| Introduction |
In fulfilling its mission of
monitoring the current and future financial soundness of the
Social Security program, SSA's Office of the Chief Actuary conducts extensive
research. We evaluate short-term and long-term demographic and economic
trends and analyze experience in mortality and morbidity rates.
The results of much of this work are made available to the
public through the publication of regular reports and special studies on
many aspects of the Social Security system. The more extensive
of these reports are published in a series of Actuarial Studies (below),
while the briefer reports have appeared in a series of
Actuarial Notes.
If you would like to be notified by email when new actuarial Notes or Studies
become available, please contact actuary@ssa.gov.
If you have a visual impairment and have difficulty accessing any document,
please contact actuary@ssa.gov.
|
| Request a Study or request further information |
To request a Study that is not available online,
please complete our request form. If you have a question regarding a particular Study, send your question and the name of the Study to actuary@ssa.gov.
|
| Number
| Date
| Title |
Author(s) |
| 117 |
September 2004 |
A Stochastic Model of the
Long-Range Financial Status of the OASDI Program (PDF only) |
A. W. Cheng, M. L. Miller, M. Morris,
J. P. Schultz, J. P. Skirvin, D. P. Walder |
| 116 |
August 2002 |
Life Tables for the United States Social Security Area 1900-2100 |
F. C. Bell and M. L. Miller |
| 115 |
July 2001 |
Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001 |
C. Motsiopoulos and T. A. Zayatz |
| 114 |
June 1999 |
Social Security Disability Insurance Program Worker Experience |
T. A. Zayatz |
| 113 |
March 1998 |
Actuarial Tables Based on the U. S. Life Tables: 1989-91 |
F. C. Bell |
| 112 |
August 1997 |
Social Security Area Population Projections: 1997 |
F. C. Bell |
| 111 |
December 1996 |
Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the OASDI Program, 1996 |
N. J. Barrick and T. A. Zayatz |
| 110 |
August 1996 |
Social Security Area Population Projections: 1996 |
F. C. Bell and R. Kumar |
| 109 |
August 1994 |
A Stochastic Evaluation of the Short-Range Economic Assumptions in the 1994 OASDI Trustees Report |
R. S. Foster |
| 108 |
December 1992 |
Economic Projections for OASDHI Cost and Income Estimates, 1992 |
E. B. Yang and S. C. Goss |
| 107 |
August 1992 |
Life Tables for the United States Social Security Area: 1900-2080 |
F. C. Bell, A. H. Wade, and S. C. Goss |
| 106 |
February 1992 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1991 |
A. H. Wade |
| 105 |
June 1989 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1989 |
A. H. Wade |
| 104 |
October 1991 |
Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the OASDI Program, 1991 |
S. F. McKay |
| 103 |
January 1989 |
Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the OASDI Program, 1988 |
S. F. McKay |
| 102 |
June 1988 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1988 |
A. H. Wade |
| 101 |
May 1988 |
Economic Projections for OASDHI Cost and Income Estimates: 1987 |
S. C. Goss, M. P. Glanz, and E. Lopez |
| 100 |
February 1988 |
OASDI Long-Range Beneficiary Projection: 1987 |
J. C. Wilkin |
| 99 |
August 1987 |
Social Security Area Population Projections: 1987 |
A. H. Wade |
| 98 |
January 1987 |
Economic Projections for OASDHI Cost and Income Estimates, 1986 |
S. C. Goss, M. P. Glanz, S. H. An, and E. Lopez |
| 97 |
October 1986 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1986 |
A. H. Wade |
| 96 |
August 1986 |
Actuarial Tables Based on the U.S. Life Tables: 1979-81 |
A. H. Wade |
| 95 |
October 1985 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1985 |
A. H. Wade |
| 94 |
January 1985 |
Economic Projections for OASDI Cost and Income Estimates, 1984 |
S. C. Goss, M. P. Glanz, and S. H. An |
| 93 |
