Large Fire Cost Reduction
Action Plan
March
•
2003
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USDA Forest Service -- USDI The Department of
the Interior - National Association of State Foresters
“Only when every member of the nation’s wildland firefighting organization
is held accountable for his or her role in containing costs, will
a corporate resolve begin to coalesce and emerge. Meaningful accountability
for cost containment must be instituted throughout all levels of
the nation’s wildland fire suppression program.”
Cost Containment on Large Fires – Efficient Utilization of Wildland Fire
Suppression Resources, July 2001
National Association of State Foresters
Fire Protection Committee
Why
Should You Read This Report?
If you care about our country’s
ability to successfully respond to the challenge of suppressing
our rising trend of large wildland fires—this interagency-rooted
Action Plan is for you.
Thousands of hours have
already been invested on previous fire suppression cost reports
and reviews. Unfortunately, it seems, far too often these
important strategies have been quickly forgotten or overlooked.
This Action Plan strives to be different.
These past efforts reflect
consistent findings and recommendations—as far back as 1994—with
little or no apparent implementation action. For the most
part, a bias for action and a corporate will to change has
been absent in these previous efforts.
This Action Plan attempts to rectify these
shortcomings.
Requested by the Federal Fire and Aviation
Leadership Council, this Action Plan supports the February
2003 Chief’s Incident Accountability Report and the
July 2001 Cost Containment of Large Fires – Efficient
Utilization of Wildland Fire Suppression Resources by
the National Association of State
Foresters.
Sponsoring agencies of this Action Plan
include: the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service;
and the Department of the Interior – Bureau of Land Management,
National Park Service, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service; and the National Association of
State Foresters.
The majority of the cost-containment strategies
and approaches outlined in this report will be enacted this
fire season. In crafting this strategy, the 2003 Large Fire
Cost Reduction Team has tried to promote new business methods
that will help us this year, and successfully move us into
a more cost-beneficial future. |
“Drought, excessive fuel
hazards, and human movement into the wildlands
continue to threaten the nation’s communities and forests—driving
costs even
higher. The 2002 fire season is more than a wake-up call. It is
a painful reminder
of the magnitude of the problem and the dire need for action.”
There is an urgent and immediate need to reduce
the overwhelming cost of large fires.
A series of factors have combined to create an
environment that fosters increases in the cost of suppressing large
fires. During the 2002 fire season, four states set records for
the largest fires in recent history. Twenty-one firefighters lost
their lives. Two air tankers and eight helicopters crashed. Thousands
of homeowners were evacuated. Hundreds of structures were destroyed.
A total of 7.2 million acres burned.
Thus, this past fire season introduced extraordinary
stress to agency leadership, agency line officers, fire staff, and
Incident Management Teams.
This horrendous fire year saw the Forest Service,
alone, funnel $1.4 billion dollars into wildland fire suppression
costs. Total Federal expenditures on wildland fire suppression approached
$2 billion dollars. Of these unprecedented amounts, more than $500
million in Forest Service dollars funded suppression costs on just
four large fires. (These monies could have financed the entire
budgets of these affected national forests for more than five years.)
As evidenced by implementation of the National
Fire Plan, and supported by the President’s Healthy Forest
Initiative, it is clear that—in the long term—treating fuels
and aggressive initial attack are essential for success in reducing
large fire occurrence. By doing so, we will also reduce wildland
fire costs. For, more than 80 percent of our wildland fire suppression
costs are attributed to only 2 percent of our wildland fires.
Cost
Containment Actions Due This Fire Season
To date, minimal progress has been made
in addressing these escalating wildland fire suppression costs.
This Action Plan strives to change that—starting this fire
season. Through its various actions—outlined in detail in
the following pages—this report provides effective, practical,
common sense measures to help facilitate cost containment
within our wildland fire suppression programs. |
It is incumbent on those
entities with responsibility for wildfire management to ensure that
the highest level of management expertise is applied to every element
and decision in the fire management equation—at every level of fire
complexity.
As wildfires grow in number or size, the elements
involved increase and the scope and effect (consequences) of the
decisions based on those elements also increase.
It is therefore incumbent on those entities with
responsibility for wildfire management to ensure that the highest
level of management expertise is applied to every element and decision
in the fire management equation—at every level of fire complexity.
Ensuring that this management expertise occurs
is not simply a matter of deferring to the person—or people—with
the most experience. It is a matter of assuring that the individuals
responsible for making critical fire management decisions:
This basic concept applies to every
element in the wildfire management equation at every level
of wildfire management complexity. This Action Plan is founded on
this concept.
