THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION


[List of contractions used in this product]
Geographic boundaries:    Map 1- [Color] [B/W Print Version]      Map 2 - [Color] [B/W Print Version]


 
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
630 PM EDT TUE OCT 19 2004
 
FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 21/0000 UTC THRU OCT 23/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR
 
 
...FINAL DAY 1...

IN GENERAL THE 18Z ETA AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THEIR
PREVIOUS RUNS. THE GFS HOWEVER HAS LOCALLY REDUCED ITS
HEAVIER AMTS ACRS THE MID-ATL REGION.

DESPITE THE FAIR MDL AGREEMENT...MADE SOME RELATIVELY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO INITIAL SET OF PROGS REGARDING THE
CURRENT CONVECTIVE THREAT IN THE SOUTHEAST. STG
CONVECTION/HVY RAINS ACRS AL/GA WL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
3 TO 6 HOURS AS STG STREAM JET ENERGY CUTS ACRS THE ERN GULF
COAST REGION. VRY UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACRS ESP SRN MS
EWD INTO GA AND THIS COMBINED WITH THE UPR FORCING/DIFFLUENCE
WL HELP TO SUSTAIN THE THREAT FOR CONVECTION. HAVE SHIFTED
HEAVIER RAINFALL AMTS FARTHER SOUTH INTO S CNTRL AL EWS INTO GA
WHERE MEAN FLOW SHD CARRY THE CURRENT ACTIVITY ESE AND ALSO
BUILDING IT INTO THE HIGHER THETA-E/INSTABILITY NR THE GULF COAST.

HAVE ALSO REDUCED AMTS LOCALLY OVR THE INTERIOR WEST GIVEN
LOW SFC TDS WHICH WL NEED TO BE OVERCOME BEFORE HEAVIER RAINS
DEVELOP.

ELSEWHERE...RAINFALL AMTS WERE ENHANCED ACRS THE CNTRL/SRN
SIERRA AND ACRS THE MTNS OF SRN CA WHERE ONSHORE LOW/MID LVL
FLOW AND HVY RAINFALL RATES ARE LEADING TO HIGHER AMTS.

...PRELIM DAY 1...            

...SYNOPSIS...
DEEP CLSD LOW ALNG THE PAC CST WL DIG SLOLY SWD THIS PD.  IN
RESPONSE TO THE DIGG WRN TROF...RDGG WL BCM MORE PROMINENT
FM THE CNTRL TO ERN U.S.. A FNTL BNDRY DRAPED ACRS THE MID ATLC
STS...OH VLY INTO THE SRN PLNS WL MOV SEWD THIS PD AS LOW PRES
SPINS UP ALNG THE FNT AND MOVS TO ALNG THE ECST BY WED EVE. IN
THE WRN U.S. THE SFC LOW OFF THE OR CST IS XPCD TO WEAKEN AND
DROP SWD...WHILE THE ASSOCD FNTL BNDRY SWEEPS INLAND.

...MID ATLC/SERN U.S...
MDLS CONT TO HAV TRBL WITH QPF OVR THIS PORTION OF THE U.S.. MDL
RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY HAS BEEN POOR. LKLY CAUSED BY THE CVCTN
AND MESOSCALE INFLUENCES OVR THE TN VLY INTO THE NRN GULF CST
STS...WHICH HAS BLOCKED INFLOW FARTHER N. AGN THIS SEEMS TO BE
THE DRIVG FORCE BEHIND TDAS FCST. ONE MIDLVL SHRTWV IS SEEN
WEAKENG/SHEARG EWD AND OFF THE SRN NEW ENG/NRN MID ATLC CST
ERLY THIS EVE. SOME VRY LGT PCPN IS XPCD BEHIND THIS FEATR AS
WEAK OVRRNG CONTS. THE MAIN FOCUS WL BE THE UPR JET
STREAK/SHRTWV THAT IS MOVG THRU THE SRN PLNS THIS AFTN AND WL
DIVE INTO THE SERN U.S. TNGT. THIS WL CONT TO PROVDE STG UPR
DVRG FLOW ALOFT AND DEEP LYRD LIFT ACRS THE REGION. THE AIRMASS
ACRS THE SERN U.S. REMAINS QUITE MOIST AND UNSTBL WITH PWS AOA
1.50 INCHES AND SFC DWPTS IN THE LWR 70S. CAPES FEEDG INTO THE
REGION ARE 2000-3000 J/KG. XPCT LOW PRES TO DVLP ALNG THE FNTL
BNDRY OVR THE OH/TN VLYS THIS EVE AND JUMP TO THE ECST BY WED
AFTN. THIS SHLD AID WITH PULLG THE DEEP MSTR/INSTBLTY EWD WITH
THE MORE FOCUSED HVY RNFL LKLY TO BE OVR ERN NC/SC. SOME
LINGERG RW ARE XPCD THRU THE GULF CST STS AS THE BNDRY IS NOT
XPCD TO MAKE MUCH HEADWAY INTO THE FACE OF BULDG MIDLVL HGTS
DURG THE SCND HALF OF THIS PD. ONE ITEM OF NOTE IS THE STG 8H
THERMAL FORCG SEEN IN THE ETA AND SOMEWHAT IN THE GFS OVR TX
LATER TNGT. ALTHOU MDLS DON'T PRDC PCPN...SOUNDGS DO SUPPORT
SOME ELEVATED INSTBLTY AND PSBLY RW.

