These are formal, refereed papers with SPC affiliated lead authors, which have appeared in or have been submitted to AMS or NWA journals.

Corfidi, S.F., 2003: Cold Pools and MCS Propagation: Forecasting the Motion of Downwind-Developing MCSs. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3156K PDF]

Corfidi, S.F., 1999: The Birth and Early Years of the Storm Prediction Center. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [477K PDF]

Corfidi, S.F., 1996: The Development and Movement of Warm Season Haze over the Central and Eastern United States Published in National Weather Digest. [186K HTML]

Corfidi, S.F., J.H. Merritt and J.M. Fritsch, 1995: Predicting the Movement of Mesoscale Convective Complexes Published in Weather and Forecasting. [43K HTML]

Craven, J.P., R.E. Jewell, and H.E. Brooks, 2002: Comparison between Observed Convective Cloud-Base Heights and Lifting Condensation Level for Two Different Lifted Parcels. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [286K PDF]

Edwards, R., S.F. Corfidi, R.L. Thompson, J.S. Evans, J.P. Craven^*, J.P. Racy, D.W. McCarthy and M.D. Vescio, 2002: Storm Prediction Center Forecasting Issues Related to the 3 May 1999 Tornado Outbreak. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [538K HTML]

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 1998: Nationwide Comparisons of Hail Size with WSR-88D Vertically Integrated Liquid Water (VIL) and Derived Thermodynamic Sounding Data. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [234K HTML]

Evans, J. S., and C. A. Doswell III, 2000: Examination of Derecho Environments with Proximity Soundings. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [270K HTML]

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin, P.R. Janish, S.J. Weiss, M.P. Kay, G.W. Carbin, 2003: Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [1180K PDF]

Kain, J. S., S. M. Goss, and M. E. Baldwin, 2000: The Melting Effect as a Factor in Precipitation-type Forecasting Published in Weather and Forecasting. [985K PDF]

Kerr, B.W., and G.L. Darkow, 1996: Storm-relative Winds and Helicity in the Tornadic Thunderstorm Environment. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [513K PDF]

Ostby, F.P.^*, 1999: Improved Accuracy in Severe Storm Forecasting by the Severe Local Storms Unit during the Last 25 Years: Then versus Now. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [484K PDF]

Rogash, J.A.^*, and J.P. Racy, 2002: Some Meteorological Characteristics of Significant Tornado Events Occurring in Proximity to Flash Flooding. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [54K PDF]

Thompson, R.L, R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close Proximity Soundings within Supercell Environments Obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [2566K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An Overview of Environmental Conditions and Forecast Implications of the 3 May 1999 Tornado Outbreak. Published in Weather and Forecasting [1786K HTML]

Thompson, R.L., 1998: Eta Model Storm-relative Winds Associated with Tornadic and Nontornadic Supercells. Published in Weather and Forecasting [395K HTML]

These are informal research papers with SPC affiliated lead authors, prepared for conferences of the American Meteorological Society, National Weather Association, or other professional organizations. Versions of some of these may be published in the future as refereed papers in AMS or NWA journals.

Banacos, P.C., and D.M. Schultz, 2004: Moisture Flux Convergence: Its History and Application in Convective Initiation Forecasting. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [2710K PDF]

Banacos, P.C., 2003: Short-range prediction of banded precipitation associated with deformation and frontogenesis forcing. Preprints, AMS 10th Conference on Mesoscale Processes (Portland, OR). [642K PDF]

Banacos, P.C., and H.B. Bluestein, 2002: Hodograph Variability within Analytically Modeled Baroclinic Waves. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [357K PDF]

Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, M.S. Wandishin, J.S. Kain, and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: Evaluation of Short-range Ensemble Forecasts during the 2003 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [405K PDF]

Bright, D.R., and P.A. Nutter, 2004: On the Challenges of Identifying the "Best" Ensemble Member in Operational Forecasting. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA. [379K PDF]

Broyles, J.C., and K.C. Crosbie, 2004: Evidence of Smaller Tornado Alleys Across the United States Based on a Long Track F3-F5 Tornado Climatology Study from 1880-2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [2940K PDF]

Carbin, G.W., J.S. Kain, M.S. Bukovsky, and M.E. Baldwin, 2003: Mesoscale Processes Associated with the Rapid Erosion of the "Cap". Preprints, 10th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Portland OR. [854K PDF]

Carbin, G.W., M.P. Kay, and J.A. Hart, 2002: The Map Analog Retrieval System. Preprints, 27th National Weather Assoc. Annual Meeting, Fort Worth, TX.