November 1984 |
Disabled-Worker Projections OASDI Cost Estimates, 1984 |
W. B. Kelley and E. Lopez |
| 92 |
May 1984 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1984 |
A. H. Wade |
| 91 |
April 1984 |
Long-Range Estimates of the Financial Status of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 1983 |
S. C. Goss |
| 90 |
February 1984 |
Economic Projections for OASDI Cost Estimates, 1983 |
J. C. Wilkin, M. P. Glanz, R. V. Gresch, and S. H. An |
| 89 |
December 1983 |
Life Tables for the United States: 1900-2050 |
J. F. Faber and A. H. Wade |
| 88 |
August 1983 |
Social Security Area Populations Projections, 1983 |
J. C. Wilkin |
| 87 |
September 1982 |
Life Tables for the United States: 1900-2050 |
J. F. Faber |
| 86 |
July 1981 |
Effects of the Various Social Security Benefit Computation Procedures |
S. F. McKay and B. D. Schobel |
| 85 |
July 1981 |
Social Security Area Population Projections, 1981 |
J. F. Faber and J. C. Wilkin |
| 84 |
October 1980 |
United States Population Projection by Marital Status for OASDI Cost Estimates, 1980 |
J. C. Wilkin |
| 83 |
September 1980 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System, 1980 |
S. F. McKay |
| 82 |
June 1980 |
United States Population Projections for OASDI Cost Estimates, 1980 |
F. R. Bayo and J. F. Faber |
| 81 |
April 1980 |
Experience of Disabled Workers Under OASDI 1974-1978 |
B. D. Schobel |
| 80 |
February 1980 |
Present Values of OASDI Benefits in Current Payment Status, 1979 |
K. Wells |
| 79 |
November 1978 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefits Under OASI, 1975-77 |
K. Wells |
| 78 |
June 1978 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System, 1978 |
F. R. Bayo, J. F. Faber, and W. D. Ritchie |
| 77 |
June 1978 |
United States Population Projections for OASDHI Cost Estimates |
F. R. Bayo, H. W. Shiman, and B. R. Sobus |
| 76 |
June 1977 |
United States Population Projections for OASDHI Cost Estimates |
F. R. Bayo, H. W. Shiman, and B. R. Sobus |
| 75 |
June 1978 |
Experience of Disabled-Worker Benefits Under OASDI, 1972-76 |
F. R. Bayo, S. C. Goss, and S. S. Weissman |
| 74 |
January 1977 |
Experience of Disabled-Worker Benefits Under OASDI, 1965-74 |
F. R. Bayo and J. C. Wilkin |
| 73 |
September 1974 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System, 1974 |
F. Bayo and W. D. Ritchie |
| 72 |
July 1974 |
United States Population Projections for OASDHI Cost Estimates |
F. Bayo and S. F. McKay |
| 71 |
February 1970 |
Actuarial Cost Estimates for Hospital Insurance Program |
R. J. Myers and W. C. Hsiao |
| 70 |
January 1970 |
Analysis of Experience Under Supplementary Medical Insurance Program According to Payment-Record Data |
R. J. Myers |
| 69 |
September 1969 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System, 1969 |
R. J. Myers and F. Bayo |
| 68 |
September 1969 |
Analysis of Experience Under Hospital Insurance Program |
R. J. Myers and M. C. Hart |
| 67 |
August 1969 |
Present Value of DI Benefits in Current Payment Status, 1968 |
F. Bayo and O. R. Nichols |
| 66 |
April 1969 |
Present Values of OASI Benefits in Current Payment Status, 1968 |
B. Oppal and M. A. Lannen |
| 65 |
March 1969 |
Termination Experience of Disabled-Worker Benefits Under OASDI, 1957-63 |
F. Bayo |
| 64 |
|
NOT IN PRINT |
|
| 63 |
January 1967 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System, 1966 |
R. J. Myers and F. Bayo |
| 62 |
December 1966 |
United States Population Projections for OASDHI Cost Estimates |
F. Bayo |
| 61 |
December 1966 |
History of Cost Estimates for Hospital Insurance |
R. J. Myers and C. B. Baughman |
| 60 |
August 1965 |
Mortality Experience of Workers Entitled to Old-Age Benefits Under OASDI 1941-1961 |
F. Bayo and M. P. Glanz |
| 59 |
January 1965 |
Actuarial Cost Estimates for Hospital Insurance Act of 1965 and Social Security Amendments of 1965 |
R. J. Myers |