Section
One – Immediate 2003 Actions
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Our culture and incentive system are not oriented toward reducing
the costs of large fires. Currently, the local Agency Line Officer [1] and Incident Commander have three primary objectives: 1) Ensure
firefighter and public safety; 2) Suppress the wildland fire; 3)
Respond to community needs.
Unfortunately, any incentive to reduce costs
is absent from these three central responsibilities. At this time,
there is more incentive to reduce risk rather than reduce costs.
We must change this. Beginning this fire season, we must elevate
cost containment commensurate with other objectives.
Agency
Actions |
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- Each agency will formally establish wildland fire suppression
cost control as a high priority. Begin this change at the
very top of the organization.
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- All levels of the organization will recognize and strive
for leadership that is united and earnest about cost containment.
Both our Agency Line Officers and Incident Commanders
are vital to this effort.
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“Although most managers recognize that they have the authority
to select priorities and strategies that will reduce cost, few are
willing to take the risk. Managers do a good job of allocating scarce
resources to priority fires. As resources become more readily available
and outside pressures increase, the care used in allocation of resources
declines. The potential for litigation and claims, critical media
coverage, and political pressure to suppress all fires are major
disincentives to risk taking.”
Fire Suppression Costs on Large Fires – A Review
of the 1994 Fire Season, USDA Forest Service
Agency
Line Officer Actions |
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- When an incident reaches a Level I complexity, the Regional
or State administrator—in collaboration with the local Agency
Line Officer—will assign an experienced person to assist
the Agency Line Officer in performing his or her responsibilities.
This individual does not have to be from the Agency Line
Officer’s own agency. (Coaching and mentoring is the
key concept here. We need to help create a culture that
encourages [rewards] managers rather than discourages [punishes]
managers who ask for assistance.)
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- In addition to competencies normally
associated with Agency Line Officer positions, evaluation
criteria related to necessary fire management skills should
be added to vacancy announcements. These skills should also
be added to Agency Line Officer annual performance standards.
This will lead to increased skills and decreased costs.
(Specifically for the Forest Service, these criteria
and standards have been submitted to the Washington Office
as an action item of the Thirtymile Fire Accident and Prevention
Action Plan.)
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Incident Commander
and Agency Line Officer
As soon as possible after the Incident Management
Team arrives, the Agency Line Officer and the Incident Commander
will jointly review the initial Wildland Fire Situation Analysis
(WFSA).
At this time, the WFSA will be revised, as necessary,
to produce attainable, reasonable, doable alternatives that
reflect all of our objectives—including cost containment.
Incident
Commander and Agency Line Officer Actions
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When Area Command is activated this 2003 fire season: |
- A representative of the Area
Command team will be involved in the Agency Line Officer/Incident
Commander meeting.
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- The
Area Command Delegation of Authority will reflect the selected
alternative with cost containment objectives, and will re-delegate
to the Incident Commander(s).
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- Both the Incident Management
Team and the Area Command will be evaluated on how well
they meet the objectives of the Delegation of Authority.
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(After this fire season, better cost data
for different fuel types and strategies etc. will be developed.)
The Wildland Fire Situation Analysis (WFSA) process
for large fires is cumbersome. Its benefits are not well understood.
It has commonly evolved beyond active thinking and analysis to simply
a passive computer process-driven outcome.
Wildland
Fire Situation Analysis Actions
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- Develop the WFSA to address:
- More substance and alternatives that reflect a thorough
analysis of cost-vs.-risk with emphasis on cost containment.
- A focus on thinking and analysis—rather than rote
computer program interaction.
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- Recognize that preparing
a good WFSA requires specific skills.
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- Seek or accept assistance
from peers, superiors, or master performers in developing
the WFSA.
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- Establish a cost threshold at which Region or State
level approval of the WFSA and Delegation of Authority would
be required. (For example, when projected or current costs
exceed $15 million.)
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- Collaborate and ensure in-depth discussion with the Incident
Commander. This is crucial in developing a well-thought
out WFSA. Equally important are similar discussions for
ongoing review and updates using current and estimated costs.
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- Issue Delegations of Authorities
that reflect specific cost objectives and cost monitoring
procedures.
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Wildland
Fire Situation Analysis Actions cCont'd |
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- Consider only
tactics and strategies likely to be effective in that fire
regime.
- Identify the least cost alternative.
- Provide justification when selecting
an alternative other than the least cost alternative.
-
Establish a cost threshold trigger that, when exceeded,
requires a revision of the WFSA that includes review of
additional alternatives.
- Establish performance standards for
Area Command and Incident Management Teams to minimize suppression
costs. Recognize the Area Command and Incident Management
Team’s performance in achieving cost containment.
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Several immediate actions can be taken to improve
fire business management practices, procurement, and reviews. These
have been adequately discussed—and outlined with corresponding follow-up
actions—by the Chief’s Incident Accountability Report (in
Final Draft, February, 2002).