Corfidi, S.F., J.J. Levit and S.J. Weiss, 2004: The Super Outbreak: Outbreak of the Century. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [1869K PDF]

Corfidi, S.F., D.A. Imy, S.J. Taylor, and A. Logan, 2004: A Preliminary Investigation of Derecho-producing MCSs in Environments of Very Low Dew Points. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [501K PDF]

Corfidi, S.F., 1998: Forecasting MCS Mode and Motion. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis MN [39K HTML]

Corfidi, S.F., 1998: Some Thoughts on the Role Mesoscale Features Played in the 27 May 1997 Central Texas Tornado Outbreak Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis MN [82K HTML]

Craven, J.P.^*, H.E. Brooks and J.A. Hart, 2002: Baseline Climatology of Sounding Derived Parameters Associated with Deep, Moist Convection. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [131K PDF]

Darrow, M.A., and M.L. Rehbein^*, 1996: A Preliminary Investigation of West Coast Convection during the Cool Season Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco CA. [70K HTML]

Dial, G.L., and J.P. Racy, 2004: Forecasting Short Term Convective Mode and Evolution for Severe Storms Initiated along Synoptic Boundaries. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [104K PDF]

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of Anticyclonic Supercell Environments Using Close Proximity Soundings from the RUC Model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [151K PDF]

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2004: Environmental Analysis and Photographic Documentation of an Intense, Left-moving Supercell on the Colorado Plains. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [514K PDF]

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for Modernizing the Definitions of Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [187K PDF]

Edwards, R., 2003: Rating Tornado Damage: An Exercise in Subjectivity. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA. [685K PDF]

Edwards, R., and L.R. Lemon, 2002: Proactive or Reactive? The Severe Storm Threat to Large Event Venues. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [536K PDF]

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of Supercell Motion Forecasting Techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [125K PDF]

Edwards, R., G.V. Rao, and J.W. Scheck, 2000: Examination of Tornadic Supercells in Tropical Cyclone Earl (1998) Using Conventional an WSR-88D Data Suites. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL [249K HTML]

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2000: RUC-2 Supercell Proximity Soundings, Part II: An Independent Assessment of Supercell Forecast Parameters. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL [87K HTML]

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and J.G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of Storm A (3 May 99) along a Possible Horizontal Convective Roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL [158K HTML]

Edwards, R., 1998: Tornado Production During Exiting Tropical Cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Met., Dallas TX [103K HTML]

Edwards, R., 1998: Storm Prediction Center Support for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Met., Dallas TX. [38K HTML]

Edwards, R. and S.J. Weiss, 1996: Comparisons between Gulf of Mexico Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies and Southern U.S. Severe Thunderstorm Frequency in the Cool Season. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco CA. [52K HTML]

Evans, J.S., and C.A. Doswell III, 2002: Investigating Derecho and Supercell Proximity Soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [190K PDF]

Evans, J.S. and R.H. Johns^*, 1996: Significant Tornadoes in the Big Horn Mountains of Wyoming Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco CA. [107K HTML]

Evenson, E.C.^* and J.R. Mecikalski, 1996: Preliminary Evaluation of a PCGRIDDS Macro in Forecasting Dry Microbursts over the Western United States Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco CA. [48K HTML]

Guyer, J.L., and R. Ewald, 2004: Record Hail Event - Examination of the Aurora, Nebraska Supercell of 22 June 2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [2012K PDF]

Guyer, J.L., and T.J. Shea, 2003: An Assessment of the Variability in Operational Assignment of F-Scale Damage. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach CA [PDF]

Guyer, J.L., and M.L. Moritz, 2003: On Issues of Tornado Damage Assessment and F-Scale Assignment in Agricultural Areasi. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach CA [PDF]

Hales, J.E. and M.D. Vescio^*, 1996: The March 1994 Tornado Outbreak in the Southeast U.S. from an SPC Perspective Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco CA [55K HTML]

Kay, M. P.^* and H.E. Brooks, 2000: Verification of Probabilistic Severe Storm Forecasts at the SPC. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL. [105K HTML]

Jewell, R.E.D., and J. Brimelow, 2004: Evaluation of an Alberta Hail Growth Model Using Severe Hail Proximity Soundings in the United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [1162K PDF]

Levit, J.J., V. Lakshmanan, K. Manross and R. S. Schneider, 2004: Integration of the Warning Decision Support System - Integrated Information into the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [60K PDF]

Lynn, R.J., ^* 2002: The WDSS-II Supercell Identification and Assessment Algorithm. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [124K PDF]

Lynn, R.J.^*, and V. Lakshmanan, 2002: Virtual Radar Volumes: Creation, Algorithm Access, and Visualization. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [121K PDF]

