Winter Distillate and Natural Gas Outlook

07/27/2000


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Table of Contents

Winter Distillate and Natural Gas Outlook

Distillate Prices Increasing With Crude Oil

Distillate Outlook

When Will Crude Oil Prices Fall?

OPEC Production Changes Impacted World Crude Oil Prices

High Crude Prices Go With Low Inventories

December 2000 Relatively High Prices Reflect Low Stock Coverage

Distillate Supply/Demand Balance Reflected in Spreads

While Gasoline Has the Limelight, Distillate Is Being Watched

Distillate Stocks Are Important Part of Northeast Winter Supply

Weather Affects Winter Heating Oil Demand (Oct - Mar)

Distillate Demand Strong in December 1999

U.S. High Sulfur Distillate Demand

U.S. Low Sulfur Distillate Demand

U.S. Winter Distillate Demand Expected to Increase

Dec 1999 & Jan 2000 Production Fell, But Rebounded with Price

Production/Demand Ratio Low In December 1999

U.S. Winter Distillate Production Expected to Increase

Distillate Stocks Expected to Remain Low

More Supply Possible This Fall than Forecast

Winter Crude Oil and Distillate Price Outlook

Natural Gas Outlook

Natural Gas Stocks Expected to Remain Low

Natural Gas Wellhead Prices

Conclusion

Author: John Cook

Email: jcook@eia.doe.gov

Home Page: www.eia.doe.gov

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