DevCan - Probability of Developing or Dying of Cancer
Statistical models are used to compute the probability of developing and
dying of cancer from birth or conditional on a certain age.
Version 5.2 of DevCan (released April 2004) includes the following features:
- a correction to the piecewise mid-age joinpoint model algorithm [View PDF];
- confidence intervals;
- the ability to get risk estimates from any age to any age;
- summary report containing selected statistics from the detailed reports;
- exporting of rates from SEER*Stat for use in DevCan
All revisions made for the current release of the software are listed in readme.txt. The methods section provides information about the methods used in DevCan including a comparison to methods used in previous versions.
Statistics related to lifetime risks are available from a variety of sources and there are several tools are available for finding or calculating statistics. For help finding the right tool, see What research tool should I use? or choose a method from the list below.
- SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975-2001 includes Lifetime Risk Tables, by cancer site, showing the probability (expressed as a percent) of a person of a specified race, sex, and age (0, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, or 60) being diagnosed with the specified cancer within the next 10, 20, or 30 years or within their remaining lifetime.
- Fast Stats links to tables, charts, and graphs of cancer statistics for all major cancer sites by age, sex, race, and geographic area. Select "Probability of Developing or Dying of Cancer" as the statistic type.
- Cancer Query System: Probability
of Developing or Dying of Cancer provides access to a database of pre-calculated statistics; this allows you to view these statistics without downloading and installing DevCan. The DevCan software provides greater flexibility than
this online database, including the ability to analyze your own cancer data.
- DevCan is PC-based statistical software used to calculate the lifetime risks of being diagnosed with or dying of cancer.
Adobe Acrobat is needed to view documentation in PDF.
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