| 58 |
November 1963 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System, 1963 |
R. J. Myers and F. Bayo |
| 57 |
July 1963 |
Actuarial Cost Estimates for Hospital Insurance Bill |
R. J. Myers |
| 56 |
January 1963 |
Analysis of Benefits Under 26 Selected Private Pension Plans |
J. P. Jones and L. R. Lisle |
| 55 |
December 1962 |
Remarriage Tables Based on Experience Under OASDI and U.S. Employees Compensation Systems |
J. P. Jones |
| 54 |
October 1961 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefit Under OASI 1959-60 |
B. Oppal |
| 53 |
August 1961 |
Medium-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Under Increasing Earnings Assumption |
R. J. Myers |
| 52 |
July 1961 |
Actuarial Cost Estimates for Health Insurance Benefits Bill |
R. J. Myers |
| 51 |
February 1961 |
Present Values of OASI Benefits in Current Payment Status 1960 |
J.A. Lazerson and N. S. Arce |
| 50 |
December 1960 |
Analysis of Benefits OASDI Program 1960 Amendments |
J. P. Jones and M. C. Hart |
| 49 |
May 1959 |
Methodology Involved in Developing Long-Range Cost Estimates for the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance System |
R. J. Myers |
| 48 |
August 1958 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Under 1956 Amendments |
R. J. Myers |
| 47 |
August 1958 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefits Under OASI-1957 |
T. N. E. Greville and J.A. Lazerson |
| 46 |
May 1957 |
Illustrative United States Population Projections |
T. N. E. Greville |
| 45 |
May 1957 |
Present Values of OASI Benefits in Current Payment Status 1940-1956 |
|
| 44 |
July 1956 |
Analysis of 157 Group Annuity Plans Amended in 1950-54 |
W. Van Eennam and M. E. Penman |
| 43 |
September 1955 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefits Under OASI, 1955 |
T. N. E. Greville |
| 42 |
July 1955 |
Present Values of OASI Benefits in Current Payment Status, 1940-54 |
T. N. E. Greville |
| 41 |
May 1955 |
Analysis of Benefits OASI Program 1954 Amendments |
J. A. MacDougall |
| 40 |
April 1955 |
The Financial Principle of Self-Support in the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance System |
R. J. Myers |
| 39 |
December 1954 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age and Survivors Insurance, 1954 |
R. J. Myers and E. A. Rasor |
| 38 |
March 1954 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Changes Proposed in the OASI System by H.R. 7199, With Supplementary Estimates for Universal Coverage |
R. J. Myers and E. A. Rasor |
| 37 |
August 1953 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefits Under Social Security Act Amendments of 1952 |
L. O. Shudde |
| 36 |
June 1953 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age and Survivors Insurance, 1953 |
R. J. Myers and E. A. Rasor |
| 35 |
May 1953 |
Present Values of OASI Benefits in Current Payment Status 1940-52 |
L. O. Shudde |
| 34 |
December 1952 |
Analysis of the Benefits Under the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Program as Amended in 1952 |
E. A. Rasor |
| 33 |
November 1952 |
Illustrative U.S. Population Projections, 1952 |
R. J. Myers and E. A. Rasor |
| 32 |
October 1952 |
Analysis of 346 Group Annuities Underwritten in 1946-50 |
W. Van Eenam and M. E. Penman |
| 31 |
September 1951 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefits Under Social Security Act Amendments of 1950 |
L. O. Shudde |
| 30 |
February 1951 |
Analysis of the Benefits Under Title II of the Social Security Act Amendments of 1950 |
W. E. Wilcox |
| 29 |
April 1949 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance In Force as Survivor Benefits Under Old-Age and Survivors Insurance System |
L. O. Shudde |
| 28 |
February 1949 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Expanded Coverage and Liberalized Benefits Proposed to the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance System, H.R. 2893 |
