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Statement by
Vice Admiral Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr.
U.S. Navy (Ret.)
Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere
Administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
to the Executive Council of the
World Meteorological Organization
Geneva, June 11, 2002
President Zillman
Secretary-General Obasi
Vice Presidents Beysson, Noorian, SalahuDistinguished members
of the WMO Executive Council
Honorable representatives of other international organizations
Ladies and Gentlemen
It is a pleasure for me to
be invited here today to address the opening of the 54th session
of the WMO Executive Council.
As Administrator of NOAA, and
from my previous positions as President of the Consortium of
Oceanographic and Research and Education (CORE) and in the U.S.
Navy, I am keenly aware of the international nature of the oceans
and atmosphere. The analysis, understanding, and forecasting
of the natural environment do not respect national boundaries.
We recognize the importance of working collaboratively with
partners from around the world to address these issues. The World
Meteorological Organization is an essential partner in facilitating
and coordinating international efforts in the environmental sciences.
At NOAA we have a long history
of dedication to understanding the earth's coupled oceans and
atmosphere. They are inextricably linked in our earth's ever
changing climate system. In addition to our own national observing
system, NOAA supports many developing country in situ observing
systems as well as provides extensive regional and global images
and data from our geostationary and polar-orbiting satellites.
In February, President Bush
came to NOAA to announce the Clear Skies and Global Climate Change
Initiatives. He directed the Secretary of Commerce, working with
other U.S. agencies, to review current investments in climate
change research, to prepare a comprehensive plan for the futureincluding
the setting of priorities, and to improve coordination among
the federal agencies. The United States will also provide matching
resources to build climate observing systems in developing countries,
and encourage other developed nations to match our commitment.
The President's budget proposal
for our next fiscal year includes $18 million in new climate
research funding for NOAA, out of a total of $40 million across
the federal agencies. An essential elementabout $8 million,
half atmospheric and half oceanicis for NOAA to improve
the global observing system. This Presidential Initiative for
better science, with improved observations as a first step, will
provide the information necessary to formulate sound policy decisions.
I strongly believe that NOAA
is the right agency to take a leadership role within the United
States, but we know full well that we cannot do this alone. The
global observation effort for climate is far too enormous for
one organization, or even one country, to undertake alone. We
must work together.
Perhaps the greatest challenge
is to develop one integrated observation plan for the atmosphere,
ocean, and land which everyone can support. The Global Climate
Observing System (GCOS) and Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS),
working with the Integrated Global Observing Strategy (IGOS)
Partners and others, have developed international consensus on
overall needs. There is, however, much work still to be done.
This challenge lies in our
ability to provide one coherent plan which integrates space and
in-situ observations across those three elements. I think that
the IGOS Partners, of which the WMO is a member, is one body
trying to meet this challenge. We need one plan which all organizations
can support; this plan would set priorities, so that we can work
together to secure the necessary funds and proceed with implementation.
International organizations, such as the WMO and IOC, are the
logical places to help facilitate this process, and their new
Joint Technical Commission on Oceanography and Marine Meteorology
represents a giant step forward in our potential ability to integrate
plans for implementation.
A fully implemented global
observing system for climate will give us the tools we need to
take "the pulse of the planet." And, the full and open
sharing of data between nations is an essential part of this
effortincluding making the data available within sufficient
time to be of operational use.
Satellite observations from
NOAA and other environmental and meteorological satellites provide
major contributions to global modeling and studies of climate.
We are pleased the WMO Executive Council has formed the High-Level
Consultative Group on Satellite Matters. NOAA, NASA, and most
other space agencies are finding real benefit in the Group. We
are pleased to recognize WMO's active participation in the Coordination
Group on Meteorological Satellites and the Committee on Earth
Observation Satellites, and we urge your endorsement of WMO's
full commitment to the Integrated Global Observing Strategy (IGOS)
Partners, which NOAA is poised to co-chair this Fall.
Last month, the United States
released a forecast of the coming El Nino event. The fact that
we can make such forecasts is a tribute to international cooperation
in improving our collective understanding of the ocean and its
contribution to weather and climate. Our collective ability to
make such forecasts is dependent on data from an array of moored
buoys spanning the Tropical Pacific, combined with those collected
by satellite.
These forecasts can have significant
economic benefits; for example:
- Economists estimate that improved
El Niño forecasts in the U.S. are worth nearly US$300M
annually
- World wide, a lower bound
estimate of annual economic benefits of improved forecasts for
agriculture is US$450-500M per year.
- At least half of all commercial
ocean transits today take advantage of weather-based vessel routing
services, saving on the order of US$100M per year
These potential savings from
timely and accurate El Niño forecasts offer examples of
the economic benefits which can be derived from better understanding
of climate variability and climate change.
As you probably already know,
GCOS is working on its Second Report on the Adequacy of the Global
Observing System. It will produce an interim report for the 8th
Conference of the Parties (COP) under the U.N. Framework Convention
on Climate Change this fall and a final report at COP-9 in December
next year. This is an extremely important document for us because
it will be reviewed and endorsed by Environmental and Foreign
Affairs Ministers around the world.
I am pleased to announce that
the U.S. is designating US$600K for GCOS, so that it can work
closely with experts from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change to ensure that observation needs from a climate change
perspective are taken into account in the Second Adequacy Report.
In the near term, GCOS will
convene a workshop in Boulder, Colorado this August to bring
IPCC experts from both developed and developing countries into
the process. Dr. Susan Solomon, the U.S. Co-Chair of Working
Group I of the IPCC, has been asked by IPCC Chair Dr. Rajendra
Pachauri to attend the workshop and help oversee the effort to
examine the needs for the global observing system.
Additionally, NOAA is continuing
to provide $100K for the GCOS Office to help identify near-term
needs for resources. These funds will be made available to GCOS
with the goal to get a headstart on determining how best to address
the current shortfalls in the global observing network.
I have been talking with my
counterparts in Asia and during this trip to Europe, to determine
what steps we can take to achieve this objective. The WMO, along
with the IOC, represent the focus for improving these global
observing systems by leading the establishment of a fully integrated
and comprehensive global system. I urge you all to join us in
this critically important undertaking.
We are excited about the prospects
to be able to make a significant impact on improving the global
observing system, an impact which many of us have been dreaming
about for years. On the part of the United States, we are prepared
to begin immediately. Working through the GCOS Office and its
many advisory bodies and through the WMO Secretariat, over the
next several months, we expect to develop proposals which can
identify necessary contributions and activities for everyone.
Working together, I am sure we will be successful.
Thank you very much for your
time. I hope to be able to meet with many of you individually
today during my short stay in Geneva. |