...WRN U.S...
THE EARLY SEASON ERN PAC CLSD LOW WL MOV SLOLY SWD THIS PD
WITH THE PAC FNT MOV SLOLY INLND. THIS SYS IS BEGING TO TAP INTO
SOME MORE IMPRVS MSTR...THAT COMBINED WITH THE SLO MOVEMENT.
SHLD SUPPORT HVY RNFL OVR THE SRN CA HIER TERRAIN. MDLS AND
SATL INDICATED A STG SHRTWV/UPR JET STREAK DIVG SWD ALNG THE
WRN EDGE OF THE SYS THAT SHLD DIG INTO THE BASE TNGT AND
REESTABLISH ITSELF FM SRN CA INTO THE GRT BASIN ON WED. THIS UPR
JET WL SUPPLY STG UPR DVRG FLOW TO THE REGION THRU MUCH OF THE
PD. PWS ARE FCST TO BUILD TO JUST OVR ONE INCH THRU SRN CA WITH
PERSISTENT MOD/STG LOLVL ONSHORE FLOW. MDLS INDICATE MOD/STG
OROGRAPHIC LIFT THAT COMBINED WITH STG BNDRY LYR MSTR CVRG
AND 8H CVRG SHLD HELP WITH PCPN PRODUCTION. THE PAC FNTL BNDRY
IS XPCD TO SLOW ITS EWD PROGRESSION ON WED AND LKLY HANGUP
ALNG THE WASATCH SWWD INTO SRN CA. THIS WL PROMOTE ADDTNL
INFLOW TO THE REGION WITH THE MDLS SHOWG A RIBBON OF HIER 8H
DWPTS AND PWS ACRS THE REGION. FOR THIS REASON HAV GNRLY
FAVORED THE HVIER PCPN INDICATED IN THE GFS. THE GFS SEEMS TOO
WET OVR SWRN UT AS WEAK FEEDBACK DVLPS...BUT WE COULD STILL
SEE SOME 1-2 INCH PCPN AMTS IN THE HIEST TERRAIN. THE HVIEST PCPN
SHLD BE OVR THE SRN CA MTNS WHERE THE DEEP MSTR/LOLVL INFLOW
WL RUN NRML TO THE MTNS AND PROVIDE THE BEST SETUP FOR
OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED HVY RNFL. AT THIS TIME THINK SOME ISOLD 3-
4 INCH TOTALS ARE PSBL IN THE MORE FAVORED AREAS.

LGT PCPN SHLD SPRD NWD INTO THE PAC NW AND NRN ROCKIES.
 
DAY 2...

...SOUTHWEST/SRN ROCKIES...

A RATHER STRONG UPPER TROF DROPPING DOWN THE WEST COAST ON
DAY1 WILL TURN TO THE EAST THIS PERIOD AND BEGIN MOVING TOWARDS
THE SRN GREAT BASIN AND SRN ROCKIES.  IMPRESSIVE ONSHORE FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL BRING RATHER SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
PACIFIC MSTR INTO SERN SRN CA... NRN BAJA... WRN AZ.. SERN UT AND
NWRN CO.  THIS WILL PRODUCE A MAJOR HVY QPF EVENT OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NWRN AZ.  BOTH THE ETA AND GFS ARE IN RELATIVELY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE UPPER TROF
WITH THE GFS ONLY BEING VERY SLIGHTLY FASTER AND STRONGER THAN
THE ETA. THE GFS... HOWEVER.. IS QUITE A BIT WETTER THAN THE ETA...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WRN AZ.  BUT CONSIDERING THE
ABUNDANT MSTR STREAMING INTO THE REGION AS WELL AS THE STRONG
DYNAMICS ALOFT... THE GFS DOESN'T LOOK ALL THAT BAD.  BASICALLY
JUST MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO MORE CLOSELY MATCH THE TERRAIN
EFFECTS... THUS LOWERING THE MAX SOMEWHAT.  WITH SO MUCH
ENERGY ALOFT MOVING UP INTO THE WRN ROCKIES... WILL ALSO SEE
SOME MDT TO HVY PCPN... WITH SNOW AT THE HIER ELEVATIONS...
SPREADING UP ACROSS SRN UT AND INTO NWRN CO.