The Chief’s Incident Accountability Report
addresses a number of prudent fire business management practices
that call for action. Implementation of these actions is essential
to reducing costs. (Decisions and costs associated with fire suppression
tactics and the cost of incident operational decisions were not
included in this report.) Chartered by the Chief of the Forest Service,
this report’s four key incident cost-control measures:
- Enhance and Streamline Resource Acquisition
Standards.
- Refocus and Improve Large Fire Cost Reviews.
- Conduct Post-Incident Activity Reviews.
- Better Define and Improve Comptroller Roles
and Training.
The Incident Business Advisor
The Incident Business Advisor position often
becomes overrun in high cost incidents. Therefore, on large fires,
a single Incident Business Advisor is insufficient. (To fill this
need, in the short term, it may be necessary to rely on our retiree
experience.)
Financial
Management Actions |
- Endorse and incorporate the actions
of the Chief’s Incident Accountability Report.
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- Reinforce the need for additional
highly-skilled Incident Business Advisors.
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- Reinforce the existing direction
to ensure Incident Business Advisors are assigned to all
Type I incidents. Consider assigning an Incident Business
Advisor to Type II incidents with high-cost potential.
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- Assign additional cost containment
support positions (in addition to the Incident Business
Advisor) when incidents exceed $12-$15 million.
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- Collectively, these cost containment
support positions must have the following financial skills:
1) Fire Business Management; 2) Contracting or Procurement;
3) Fire Operations.
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- Invite senior-level agency, administration,
and state policy staff to large fire incidents. (Including
these individuals will encourage an expanded view and learning
opportunity of the myriad complexities that occur on large
fire situations.)
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Large
Aircraft Actions |
- Ensure that the primary
role and purpose of air tankers and large helicopters is
initial attack and the protection of human life.
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- Increase the use of Single Engine Air Tankers (SEATS).
They may constitute the minimum force necessary for suppression.
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- Conduct an analysis to
determine the appropriate number of Type I Helicopters and
National Shared Resource Type II Helicopters to be used
in the national fleet. (Resources contracted over a period
of time are more cost efficient than paying call-when-needed
rates during an emergency.)
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- Agency leadership should support operational decisions
NOT to use large aircraft on incidents.
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- Establish positive management controls and oversight
on aerial operations regarding the use of large helicopters.
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14-Day
Rotation Actions |
- Take maximum advantage of the flexibility
within the recently revised 2003 NWCG guidelines (Interagency
Incident Business Management Handbook) to minimize the
number of Incident Management Team and Area Command transitions.
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We need to reauthorize fire managers to maximize
the opportunities provided by aggressive firefighting. While safety
is our first priority, it isn’t our only priority.
Aggressive initial attack is the best way to
reduce costs and decrease long-term exposure to risk. In wildland
fire management: we must always “play to win rather than play
not to lose.”
Initial Attack
Key actions to minimize the cost of suppressing
wildland fire: preventing the fire from occurring; immediate
and aggressive initial attack to contain and control a new
fire ignition while it is still small.
Suppression costs escalate significantly
as fire size increases. Consequently, by eliminating greater
exposure to large fire hazards, successful initial attack
reduces suppression costs and also increases safety.
Forest Service figures show that only two
percent of this agency’s wildland fires—the large incidents—now
usurp an enormous 85 percent of the agency’s total suppression
budget. |
Tactical
Actions |
- All Federal, State and Local agencies engaged in the
suppression of wildland fire will formalize and embrace
a policy of aggressive initial attack. This will be our
wildand fire suppression program’s top priority.
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- Place a stronger consideration
on the use of mechanized equipment. This can reduce: costs,
risks to firefighters, and resource damage.
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- Revisit the advantages of night operations. Ensure a
careful exposure to risk analysis is undertaken before we
make decisions for no night operations.
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- Rebuild a Type III Incident Management Team capability
on local units.
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- Apply the lowest standard
of mop-up necessary to accomplish the incident objective.
When applied to mop-up, less may be more.
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- Demobilize resources—including portions of Incident Management
Teams—as quickly and efficiently as possible when they are
no longer needed to meet incident objectives.
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Section
Two – 2003 and Beyond
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We must ensure
that we apply the highest skill level
available at every phase and in every elemen
of wildfire management.
Several times in the past decade our management
model for Preparedness Levels IV and V has been stretched to the
limit. To better contend with the increasing complexity of incidents
and the decreasing availability of incident management expertise,
we need a new model with clarified roles and responsibilities for
Agency Line Officers, as well as for Local, Geographic, and National
Multi-Agency Coordination Groups.