McCarthy, D.W., and J.T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado Trends over the Past 30 Years. Preprints, 14th Conf. Applied Climatology, Seattle WA. [218K PDF]

McCarthy, D.W., 2003: NWS Tornado Surveys and the Impact on the National Tornado Database. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA. [1735K PDF]

Racy, J.P., and J.A. Rogash^*, 2002: The Oklahoma Tornado Outbreak and Flash Flood Event of 4-5 October 1998. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [219K PDF]

Sankovitch, V., J.T. Schaefer and J.J. Levit, 2004: A Comparison of Rawinsonde Data from the Southeastern United States during El Niņo, La Niņa, and Neutral Winters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [78K PDF]

Schaefer, J.T., J.J. Levit, S.J. Weiss and D.W. McCarthy, 2004: The Frequency of Large Hail over the Contiguous United States. Preprints, 14th Conf. Applied Climatology, Seattle WA. [2554K PDF]

Schaefer, J.T., and C. Marzban, 2000: Tornadoes in the United States as Related to the Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL. [126K HTML]

Schaefer, J.T., and R. Edwards, 1999: The SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Database. Preprints, 11th Conf. Applied Climatology, Dallas. [266K HTML]

Schaefer, J.T., and F.B. Tatom, 1998: The Relationship between El Nino, La Nina and United States Tornado Activity. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis MN [154K HTML]

Schneider, R.S., J.T. Schaefer, and H.E. Brooks, 2004: Tornado Outbreak Days: An Updated and Expanded Climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [232K PDF]

Schneider, R.S., H.E. Brooks and J.T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado Outbreak Day Sequences: Historic Events and Climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [586K PDF]

Taylor, S.J., D.R. Bright, G.W. Carbin, P.D. Bothwell, and R.J. Naden^*, 2003: Using Short Range Ensemble Model Data in National Fire Weather Outlooks. Preprints, 4th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteor., Orlando FL. [111K PDF] (supplemental web page)

Taylor, S.J., and E.D. Howieson, 2001: A New Approach to Fire Weather Forecasting at the Tulsa WFO. Preprints, 4th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteor., Reno NV. [215K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective Bulk Shear in Supercell Thunderstorm Environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [258K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective Storm-Relative Helicity in Supercell Thunderstorm Environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [215K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An Update to the Supercell Composite and Significant Tornado Parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [134K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and Interpretation of the Supercell Composite and Significant Tornado Parameters at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [170K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An Assessment of Supercell and Tornado Forecast Parameters with RUC-2 Model Close Proximity Soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [145K PDF]

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 Model Analysis Soundings as a Surrogate for Observed Soundings in Supercell Environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [179K PDF]

Thompson, R.L. and R. Edwards, 2000: A Comparison of Rapid Update Cycle 2 (RUC-2) Model Soundings with Observed Soundings in Supercell Environments. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL. [71K HTML]

Thompson, R.L. and R. Edwards, 2000: RUC-2 Supercell Proximity Soundings, Part I: An Examination of Storm-Relative Winds Normalized to Supercell Depth. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL. [195K HTML]

Thompson, R.L. and M.D. Vescio^*, 1998: The Destruction Potential Index: A Method for Comparing Tornado Days. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis MN [44K HTML]

Weiss, S.J., J.S. Kain, J.J. Levit, M.E. Baldwin, and D.R. Bright, 2004: Examination of Several Different Versions of the WRF Model for the Prediction of Severe Convective Weather: The SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2004. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [269K PDF]

Weiss, S.J., J.A. Hart and P.R. Janish^*, 2002: An Examination of Severe Thunderstorm Wind Report Climatology: 1970-1999. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio. [218K PDF]

These are articles written for informal publications, seminars, or presentations.

Corfidi, S. F., 1996: The Colors of Twilight and Sunset. (A slightly altered form of this manuscript appeared in Weatherwise magazine, June/July 1996). [HTML]

Edwards, R. and D.G. Harmon, 1999: Lubbock F-Scale Exercise on Spencer, SD Tornado Damage. Conducted at NWS/Texas Tech Severe Weather Conference, Lubbock TX. [2339K HTML]

McCarthy, D.W., and J.T. Schaefer, 1999: 1998 Weather: Tornadoes. Published in Weatherwise. [89K HTML]

Taylor, S.J., and E. Howieson, 2001: Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas Winter Storm 12-13 December 2000. Conducted at 2001 NWA Severe Storms and Radar Conference. [739K HTML]

Thompson, R.L., 1996: Buoy Observations from the Western Gulf of Mexico during the 1993-1994 Cool Season. [HTML]

^*Affiliated with SPC at the time of the publication