US Global Change Research Program logo and link to home


Updated 16 January, 2004
The Global Carbon Cycle
USGCRP Program Element

 

 

 

The Global Carbon Cycle

Overview

Recent Accomplishments

Near-Term Plans

New Postings

Archived Postings

Related Sites

Calls for Proposals

For long term plans, see Carbon Cycle chapter of the Strategic Plan for the Climate Change Science Program (2003) posted on CCSP web site

 


Carbon Cycle Science Home Page

 


The Carbon Cycle.  Basic background information from NASA's Earth Observatory Reference section.


Human Interactions with the Carbon Cycle. Summary of a Workshop.  
By Paul C. Stern for the  National Research Council,  Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 2002).

Forest2MRW2CCSP-supported research on the global carbon cycle focuses on identifying the size, variability, and potential future changes to reservoirs and fluxes of carbon within the Earth system; and providing the scientific underpinning for evaluating options to manage carbon sources and sinks. Specific programs and projects focus on North American and oceanic carbon sources and sinks; the impact of land-use change and resource management practices on carbon sources and sinks; projecting future atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane concentrations and changes in land-based and marine carbon sinks; and the global distribution of carbon sources and sinks and how they are changing

See the Carbon Cycle Science Plan
 

Strategic Research Questions

7.1. What are the magnitudes and distributions of North American carbon sources and sinks on seasonal to centennial time scales, and what are the processes controlling their dynamics?

7.2. What are the magnitudes and distributions of ocean carbon sources and sinks on seasonal to centennial time scales, and what are the processes controlling their dynamics?

7.3.  What are the effects on carbon sources and sinks of past, present, and future land-use change and resource management practices at local, regional, and global scales?

7.4. How do global terrestrial, oceanic, and atmospheric carbon sources and sinks change on seasonal to centennial timescales, and how can this knowledge be integrated to quantify and explain annual global carbon budgets?

7.5.  What will be the future atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and other carbon-containing greenhouse gases, and how will terrestrial and marine carbon sources and sinks change in the future?

7.6.  How will the Earth system, and its different components, respond to various options for managing carbon in the environment, and what scientific information is needed for evaluating these options?

See Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Chapter 7, for detailed discussion of these research questions.

Carbon is important as the basis for the food and fiber that sustain and shelter human populations, as the primary energy source that fuels economies, and as a major contributor to the planetary greenhouse effect and potential climate change. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the largest single forcing agent of climate change, and methane (CH4) is also a significant contributor.

Atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and CH4 have been increasing for about two centuries as a result of human activities and are now higher than they have been for over 400,000 years. Since 1750, CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have increased by 30 percent and CH4 concentrations in the atmosphere have increased by 150 percent.

For additional information on the Carbon Cycle Initiative, contact the Carbon Cycle Interagency Working Group's Program Office

Approximately three-quarters of present-day anthropogenic CO2 emissions are due to fossil fuel combustion (plus a small amount from cement production). Land-use change accounts for the rest. The strengths of CH4 emission sources are uncertain due to the high variability in space and time of biospheric sources. Future atmospheric concentrations of these greenhouse gases will depend on trends and variability in natural and human-caused emissions and the capacity of terrestrial and marine sinks to absorb and retain carbon.

Decisionmakers searching for options to stabilize or mitigate concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are faced with two broad approaches for controlling atmospheric carbon concentrations: 1) reduction of carbon emissions at their source—such as through reducing fossil fuel use and cement production or changing land use and management (e.g., reducing deforestation); and/or 2) enhanced sequestration of carbon—either through enhancement of biospheric carbon storage or through engineering solutions to capture carbon and store it in repositories such as the deep ocean or geologic formations.

Enhancing carbon sequestration is of current interest as a near-term policy option to slow the rise in atmospheric CO2 and provide more time to develop a wider range of viable mitigation and adaptation options. However, uncertainties remain about how much additional carbon storage can be achieved, the efficacy and longevity of carbon sequestration approaches, whether they will lead to unintended environmental consequences, and just how vulnerable or resilient the global carbon cycle is to such manipulations.

Successful carbon management strategies will require solid scientific information about the basic processes of the carbon cycle and an understanding of its long-term interactions with other components of the Earth system, such as climate and the water and nitrogen cycles. Such strategies also will require an ability to account for all carbon stocks, fluxes, and changes and to distinguish the effects of human actions from those of natural system variability. Because CO2 is an essential ingredient for plant growth, it will be essential to address the direct effects of increasing atmospheric concentrations of CO2 on terrestrial and marine ecosystem productivity. Breakthrough advances in techniques to observe and model the atmospheric, terrestrial, and oceanic components of the carbon cycle have readied the scientific community for a concerted research effort to identify, characterize, quantify, and project the major regional carbon sources and sinks—with North America as a near-term priority.

The agencies responsible for CCSP carbon cycle research (DOE, NASA, NIST, NOAA, NSF, USDA, and USGS) have planned a coordinated, interagency, and multidisciplinary research strategy to bring together the broad range of needed infrastructure, resources, and expertise essential for providing this information. A continuing dialogue with stakeholders, including resource managers, policymakers, and other decisionmakers, will be established and maintained to ensure that desired information is provided in a useful form.

See also:

Carbon Cycle [also available: PDF Version]. Chapter 7 from the Strategic Plan for the Climate Change Science Program (July 2003).  See also the draft white paper, Carbon Cycle [PDF].

Carbon Cycle.  Presentation from Breakout Session 4 of the US Climate Change Science Program: Planning Workshop for Scientists and Stakeholders, 3-5 December 2002, Washington, DC. 

Carbon Cycle -- Ecosystems -- Land Use/Land Cover.  Presentation from Breakout Session 20 of the US Climate Change Science Program: Planning Workshop for Scientists and Stakeholders, 3-5 December 2002, Washington, DC. 


 

US CCSP  logo & link to home USGCRP logo & link to home
US Climate Change Science Program / US Global Change Research Program, Suite 250, 1717 Pennsylvania Ave, NW, Washington, DC 20006. Tel: +1 202 223 6262. Fax: +1 202 223 3065. Email: information@usgcrp.gov. Web: www.usgcrp.gov. Webmaster: WebMaster@usgcrp.gov