This concept helps buttress the underlying premise of this report:
that we must ensure that we apply the highest skill level available
at every phase and in every element of wildfire management.
Preparedness
Level IV & V Actions |
- At the highest preparedness levels,
transition the National and Geographic Multi-Agency Coordination
Groups to a management model of “command” rather than “coordination.”
This will enable these important groups to make the difficult,
strategic decisions necessary to ensure that critical resources
are best positioned (nationally or geographically) to respond
to the highest priority threats.
- Implementing this change (first
bulleted action on previous page) will require the following
actions:
1)
National Multi-Agency Coordination (MAC) members must
receive a written delegation of authority from their
respective agencies that provides clear authority to
allocate and reallocate nationally mobilized resources
to the Geographic Areas having the most critical need.
2)
To quickly respond to emerging or rapidly changing situations,
Geographic MAC members must receive a written delegation
of authority from their agencies that provides clear
authority to allocate and reallocate resources available
to them within the Geographic Area.
3)
Agencies must ensure their National-MAC and Geographic-MAC
members have the appropriate skills and experience to:
a.) recognize emerging or changing situations; b.) make
the timely, critical decisions necessary to ensure the
available resources are best positioned to respond.
This may require new training and support for MAC Groups
to be developed that focuses on necessary decision-making
skills required at the highest preparedness levels.
4)
To be effective, National and Geographic MAC Groups
must have access to timely and accurate intelligence
and predictive information.
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Needed: A New, Long-Term Approach to Fire
Finance
As Michael
Hupp, formerly of the Pacific Northwest Region’s Umpqua National
Forest, significantly pointed out in that Forest’s 2002 Lessons
Learned:
Contracting
Actions |
- Establish an interagency team (including private sector
experts) to establish a more efficient business model for
contracting. This should include the development of new
contracting management tools.
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- Implement a new business model for contracting on large
fires and develop the new skills and workforce to properly
administer our contracts on the fireline.
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- In lieu of contracting, increase the use of state and
local resources.
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During the past decade, frequent and prolonged
wildland fire suppression operations in the Wildland Urban Interface
(WUI) have become increasingly common. These operations have resulted
in a dramatic increase in costs as Agency Line Officers and Incident
Management Teams employ extraordinary efforts to protect: communities
and associated infrastructure, homes, businesses, and other structures.
Uncertainty regarding the legal authorities,
roles, and responsibilities of Federal, State, Tribal, and Local
government entities with adjoining or over-lapping jurisdictions
has led to confusion, and has occasionally resulted in uncoordinated,
inefficient actions. Therefore, significant cost reductions in the
Wildland Urban Interface will require a conscientious, well-coordinated
effort by all entities with jurisdiction—long before a fire starts.
An interagency team, led by Jerry Williams (Forest
Service) and Larry Hamilton (Bureau of Land Management), is currently
working on this issue. One of their charges is to clarify the authorities,
roles, and responsibilities of Federal, State, Tribal, and Local
government in providing structure protection and structure suppression
within the Wildland Urban Interface.
Wildland
Urban Interface Actions |
In
areas with communities-at-risk from wildland fire, all local
fire protection organizations with jurisdiction should immediately
beginning planning for the eventual wildland fire that threatens
their communities or associated infrastructure. At a minimum,
such planning should include the following: |
- Jointly assess the defensibility
of each community and its associated infrastructure and
set priorities appropriately.
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- Based on the (above) assessment, develop and implement
pre-attack plans that identify which homes, businesses,
and other improvements will be protected; how they will
be protected; and by whom. In addition, identify those which
are not safely defensible and which will only be evacuated.
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- Jointly develop agreements that identify how structure
protection costs will be shared among agencies should a
fire threaten a community.
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- Plan and train for the use of Unified Command among all
organizations with jurisdiction.
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- Jointly train with local government fire personnel to
ensure that—in the event of fire—they can be immediately
and effectively utilized in the suppression effort.
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- Work with communities and home
owners to implement “Firewise” actions to reduce their risk
from wildfire.
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Jack Troyer,
Team Co-Leader
Regional Forester, Intermountain Region.
Rex Mann,
Team Co-Leader
National Area Commander.
Timber, Wildlife, Fire Staff Officer,
Daniel Boone National Forest.
Michael
King
Forest Supervisor, Prescott National Forest.
John Berry
Forest Supervisor, Eldorado National Forest.
Neal Hitchcock
Manager, National Interagency Coordination
Center.
Steve Frye
National Type I Incident Commander.
Chief Ranger, Glacier National Park.
Don Artley
National Fire Director, National Association
of State Foresters.
Art DuFault
Fire, Fuels, Biomass Liaison, Bureau of
Land Management Washington D.C.
Paul Keller
Writer-Editor, USDA Forest Service.
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