R. J. Myers and E. A. Rasor |
| 27 |
August 1948 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Under Universal Coverage and Present Benefit Provisions |
E. A. Rasor |
| 26 |
May 1948 |
Present Values of OASI Benefits Awarded and In Current Payment Status, 1940-46 |
L. O. Shudde |
| 25 |
February 1948 |
Analysis of Recent Group Annuities Supplementing Retirement Benefits Under Old-Age and Survivors Insurance |
W. Van Eenam |
| 24 |
January 1948 |
Illustrative U.S. Population Projection, 1946 |
R. J. Myers |
| 23 |
April 1947 |
Long-Range Cost Estimates for Old-Age and Survivors Insurance, 1946 |
R. J. Myers |
| 22 |
August 1945 |
Cost Study for Complete Coverage Program of Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance |
D. C. Bronson |
| 21 |
September 1946 |
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Analysis of Long-Range Cost Factors |
L. O. Shudde and G. E. Immerwahr |
| 20 |
|
NOT IN PRINT |
|
| 19 |
September 1943, January 1944, and May 1944 |
Old Age and Survivors Insurance 1943-44 Cost Studies |
D. C. Bronson |
| 18 |
May 1943 |
Part I Summary of Costs, Benefits and Beneficiaries |
D. C. Bronson |
| 17 |
December 1942 |
New Cost Estimates for the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance System, With the Assumption of a Static Future Wage Level |
R. J. Myers |
| 16 |
January 1941 |
Estimated Amount of Life Insurance Value In Force Under Survivors Benefits of the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance System |
R. J. Myers |
| 15 |
July 1940 |
Comparison of Cost Estimate of the Committee on Economic Security With Actual Experience Data |
R. J. Myers |
| 14 |
December 1941 |
An Analysis of the Benefits and Costs Under Title II of the Social Security Act Amendments of 1939 |
R. J. Myers |
| 13 |
April 1938 |
Actuarial Cost Estimates for Suggested Plan |
R. J. Myers |
| 12 |
October 1938 |
Revised Cost Estimates for Present Title |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
| 11a |
December 1938 |
Revised Cost Estimates for Proposed Plan AC-13 |
R. J. Myers |
| 11 |
December 1938 |
Cost Estimates for Proposed Plan AC-13 |
R. J. Myers |
| 10 |
September 1938 |
Various Methods of Financing Old-Age Pension Plans |
W. R. Williamson, R. J. Myers, and E. A. Rasor |
| 9a |
July 1938 |
Insurance Company Costs for Duplicating Title II Benefits |
R. J. Myers |
| 9 |
July 1938 |
An Analysis of the Costs of Duplicating the Benefit Under Title II by the Use of Insurance Company Contracts |
R. J. Myers |
| 8 |
June 1938 |
An Analysis of Benefits and the Progress of the Old-Age Reserve Account Under Title II of the Social Security Act |
R. J. Myers |
| 7 |
May 1938 |
Estimated Composition of Beneficiaries Under Modified Title II Coverage as Set Forth in Various AC Plans |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
| 6 |
May 1938 |
Comparison of Proposed Plans AC-10 and AC-11 With the Present Federal Old-Age Insurance Plan and Plan AC-1 |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
| 5 |
April 1938 |
Cost Estimates for Alternative Old-Age Insurance Plans AC-2 to AC-9 as Suggested by the Advisory Council |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
| 4 |
April 1938 |
Comparison of the Present Federal Old-Age Insurance Plan With Proposed Plan AC-1 |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
| 3 |
February 1938 |
Comparison of Proposed Revision of the Federal Old-Age Insurance Plan With the Present Plan |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
| 2 |
January 1938 |
A Comparison of Dependent and Productive Groups in Various Populations |
R. J. Myers |
| 1 |
November 1937 |
Cost Estimate for Various Modifications of the Old-Age Insurance Benefits Under Title II Suggested to the Social Security Board |
W. R. Williamson and R. J. Myers |
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