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Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

8
Aquaculture Outlook

The Conservation Reserve Program: Economic Implications ...

Farm and Farm-related Employment

9
10
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12
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

Black Sea Grain Exports: Will They Be Moderate or Large...

China: A Study of Dynamic Growth

13
Cotton and Wool Outlook

Oil Crops Outlook

Rice Outlook

14
Feed Outlook

Wheat Outlook

2004 Awards from FANRP's Competitive Grants and Cooperative ...

15
U.S. Agricultural Trade Update

16
17
18
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook

19
20
21
Vegetables and Melons Outlook

22
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National Obesity Prevention Conference sponsored by USDA

26
National Obesity Prevention Conference sponsored by USDA

Fruit and Tree Nuts Yearbook summary

27
National Obesity Prevention Conference sponsored by USDA

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THIS MONTH AT ERS - [October 1, 2004 - October 31, 2004]

Thursday, October 7, 2004
Agricultural Outlook Statistical Indicators

Statistical Indicators previously published in Agricultural Outlook addressing a broad spectrum of agriculture-related issues. Includes commodity and food prices, general economic indicators, government program expenditures, farm income estimates, and trade and export statistics.



Friday, October 8, 2004
Aquaculture Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines the U.S. aquaculture industry including production, inventory, sales, prices, inputs, and trade of catfish, trout, tilapia, salmon, mollusks, crawfish, shrimp, ornamental fish, and new species.

Released at 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-LDPAQS-4040). Users who subscribe to this twice-a-year newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification (ERS subscribers) or by mail (for NTIS subscribers).



Friday, October 8, 2004
The Conservation Reserve Program: Economic Implications for Rural America

This report estimates the impact that high levels of enrollment in the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) have had on economic trends in rural counties since the program’s inception in 1985 until today. The results of a growth model and quasi-experimental control group analysis indicate no discernible impact by the CRP on aggregate county population trends. Aggregate employment growth may have slowed in some high-CRP counties, but only temporarily. High levels of CRP enrollment appear to have affected farm-related businesses over the long run, but growth in the number of other nonfarm businesses moderated CRP’s impact on total employment. If CRP contracts had ended in 2001, simulation models suggest that roughly 51 percent of CRP land would have returned to crop production, and that spending on outdoor recreation would decrease by as much as $300 million per year in rural areas. The resulting impacts on employment and income vary widely among regions having similar CRP enrollments, depending upon local economic conditions.



Friday, October 8, 2004
Farm and Farm-related Employment

New data for 2001, the latest year for which detailed industry-level data are available, show that farming and its related industries provided 24.4 million jobs, or about 14.6 percent of total U.S. employment. Farm production employment, which includes farm proprietors and hired farmworkers, accounted for 3.1 million of these jobs. ERS has released new data on farm and farm-related employment for 2001, and revised the estimates for 1998-2000.



Tuesday, October 12, 2004
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
[Release Schedule]

Issued monthly, WASDE provides the most current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances for major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton, and U.S. supply and use data for sugar and livestock products.

Released at 8:30 a.m. ET. There is no charge for the electronic version.



Tuesday, October 12, 2004
Black Sea Grain Exports: Will They Be Moderate or Large?
[Release Schedule]

This report examines the prospects for grain exports by the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the Newly Independent States (NIS) that export through the Black Sea, the largest being Russia and Ukraine. If productivity growth in the region is high, annual grain exports by Black Sea countries could rise to 30-40 million tons. Such high exports would strongly affect the world grain market, since total annual world grain exports during 2000-03 averaged 237 million metric tons. This report is the second in a two-part series on the integration of CEE and NIS countries into global commodity markets.



Tuesday, October 12, 2004
China: A Study of Dynamic Growth
[Release Schedule]

China's rapid economic growth has been driven by high rates of investment, gains in productivity, and liberalized foreign trade and investment. China's growth is likely to continue, but the Chinese economy faces some possibly unsustainable pressures.



Wednesday, October 13, 2004
Cotton and Wool Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for cotton and wool, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes data on raw fibers and textiles.

Timely version released at 4:00 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Wednesday, October 13, 2004
Oil Crops Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for oil crops (primarily soybeans and products), including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Includes information on cottonseed, peanuts, sunflowerseed, tropical oils, corn oil, and animal fats.

Timely version released at 4:00 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Wednesday, October 13, 2004
Rice Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for rice, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains information on U.S. rough, milled, and long-, medium-, and short-grain rice.