...DAKOTAS/UPPER MS VLY...

A NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROF LIFTING ACROSS THE DAKOTAS WILL
SPREAD A SWATH OF PCPN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE ITS ASSOCIATED
INVERTED TROF. MOST OF THE PCPN IS EXPECTED NORTH OF THE
U.S./CANADIAN BORDER.. HOWEVER SOME WILL EXTEND DOWN INTO ND
AND EXTREME NWRN MN.  THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN HOW
THE ETA AND GFS ARE HANDLING THE S/WV AND THUS THERE ARE ALSO
SOME DIFFERENCES IN THEIR RESPECTIVE QPF'S.   WITH CONFIDENCE
LOW IN WHICH MDL TO PICK WITH RESPECT TO THE S/WV... ENDED UP
LEANING TOWARDS A BLEND OF THE TWO.. THEN MODIFYING THE QPF TO
MORE CLOSELY MATCH THE PATTERN.

DAY3...

...ROCKIES...

MDT TO HVY PCPN WILL PERSIST OVER THE ROCKIES EARLY IN THE
PERIOD AS THE AXIS OF THE UPPER TROF SHIFTS EWD WITH TIME.  STILL
LEANED MORE TOWARDS THE GFS THIS PERIOD OVER THIS REGION AS IT
WAS PREFERRED ON DAY2 AND THERE IS NO REASON TO CHANGE THAT
THINKING.

...PLAINS...

SOME FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES DEVELOP BETWEEN THE MASS
FIELDS OF THE ETA AND THE GFS ON DAY3 THAT END UP CAUSING PRETTY
BIG DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS WITH THEIR RESPECTIVE
QPFS.  THE MASS FIELD DIFFERENCES CONCERN THE EVOLUTION OF THE
UPPER TROF AS IT MOVES EWD FROM THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS. 
THE GFS CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY THE SYSTEM... EVEN CLOSING OFF A MID-
LEVEL CENTER BEFORE THE END OF THE PERIOD.. WHILE THE ETA IS
WEAKER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE.  THUS THE GFS IS ALSO SLOWER AND
STRONGER WITH THE ASSOCIATED SFC LOW AND ENDS UP ALSO BEING
SLOWER... AND WETTER.. WITH ITS QPF... PRODUCING A FAIRLY SGFNT
SWATH OVER THE MID-MS VLY COMPARED TO THE ETA WHICH IS FARTHER
TO THE EAST.  LOOKING AT THE VARIOUS OTHER MODELS WITH RESPECT
TO THIS UPPER TROF... THERE DOESN'T REALLY SEEM TO BE A CLEAR
CONSENSUS... WITH THE UKMET FAVORING THE GFS.. AND BEING EVEN
STRONGER ACTUALLY... THE CANADIAN FAVORING THE ETA SOLN.... THE
NOGAPS BEING SLOWER THAN EVEN THE ETA AND LAST NIGHT'S ECMWF
BEING MORE LIKE THE GFS.  WITH THE GFS HAVING BEEN MORE
CONSISTENT WITH THIS FEATURE COMPARED TO THE 00Z RUN.. HAVE
OPTED TO GO MORE WITH THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS.  HOWEVER..
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD.. THE GFS DOES SHOW SOME SIGNS
OF GRID-SCALE FEEDBACK OVER NRN MO... SO BACKED OFF ON THE
AMOUNTS THERE SOMEWHAT.

NRN PLNS...

GFS IS MUCH WETTER HERE AS IT IS WRAPPING A LOT MORE MSTR BACK
INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLNS WHERE IT WILL OVERRUN THE
INVERTED BNDRY OVER THE REGION. AS THE GFS IS THE MODEL OF
CHOICE WITH RESPECT TO THE SFC LOW OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLNS...
WILL ALSO GO MORE WITH ITS SOLN HERE.


