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2004 Critical Days of Summer
This year, there are 102 days from the Memorial Day weekend (starting Friday, 28 May) through Labor Day on 6 Sep. These are called the "Critical Days of Summer" because the non-operational fatality rates are usually higher than the full-year rates, as the tables below show.

The Critical Days are over. Here's how we did:

  Actual Fatalities Actual
Rate		 Predicted  Fatalities* Predicted  Rate
Navy PMV 23 21.69 23 21.69
Marine PMV 13 26.36 20 40.55
Navy Shore/Rec 8 7.54 11 10.37
Marine Shore/Rec 2 4.06 2 4.06

*The number of fatalities predicted to occur by the end of the Critical Days, taken from the Predictions page.
Click here for a list of this year's fatal mishaps during the Critical Days.
Navy PMV Fatalities
  Critical Days Calendar Year
Fatalities Rate Fatalities Rate
1994 30 23.08 87 18.91
1995 28 23.24 80 18.60
1996 26 22.52 75 18.23
1997 25 22.82 74 18.87
1998 19 16.77 57 15.00
1999 32 30.92 73 19.57
2000 20 19.33 48 12.82
2001 17 16.24 62 16.33
2002 32 30.00 71 18.47
2003 20 18.89 68 17.79
Total 249 22.37 695 17.52
Marine PMV Fatalities
Critical Days Calendar Year
Fatalities Rate Fatalities Rate
1994  11  22.77  49  28.12
1995  14  28.92  49  28.05
1996  18  37.15  65  37.22
1997  16  33.22  53  30.51
1998  11  21.44  41  23.70
1999  16  33.41  58  33.56
2000  19  39.54  49  28.29
2001  10  20.86  38  21.95
2002  25  51.94  69  39.49
2003 24 48.74 50  28.12
Total  164  33.75  521  29.91
Navy Shore/Recreational Fatalities
Critical Days Calendar Year
Deaths Rate Deaths Rate
1994 7 5.39 27 5.87
1995 15 12.45 26 6.04
1996 8 6.93 19 4.62
1997 8 7.30 22 5.61
1998 10 8.83 21 5.53
1999 7 6.76 20 5.36
2000 10 9.67 20 5.34
2001 9 8.60 18 4.74
2002 12 11.25 21 5.46
2003 12 11.33 23 6.02
Total 98 8.81 217 5.47
Marine Shore/Recreational Fatalities
Critical Days Calendar Year
Deaths Rate Deaths Rate
1994 8 16.56 17 9.75
1995 2 4.13 10 5.72
1996 5 10.32 16 9.16
1997 3 6.23 3 1.73
1998 4 7.80 10 5.78
1999 0 0.00 7 4.05
2000 2 4.16 6 3.46
2001 1 2.09 7 4.04
2002 4 8.31 10 5.72
2003 2 4.06 16 9.00
Total 31 6.38 102 5.86
Rates per 100,000 military personnel per year.
More Info

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