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Predictions and Results
Return to current year predictions.

This page provides calendar year 2002 projections and the actual number of fatalities during the indicated periods.

2002 Holiday Fatality Forecasts

Memorial Day

4th of July

Labor Day

Motor Vehicle

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Navy

2

2

1

1

1

1

Marine Corps

1

2

1

1

2

2

Navy/Marine

3

4

2

2

3

3

Shore/Recreation

Navy

1

0

1

2

1

2

Marine Corps

0

0

0

1

0

2

Navy/Marine

1

0

1

3

1

4

Totals

Navy

3

2

2

3

2

3

Marine Corps

1

2

1

2

2

4

Navy/Marine

4

4

3

5

4

7

24-May-02
  through  
27-May-02

3-Ju1-02
   through  
7-Jul-02

30-Aug-02
  through  
2-Sep-02

Thanksgiving

Christmas

New Year's

Motor Vehicle

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Navy

0

0

1

0

1

0

Marine Corps

1

1

1

0

1

0

Navy/Marine

1

1

2

0

2

0

Shore/Recreation

Navy

1

0

0

0

0

1

Marine Corps

0

0

0

0

1

0

Navy/Marine

1

0

0

0

1

1

Totals

Navy

1

0

1

0

1

1

Marine Corps

1

1

1

0

2

0

Navy/Marine

2

1

2

0

3

1

27-Nov-02
through
1-Dec-02

24-Dec-02
through
25-Dec-02

31-Dec-02
 through 
1-Jan-03


     2002 Selected Period Fatality Forecasts

Memorial Day

Thanksgiving

Christmas

through

through

through

Labor Day

New Year's

New Year's

Motor Vehicle

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Pred.

Actual

Navy

23

32

7

4

2

0

Marine Corps

14

25

6

9

3

1

Navy/Marine

37

57

13

13

5

1

Shore/Recreation

Navy

9

12

3

2

1

1

Marine Corps

2

4

1

1

1

0

Navy/Marine

11

16

4

3

2

1

Totals

Navy

32

44

10

6

3

1

Marine Corps

16

29

7

10

4

1

Navy/Marine

48

73

17

16

7

2

24-May-02

27-Nov-02

24-Dec-02

  through  

  through  

  through  

2-Sep-02

1-Jan-03

1-Jan-03

Notes: 1) Non-operational fatalities only.

2) Data based on complete days from midnight through 2359 hours.

 

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