Appendix B

Bibliography

Books and Case Studies

Aslund, Anders. ``How Small is Soviet National Income?'' In The Impoverished Superpower: Perestroika and the Soviet Military Burden, edited by Henry S. Rowen and Charles Wolf, Jr. San Francisco: Institute for Contemporary Studies Press, 1990.

Eberstadt, Nicholas. The Tyranny of Numbers: Measurement and Misrule. Washington, DC: American Enterprise Institute Press, 1995.

Kennedy, David. Sunshine and Shadow: The CIA and the Soviet Economy. Case Study C16-91-1096.0. Intelligence and Policy Project, John F. Kennedy School of Government. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 1994.

Lundberg, Kirsten. CIA and the Fall of the Soviet Empire: The Politics of Getting It Right. Case Study C-16-94-1251.0. Intelligence and Policy Project, John F. Kennedy School of Government. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 1994.

Journal Articles

Becker, Abraham. ``Intelligence Fiasco or Reasoned Accounting: CIA Estimates of Soviet GNP.'' 10 Post-Soviet Affairs 291-329 (1994).

Berkowitz, Bruce D. And Jeffrey T. Richelson. ``CIA Vindicated.'' The National Interest. 35-46 (Fall 1995).

Schroeder, Gertrude. ``Reflections on Economic Sovietology.'' 11 Post-Soviet Affairs 197-234 (1995).

Government Documents

Congressional Documents and Hearings

Central Intelligence Agency and Defense Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Economic Program: Problems Emerge. A Paper Prepared for the Subcommittee on Economic Resources, Competitiveness and Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee, DDB-1900-187-88, 100th Cong., 2d sess., June 1988.

House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Review Committee. An Evaluation of CIA's Analysis of Soviet Economic Performance 1970-1990. 18 November 1991.

Schroeder, Gertrude E. and Imogene Edwards. Consumption in the USSR: An International Comparison. A Study Prepared for the Use of the Joint Economic Committee, 97th Cong., 1st sess., 17 August 1981.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1977: Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Priorities and Economy in Government of the Joint Economic Committee. Part 3. 95th Cong., 1st sess., 23, 30 June and 6 July 1977.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1978: Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Priorities and Economy in Government of the Joint Economic Committee. Part 4-Soviet Union. 95th Cong., 2d sess., 26 June and 14 July 1978.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1979: Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Priorities and Economy in Government of the Joint Economic Committee. Part 5. 96th Cong., 1st sess., 26 June and 9 July 1979.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1980: Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Priorities and Economy in Government of the Joint Economic Committee. Part 6. 96th Cong., 2d sess., 30 June and 25 September 1980.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1981: Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Priorities and Economy in Government of the Joint Economic Committee. Part 7. 97th Cong., 1st sess., 8 July and 15 October 1981.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1985: Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Economic Resources, Competitiveness, and Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee. Part 11. 99th Cong., 2d sess., 19 March 1986.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1986: Hearing Before the Subcommittee on National Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee. 100th Cong., 1st sess., 19 March 1987.

US Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China-1987: Hearing Before the Subcommittee on National Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee. 100th Cong., 2d sess., 13 April 1988.

CIA Documents

MacEachin, Douglas J., Director of Soviet Analysis. Memorandum to Richard Kerr, Deputy Director for Intelligence. ``Leadership Situation in the USSR.'' 27 September 1988. Attachment ``Prospects for a Leadership Crisis.'' n.d. Records of the Diectorate of Intelligence.

MacEachin, Douglas J., Director of Soviet Analysis. Memorandum to Deputy Director for Intelligence [Richard J. Kerr]. ``NIE 11-3/8: Force Projections.'' 22 April 1986. Job 90-601359R, Box 2, Folder 20. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

National Intelligence Council, Central Intelligence Agency. Dimensions of Civil Unrest in the Soviet Union. NIC M 83-10006. April 1983. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

National Intelligence Council, Central Intelligence Agency. Domestic Stresses on the Soviet System. NIE 11-18-85. November 1985. Records of the Director of Central Intelligence.

Office of Economic Research, Central Intelligence Agency. Soviet Economic Problems and Prospects. ER 77-10436U. July 1977. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Economic Research, Central Intelligence Agency. The Soviet Economy in 1978-79 and Prospects for 1980. ER 80-10328. June 1980. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Political Analysis, Central Intelligence Agency. Consumer Frustrations and the Soviet Regime. PA 79-10389C. August 1979. Records of the Director of Central Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Domestic Stresses in the USSR. SOV 86-10017X. April 1986. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Approach to Societal Malaise: A Managed Revitalization. SOV 85-10141. August 1985. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Domestic Challenge: The Looming Problems. SOV 87-10009. February 1987. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Domestic Gambles and Instability in the USSR. SOV 89-10077X. September 1989. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Economic Agenda: Promises, Potentials, and Pitfalls. SOV 85-10165. September 1985. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Future. SOV M 91-20070X. 23 May 1991. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's Modernization Program: Implications for Defense. SOV 86-10015X. March 1986. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev's September Housecleaning: An Early Evaluation. SOV 88-10079X. December 1988. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Gorbachev: Steering the USSR Into the 1990s. SOV 87-10036X. July 1987. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Rising Political Instability Under Gorbachev: Understanding the Problem and Prospects for Resolution. SOV M 89-10040X. April 1989. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Soviet Elite Concerns About Popular Discontent and Official Corruption. SOV 82-10192X. December 1982. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Soviet National Security Policy: Responses to the Changing Military and Economic Environment. SOV 88-10040CX. June 1988. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. Soviet Society in the 1980s: Problems and Prospects. SOV 82-12026X. December 1982. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. The Kazakh Riots: Lessons for the Soviet Leadership. SOV 87-010033KX. June 1987. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. The 19th All-Union Party Conference: Restructuring the Soviet Political System. SOV M 88-20052X. 22 June 1988. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. The Slowdown in Soviet Industry, 1976-82. SOV 83-10093. June 1983. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. The Soviet Cauldron. SOV 91-20177M. 25 April 1991. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. The Soviet Economy in a Global Perspective. SOV 89-10017. March 1989. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.

Office of Soviet Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. The 27th CPSU Congress: Gorbachev's Unfinished Business. SOV 86-10023. April 1986. Records of the Directorate of Intelligence.


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