ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TTAA00 KNFD DDHHMM . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/11/04 2256Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 VALUES ARE MAX OR SGFNT EST. OROGRAPHIC CORRECTION IN AUTO-ESTS.. EST'S FM:/GOES12-CNTRL AND E. U.S./GOES10-W. U.S... LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2245Z GG . LOCATION...NEW JERSEY/S NEW YORK... . ATTN WFO'S...PHI...OKX...MARFC . EVENT...TRAINING/REDEVELOPMENT . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER HAS SET THE STAGE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HIGH TOTALS...ESPECIALLY IN AN URBAN AREA WHERE FF THREAT IS EXACERBATED. EARLIER LINE PRODUCED UP TO MANUAL SATELLITE ESTIMATES 4" JUST OFF THE BROOKLYN COAST OVER WATER...WITH SOME 1-2" AMOUNTS OVER NYC. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE CONVECTION THE OUTFLOW LINE HAS REMAINED NEARLY E-W WHERE CELL MOTION WILL CAUSE FURTHER TRAINING OF CELLS. CURRENT VIS LOOP SHOWS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH MULTIPLE OVERSHOOTING TOPS FROM E BUCKS COUNTY PA TO JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. THESE CELLS HAVE VERY COLD TOPS (- 65C) AND ARE CAPABLE OF RAIN RATES OF 2.0"-2.5"/HR BASED ON GOES SOUNDER PW VALUES OF 1.7" WITHIN THE VICINITY. NJ COUNTIES OF MIDDLESEX AND SOMERSET COUNTIES HAVE SEEN SOME SIGNIFICANT TRAINING IN THE LAST 2 HOURS...WITH WHAT APPEARS TO BE 2 OVERSHOOTING TOPS CURRENTLY IN S SOMERSET COUNTY...THESE CELLS WILL TRACK ACROSS STATEN ISLAND INTO BROOKLYN AND QUEENS IN THE NEXT HOUR WITH THESE RATES EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" ALONG THE LINE...WITH ISOLATED 2.5" WHERE MERGERS OCCUR. . 1 HOUR HYDRO-ESTIMATOR TOTALS ARE ON AWIPS UNDER 1 HOUR AUTO SPE. . EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 1 2004...THE HEADER IDENTIFICATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM KWBC TO KNES. . ....NESDIS SAB HAS BEEN ADDED TO 12 PLANET.... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT PS/PCPN... [ONLINE SSD PRECIP PRODUCT INDEX] . LAT...LON 41500 7500 4150 7300 4000 7300 4000 7500 NNNN