Return to Safety Center home pageNaval Safety Center Checklists Downloads Instructions Presentations Site Map Search Naval Safety Center
Afloat Ashore Aviation Media/Magazines Occupational Safety and Health Statistics Naval Safety Center

Predictions

This page provides projections for the current year based on analyses of data from recent years. The tables forecast the number of Navy and Marine Corps military fatalities in off duty mishaps during certain holidays and for several periods throughout the year. During the year, the actual numbers will be added to the tables when they become available. The forecasts and results for the last three years are available here. Additional information on the summer 2004 period can be found on the Critical Days of Summer page.

2004 Holiday Fatality Forecasts

Memorial Day

4th of July

Labor Day

Motor Vehicle

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Navy

1

1

1

2

1

1

Marine Corps

1

2

2

0

1

0

Navy/Marine

2

3

3

2

2

1

Shore/Recreation

Navy

0

0

2

2

1

1

Marine Corps

0

0

0

0

1

0

Navy/Marine

0

0

2

2

2

1

Totals

Navy

1

1

3

4

2

2

Marine Corps

1

2

2

0

2

0

Navy/Marine

2

3

5

4

4

2

28-May-04
  through  
31-May-04

2-Ju1-04
   through  
5-Jul-04

3 Sep-04
  through  
6-Sep-04

Thanksgiving

Christmas

New Year's

Motor Vehicle

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Navy

0

1

1

Marine Corps

1

2

0

Navy/Marine

1

3

1

Shore/Recreation

Navy

1

0

1

Marine Corps

0

0

1

Navy/Marine

1

0

2

Totals

Navy

1

1

2

Marine Corps

1

2

1

Navy/Marine

2

3

3

24-Nov-04
through
28-Nov-04

23-Dec-04
through
26-Dec-04

30-Dec-04
 through 
2-Jan-05


     2004 Selected Period Fatality Forecasts

Memorial Day

Thanksgiving

Christmas

through

through

through

Labor Day

New Year's

New Year's

Motor Vehicle

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Navy

23

23

6

2

Marine Corps

20

13

6

2

Navy/Marine

43

36

12

4

Shore/Recreation

Navy

11

8

2

1

Marine Corps

2

2

2

1

Navy/Marine

13

10

4

2

Totals

Navy

34

31

8

3

Marine Corps

22

15

8

3

Navy/Marine

56

46

16

6

28-May-04

24-Nov-04

23-Dec-04

  through  

  through  

  through  

6-Sep-04

2-Jan-05

2-Jan-05

Notes: 1) Non-operational fatalities only.

2) Data based on complete days from midnight through 2359 hours.

 

 

Previous Forecasts and Results
2001
2002
2003

 

Back to Top