Build Sustainable Fisheries
Objective: Advance Fisheries Predictions
Performance Measure: Through process research and coupled physical-biological models, develop models and syntheses that enable managers to incorporate environmental variability into dicussions related to management and sustainable development of regional fisheries (# models or syntheses developed).
Objective: Improve Service Communication and Utilization
Performance Measure: Advanced Emergency Management Technology and Information
Objective: Maintain and Improve Observing and Data Delivery Systems
Performance Measure: Percent of data from observing systems used in predictions; percent of observing system operational.
The TAO group participated in 11 different cruises for 279 sea days on 4 different ships in support of the TAO array in FY97. Total number of person days at sea was 696. A total of 77 moorings were deployed including 13 Next Generation ATLAS moorings, which allow the addition of solar radiation, rainfall, and ocean salinity measurements to the real-time data stream. Data from the array is available through daily updates on the World Wide Web, anonymous FTP, and the Global Telecommunications System (GTS). Data throughput ont eh GTS continues to be typically about 85-90%. Data return from the entire array continues at more than 80% recovery from all sensors.
This year the President's budget called for $4.9M to covert the TOGA Observing System to operational status. The budget request includes $2.3M for TAO. The TAO Project Office supported NOAA and OAR headquarters efforts to promote the initiative, by providing information on technical issues for congressional staffers and the public. It appears at present that this budget initiative will pass.
The TAO Project has obtained funding from the NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Project Office to begin installation of a basin scale moored rainfall and surface salinity array in the tropical Pacific. The array will be built up over the next three years, to coincide with the flight of the TRMM satellite scheduled for launch in late 1997. Initial moorings have been deployed this year with rain and surface salinity sensors in the ITCZ of the eastern Pacific, and the warm pool of the western Pacific. The ITCZ measurements also contribute to NOAA's PACS program. The purpose of these measurements is to provide validation for TRMM satellite rainfall retrievals, to improve our understanding of the hydrologic cycle over the ocean, and to assess the role of the hydrologic cycle in affecting seasonal-to-interannual climate variability.
The Department of Energy/Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program (DOE/ARM) has provided funds for developing a shortwave radiation measurement capability on TAO moorings, and for maintaining an array of moored radiation sensor on buoys in the western Pacific warm pool for several years. The purpose of these measurements is to better understand cloud radiative feedbacks on the climate system in the tropical Pacific, how clouds and radiation are affected by ocean- atmosphere interactions, and how to better parameterize radiative processes in climate models. First deployments of the new TAO/ARM radiation packages took place in June 1997 along 165E.
With the launch of National Space Development Agency (NSCAT) in August 1997, a major new effort began at PMEL in collaboration with UW/APL and WHOI to use TAO data for validation of NSCAT wind velocity retrievals, and for validation of tropical Pacific ocean models run with NSCAT winds. Several significant results have emerged from this analysis, despite the premature failure of NSCAT in June 1997. Most notably, NSCAT underestimates the wind speeds relative to TAO by 1 m/s based on initial comparisons. The source of this low bias is still under investigation. Sea level from TOPEX/POSEIDON and TAO dynamic heights associated with intraseasonal Kelvin waves during the early stages of the 1997 El Nino have been simulated using NSCAT winds as well as ECMWF winds. The two wind fields yield similar responses both in terms of timing and magnitudes of the Kelvin wave response, though NSCAT provides a better definition of small scale features in the wind field that affect oceanic variability.
Objective: Understand the Role of the Oceans in Global Change
Performance Measure: Implement in situ technologies for physical and chemical ocean observations.
On April 15, 1996, a RAFOS neutrally-buoyant drifter float was deployed at a depth of ~2000 m into a disorganized plume over the Gorda Ridge west wall. This study was an attempt to test the hypothesis that hydrothermal event plumes (or megaplumes) may have extended lifetimes in the ocean similar to meddies or Gulf Stream rings. The float surfaced on June 10 only 10 km from the deployment site. The float data confirmed that event plumes survive for several months, and that RAFOS technology can be used to track event plumes.
NOAA PMEL scientists continue to be successful in monitoring underwater volcanism using the U.S. Navy SOund SUrveillance System (SOSUS) network. The VENTS T-Phase Project routinely analyzes SOSUS data to detect, locate and interpret seismic activity in the Northeast Pacific Ocean. During the early part of FY97 the Department of Navy initiated a feasibility study to look at the possibility of transferring SOSUS operations to a civilian agency or continue under their own control. A decision was made to keep SOSUS operations under Navy control for at least the next five years. Program scientists also deployed and recovered six PMEL designed autonomous hydrophones (called HARUphones) near existing ATLAS buoys between latitudes 95W and 110W. These hydrophones are recording numerous volcanic episodes and other seismic events along what is known to be the most active spreading center in the world.