AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KTWC 300935
 AFDTWC
 
 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
 215 AM MST SAT OCT 30 2004
 
 SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
 
 .SYNOPSIS...DRY AND WARMER FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A WEAK 
 SYSTEM WILL CLIP NORTHEAST ARIZONA SUNDAY WITH BREEZES AND SOME 
 CLOUDS FOR THE AREA...AND A FEW SHOWERS IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. DRY 
 AND WARMER WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
 
 &&
 
 .DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH JUST CIRRUS LEVEL MOISTURE AND A 
 TOUCH LEFT IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AS A SECONDARY BIT OF ENERGY KEEPS 
 A WEAK TROUGH GEOMETRY OVER US TODAY. STRONGER ENERGY AND MOISTURE 
 PUSHES THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE SUNDAY INTO 
 EARLY MONDAY JUST BRUSHING THROUGH NORTHEAST ARIZONA. BREEZES AND 
 CLOUDS FOR US LATE SUNDAY ALONG WITH SEVERAL DEGREES OF COOLING 
 AGAIN FOR MONDAY. LOW AMPLITUDE LARGE SCALE RIDGE INFLUENCES THE 
 WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES BACK 
 TO CLIMO BY THEN AFTER A COUPLE OF COOL NIGHTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. 
 UNCERTAIN PATTERN TO END THE WEEK...HOW WELL WILL THE RIDGE HOLD IN 
 JUST OFF SHORE...AND HOW FAR EAST WILL THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT STORM 
 START TO DIG INTO THE CONUS? RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE MORE OF A 
 GLANCING BLOW FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WITH PROTECTION UNDER THE 
 EASTERN FLANK OF A STRONG RIDGE. WE`LL SEE...FOR RIGHT NOW WE`LL 
 SHOW A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING AND PARTLY CLOUDY IN SPOTS TO END THE 
 WEEK.
 
 &&
 
 .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
 
 &&
 
 

 MEYER
 

Webmaster
National Weather Service
Tucson Weather Forecast Office
520 North Park Ave, Suite 304
Tucson, AZ 85719

Tel: (520) 670-6526