2004 - NOAA/FSL RUC-WRFRUC New England High-Resolution Temperature Program (NEHRTP) Homepage

NOAA/FSL is running 2004-special versions of the RUC assimilation and forecast system and the WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) model using RUC initial conditions for the NOAA New England High-Resolution Temperature Program (NEHRTP) . The goal is to further improve forecast accuracy for surface temperature (also, precipitation, moisture and winds) from NOAA weather forecast models in support of the energy industry. These weather forecasts, in turn, drive energy load forecasts, critical for the energy industry. FSL RUC and WRF-RUC model weather forecasts contribute to an ensemble of NOAA models, some operational and some experimental, to produce ensemble probabilistic forecasts. Improvements in data assimilation and forecast model techniques lead to improved deterministic and probabilistic model forecast skill.

The special RUC and WRFRUC runs for the 2004 New England program include:
• A special hourly assimilation cycle using the CONUS 20km RUC assimilating additional observations not yet available to the NCEP RUC (boundary-layer profiler, GPS precipitable water, radar reflectivity/lightning, mesonet, METAR cloud/visibility observations).
• 20-km RUC model forecasts from this assimilation cycle out to 48 h every 6 h.
• 13-km RUC forecasts also over the full CONUS domain, running on an independent 13-km hourly assimilation cycle.
• 20-km WRF forecasts over the CONUS 20-km RUC domain, also initialized from the special CONUS RUC20 1-h cycle described above.
• 13-km WRF forecasts also over the full CONUS domain, also out to 48 h every 12 h, also initialized from the special CONUS 13-km RUC 1-h cycle described above.

Soil moisture from FSL 13km RUC - real-time