AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KFGZ 081738
 AFDFGZ
 
 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF 
 1030 AM MST MON NOV 08 2004
 
 .SYNOPSIS...A STRONG AND WET PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA 
 TODAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE REGION...AND SNOW OVER THE 
 HIGHEST ELEVATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE 
 STATE ON TUESDAY WITH DRIER AND SLIGHT WEATHER WEATHER FOR MID WEEK. 
 ANOTHER STORM IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY AND 
 LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND. 
 
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 .DISCUSSION...NORTH SOUTH BAND OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE 
 NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN YAVAPAI COUNTY AND CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY 
 THIS MORNING. AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATE MANY STREAMS CONTINUE 
 TO RISE SO HAVE ISSUED SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THESE 
 LOCATIONS. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY.
 
 IN ADDITION...THE STORMS IN THIS BAND ARE QUITE STRONG AND WITH THE 
 LARGE SHEAR AND HELICITY PRESENT ARE SHOWING ROTATION. WILL CONTINUE 
 TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STORMS BECOMING MARGINALLY 
 SEVERE LATER THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
 
 SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE SNOW LEVELS REMAIN QUITE HIGH 
 SOMEWHERE AROUND 9500 FEET OR HIGHER. EXPECT THE SNOW LEVELS TO FALL 
 QUICKLY ONCE THE COLD CORE OF THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE STATE 
 LATER TODAY.  DB
    
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 .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 
 PM MST TODAY FOR ZONES 8/15/18/37/38.
 
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