ECKERT/ORRISON/ROBSON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 526922 526909 524902 522895 519888 514883 508878 501876 
      494877 489875 485874 482874 481877 481883 480887 478890 
      478896 479902 482907 486915 488925 489931 492937 496945 
      501945 508948 513955 516956 518954 518947 519941 524933 
      526922 
 0.01 514086 514080 512071 508059 498035 491019 486005 479995 
      471986 467985 461985 448990 438992 435993 433996 429998 
      423009 430018 433025 436032 434039 430044 416059 406053 
      399054 395056 389061 384064 380065 378062 375062 368062 
      366064 365068 368079 371091 371098 369104 363111 356112 
      354113 351111 344104 340104 338106 336110 336115 336120 
      337126 339133 339140 335149 331151 327153 317157 314158 
      310161 307165 304171 300182 299195 300200 303200 311205 
      313209 316210 322209 323215 324219 329222 342224 354227 
      361231 364237 369248 373250 378251 380246 382244 384245 
      401255 415256 419256 423253 429250 433245 433241 431236 
      433233 438230 442228 446228 452226 456227 458232 457233 
      455235 455237 458242 467249 478258 482258 488254 489252 
      489247 488242 484237 482231 477224 483222 488223 493221 
      496219 498216 497209 494204 490200 486197 483196 469197 
      466200 463197 464193 472185 480178 487174 491176 495176 
      497174 499173 499168 497161 494155 492147 493136 496131 
      502122 505114 507109 512098 514086 
 0.01 428702 428697 427693 424687 420681 418679 410674 403672 
      397674 392677 387682 381686 370688 360694 348710 342718 
      339726 330744 326750 322753 314760 295772 282783 270788 
      261793 254796 250800 247804 246807 245813 246816 251822 
      263832 273838 276841 280845 283853 290862 295867 299878 
      298890 298898 300906 302911 304914 307915 310914 311912 
      312903 314891 317889 319892 319896 321899 323901 330904 
      337904 342903 347898 349894 353885 357874 360870 364865 
      370864 375863 384863 391862 395859 397855 398848 397823 
      398817 399811 401806 405801 410798 411801 414809 415816 
      415840 420846 424847 427842 430836 434824 437822 440826 
      445836 448851 454883 456888 460889 464885 466879 468874 
      468864 467856 465847 462837 457826 452811 447799 442789 
      437782 434777 429774 425770 426758 429746 430736 431725 
      431717 430714 428702 
 0.01 468089 470072 469064 468061 465060 462062 459061 456059 
      452056 448052 447050 445050 441054 438064 438069 444071 
      447073 450076 447080 445080 441084 444088 447089 453090 
      458093 461095 465093 468089 
 0.25 481213 480208 477206 474206 473206 471207 468209 467209 
      464210 462209 460211 458215 458219 460223 463222 464221 
      466220 469219 470219 472218 476216 477216 479215 481213 
 0.25 483134 485125 483121 477120 471123 469125 466136 461140 
      457146 454151 451151 447144 444138 443129 447119 450114 
      450107 449102 446099 443096 438096 434092 430088 424082 
      421088 422098 418100 411083 408084 404087 398084 394088 
      391093 389102 387105 371113 364117 356121 355126 356131 
      353138 348144 346151 343155 335159 325159 321161 318163 
      314171 310180 311189 314193 318194 323192 326193 329195 
      332202 333207 336209 339209 345210 353214 359221 365226 
      371230 378231 385231 389229 394226 395222 398222 400224 
      400227 402230 407232 411230 413225 415218 415210 416204 
      413202 406199 403196 399192 392191 389189 380183 372179 
      368176 367172 371167 376161 383161 388163 391168 398166 
      414161 417162 418159 421146 425134 428125 435120 441121 
      442128 440132 436138 434144 434152 435156 438160 442164 
      446166 447172 450180 455184 460182 463178 460174 460171 
      464166 473162 475157 474150 474143 481138 483134 
 0.25 393734 391727 388719 384715 380714 373714 369717 360725 
      345741 327760 315776 306784 296791 285797 276801 267805 
      263806 262808 263812 266815 278830 282834 286836 290839 
      294844 305860 313867 320875 328882 332883 336881 338875 
      337866 332854 328840 327833 327828 329816 333806 340797 
      346789 349785 353784 360780 367779 376781 381782 387782 
      390781 391776 394762 394755 394746 393734 
 0.25 414138 415134 414130 411129 409129 408130 405131 402131 
      399132 398136 399137 401140 402140 404142 407143 410142 
      412141 413140 414138 
 0.25 372209 371205 369202 366204 367208 368208 371209 372209 
 0.50 386742 385737 382732 380729 377728 368730 362733 355738 
      349744 336759 331765 329772 327778 323787 319793 318797 
      318802 311807 307809 303813 300818 297825 296833 298839 
      300844 321865 325865 327862 327859 327854 323841 322830 
      321813 321808 321804 328799 335792 340787 350773 358768 
      362764 367764 373767 377769 382767 385762 387754 386742 
 0.50 435108 432104 426105 416107 413102 412098 409091 406091 
      403097 400099 397099 394100 392109 385112 378113 374117 
      371119 365121 362135 357142 355145 355150 353156 354159 
      360162 364162 367161 372153 376150 381148 387147 390143 
      389140 387134 386131 388127 391125 405125 426122 431114 
      435108 
 0.50 431096 430092 427091 426092 427093 428096 429098 431096 
 0.50 410218 408211 404207 400203 396197 374184 364180 358181 
      352183 349182 348176 347168 345162 338161 332161 325162 
      322164 319170 318176 317181 319184 322185 329187 333190 
      338194 340199 344203 350204 354205 353197 354194 356191 
      359191 369197 377206 379209 383211 388213 393216 399218 
      405220 410218 
 0.50 374224 374223 373220 372218 369217 368219 369221 369223 
      371224 374224 374224 
 0.50 364218 364217 361216 360217 361217 363218 364218 
 1.00 384123 383119 382119 380119 377121 375122 374124 372126 
      371129 371133 370136 370140 372142 375141 377141 378137 
      379137 378133 379130 379129 381126 382124 384123 
 1.00 419115 414113 411110 409103 406100 405106 400108 397110 
      394113 397115 401117 406118 411119 416118 419115 
 1.00 397211 395205 389200 384195 379191 374187 365183 359184 
      362189 368193 373198 379203 381205 385207 391210 397211 
 1.00 345189 346186 346182 346178 346171 344167 342164 339164 
      333164 328163 324165 324169 328172 329176 332180 336183 
      339188 342190 345189 
 1.00 380750 379750 378751 380752 380750 318845 318842 317839 316836 
      316832 315829 313828 311830 311831 311834 312837 312840 
      313844 315846 316849 317849 318846 318845 
 1.50 387201 386200 384197 381195 379193 376191 373190 371188 
      368188 366189 367190 370192 371194 373195 375197 377199 
      378200 380202 383204 386203 387201 
 1.50 343185 345182 345178 345175 344171 344170 343168 342166 
      339166 336166 333165 330166 333169 336169 336170 337173 
      336177 337178 340181 341185 342186 343185 
 2.00 343181 345178 344175 344173 343171 342167 340167 339170 
      340174 339177 340179 342181 343183 343181 
 2.00 379196 378195 375195 378196 379196  
 
