ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TTAA00 KNFD DDHHMM . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/05/04 0020Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 VALUES ARE MAX OR SGFNT EST. OROGRAPHIC CORRECTION IN AUTO-ESTS.. EST'S FM:/GOES12-CNTRL AND E. U.S./GOES10-W. U.S... LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0015Z CK . LOCATION...CENTRL NEBRASKA THRU NE SOUTH DAKOTA/SE NORTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA . ATTN WFOS/RFCS...LBF..OAX..GID..FSD..ABR..FGF..MPX..DLH..MBRFC..NCRFC . EVENT...TSTMS DEVELOPING/INCR ALONG SFC FRONT..HVY RAIN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WHILE TSTMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER SE SD THRU W MN OVER THE PAST FEW HRS..NEW STMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER N NEB THRU NE SD. THE TSTMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING/OCCURRING INVOF SFC BOUNDARY..WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS SFC CONVERGENCE THRU THE ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA. COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE..WITH GOES SOUNDER IMAGERY SHOWING INCRG COVERAGE OF HIGH PW VALUES...GENERALLY BTWN 1.3-1.5" WITH SOME SPOTS OF 1.5"PLUS. THESE VALUES ARE AROUND 150 PER CENT OF NORMAL OR HIGHER FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. . ONE OF THE MAIN CATALYSTS FOR THE INCRG CONVECTION OVER THE S AND CENTRAL PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS THE INTRUSION OF THE TROPICAL UPPR LEVEL JET. GOES WV IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL PLUME/JET..EMANATING FROM TS HOWARD..HAS NOW REACHED THE NE NEB/ SE SD AREA. FURTHER N..CONVECTION OVER ND AND MN HAS CONTINUED TO ENHANCE AS SHORT WAVE MOVG ACRS ND PROVIDES ADDITIONAL LIFT..IN ADDITION TO BEING CLOSE TO FAVORED RT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET STREAK EXTENDING FM S CANADA THRU E ND/W MN. . FOR SE ND..NE SD..MN...IN ADDITION TO ABOVE FACTORS..30KT+ LLJ PER PROFILER DATA OVER NEB ADVECTING THETA-E INTO NE SD/SE ND/MN FAVORS FURTHER ENHANCEMENT OF THE CONVECTION..ALONG WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF CELL TRAINING AND MERGERS. EVEN THOUGH FFG VALUES ARE FAIRLY HIGH TO START..FLOODING COULD STILL BE AN ISSUE FOR SOME LOCATIONS WHERE ANY PROLONGED CELL TRAINING AND MERGERS OCCUR TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1- 3" COULD BE COMMON..WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS PSBL. . FOR NEB/SE SD...HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO INDICATED FOR THIS AREA AS WELL. IN ADDITION TO THE STMS ALREADY DEVELOPING..STMS HAVE ALSO BEEN FORMING OVER SW TO S CENTRAL NEB. MOVEMENT IS TWD THE NE..AND THEY COULD MERGE WITH THE N NEB STMS. ....SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST..... . EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 1 2004...THE HEADER IDENTIFICATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM KWBC TO KNES. . ....NESDIS SAB HAS BEEN ADDED TO 12 PLANET.... . HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT/PS/PCPN.. [ONLINE SSD PRECIP PRODUCT INDEX. LAT...LON 4900 10000 4900 9400 4100 9400 4100 10000 NNNN