 


 

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