Timely version released at 4:00 p.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Thursday, October 14, 2004
Feed Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for feed grains, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Focuses on corn; also contains information on sorghum, barley, oats, and hay.

Timely version released at 9:00 a.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe to this newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Thursday, October 14, 2004
Wheat Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Examines supply, use, prices, and trade for wheat, including supply and demand prospects in major importing and exporting countries. Contains data and information on U.S. wheat by class.

Timely version released at 9:00 a.m. ET. Final full pdf available no later than 4 business days after the day of initial release. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive notification of newsletter availability. Users who subscribe will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification.



Thursday, October 14, 2004
2004 Awards from FANRP's Competitive Grants and Cooperative Agreements Program

Under ERS's Food Assistance and Nutrition Research Program, USDA made awards of $1.1 million in grants and cooperative assistance. The awards fund research on strengthening economic incentives in food assistance programs; food assistance as a safety net; and obesity, diet quality, and health outcomes. The program is publicly announced and competitively awarded through the use of peer review panels.



Friday, October 15, 2004
U.S. Agricultural Trade Update
[Release Schedule]

Announces USDA's monthly release of year-to-date quantity and value of U.S. farm exports and imports.

Released at 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-FAT-4030). Users who subscribe to this monthly newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification (ERS subscribers) or by mail (for NTIS subscribers).



Monday, October 18, 2004 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Timely livestock, dairy, and poultry information, focusing on current production, price, and trade statistics for each of the sectors.

Timely version released at 9:00 a.m. ET. Final full pdf available later in the month after release of key livestock and animal product data. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter availability. Printed copies can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-LDPM-4042). Users who subscribe to this monthly newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification (ERS subscribers) or by mail (for NTIS subscribers).



Thursday, October 21, 2004 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Vegetables and Melons Outlook
[Release Schedule]

Provides current intelligence and forecasts the effects of changing conditions in the U.S. vegetables and melons sector (including potatoes, pulses, and mushrooms). Topics include production, consumption, shipments, prices received, trade, and more.

Released at 4 p.m. ET. Subscribe to the free electronic version to receive timely notification of newsletter (and yearbook) availability. Printed copies of the newsletter (together with the yearbook) can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling 1-800-999-6779 (specify SUB-VGS-4039). Users who subscribe to this every-other-month newsletter will also receive articles on timely topics via e-mail notification (ERS subscribers) or by mail (for NTIS subscribers).



Monday, October 25, 2004 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
National Obesity Prevention Conference sponsored by USDA

The U.S. Department of Agriculture will host a National Obesity Prevention Conference on October 25-27, 2004 at the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Bethesda, Maryland. The goal of the conference is to identify research and actions needed to help prevent obesity by bringing together experts from government, universities, the food industry, and numerous medical and nutrition research facilities. This will be a science-based, multidisciplinary conference with a practical orientation that acknowledges the social, economic, and behavioral causes of poor dietary choices. The conference is open to the public and early registration is encouraged.



Tuesday, October 26, 2004 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
National Obesity Prevention Conference sponsored by USDA

The U.S. Department of Agriculture will host a National Obesity Prevention Conference on October 25-27, 2004 at the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Bethesda, Maryland. The goal of the conference is to identify research and actions needed to help prevent obesity by bringing together experts from government, universities, the food industry, and numerous medical and nutrition research facilities. This will be a science-based, multidisciplinary conference with a practical orientation that acknowledges the social, economic, and behavioral causes of poor dietary choices. The conference is open to the public and early registration is encouraged.



Tuesday, October 26, 2004 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
Fruit and Tree Nuts Yearbook summary
[Release Schedule]

Summary release. Contains data important to the fruit and tree nuts industry.

Summary release at 4 p.m. ET. The full report, available in several weeks, contains data important to the fruit and tree nuts industry.



Wednesday, October 27, 2004 Scheduled for release. (Scheduled for release)
National Obesity Prevention Conference sponsored by USDA

The U.S. Department of Agriculture will host a National Obesity Prevention Conference on October 25-27, 2004 at the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Bethesda, Maryland. The goal of the conference is to identify research and actions needed to help prevent obesity by bringing together experts from government, universities, the food industry, and numerous medical and nutrition research facilities. This will be a science-based, multidisciplinary conference with a practical orientation that acknowledges the social, economic, and behavioral causes of poor dietary choices. The conference is open to the public and early registration is encouraged.



20 releases of 18 products this month on 11 different days.

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