Predicting an Earthquake
Although a great deal is known about where earthquakes are likely
to occur, there is currently no reliable way to predict the days
or months when an event will occur in any specific location..
The USGS is thus focusing its research efforts on developing long-range
earthquake probability forecasts in seismically active urban areas.
The only on-going USGS research in earthquake prediction is the
Parkfield Prediction Experiment.
Predicting Earthquakes
-by Louis Pakiser and Kaye M. Shedlock, USGS
Is
the reliable prediction of individual earthquakes a realistic
scientific goal?
-debate in Nature
Earthquake
Prediction Information
- by Ruth Ludwin, University of Washington.
Research
Activities at Parkfield, California
Assessment
of Schemes for Earthquake Prediction
-Royal Astronomical Society meeting abstracts
Earthquake
Prediction, Societal Implications
-Keitti Aki, Univ. Southern California, from Reviews of Geophysics
Earthquakes
Cannot Be Predicted
-Robert J. Geller, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan, Francesco Mulargia,
from Science
Papers
from an NAS Colloquium on Earthquake Prediction: The Scientific
Challenge
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