24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 556928 554894 553885 552879 548874 545873 538868 534868 
      528872 518886 508903 498917 493924 488930 481936 475940 
      451965 446971 444977 444986 448994 454000 457007 458021 
      461024 465024 467025 469031 473055 474069 474081 465095 
      461102 458102 456097 454085 454079 453075 451071 448068 
      444065 438065 430068 428064 424045 421042 418042 414045 
      407049 398057 391064 389065 386065 381059 374055 369055 
      365057 364065 367071 371079 371085 369089 362092 348096 
      344089 340084 336082 333083 329088 325097 321102 310111 
      298122 289130 284136 280145 276162 276171 276178 274192 
      275200 277207 281209 286205 289203 294202 300201 307200 
      315197 324195 330192 334189 339189 344190 374187 374181 
      374176 377174 384171 391170 396170 401171 407172 412175 
      417176 422175 426176 428179 427187 430191 431192 433197 
      434202 434209 431216 428219 426222 425229 426232 430234 
      443233 452231 457228 462222 469218 478218 486220 495221 
      499220 500214 497209 495205 490203 485203 479205 473206 
      470205 464208 461212 460207 458204 457199 458194 462188 
      465179 468174 470174 476175 481176 488180 494182 499182 
      513180 517179 520175 517164 517158 515152 507146 504140 
      498136 495133 493129 491124 491117 520105 526106 529103 
      530093 531078 534067 540044 544025 546013 548007 549999 
      552976 555948 556941 556934 556928 
 0.01 477652 475645 471643 464642 456643 448645 441648 436656 
      431675 429679 426683 417690 413694 410697 407705 408711 
      411713 420712 427709 432703 441695 449687 466680 470675 
      473671 476662 477652 
 0.01 425782 425777 424773 419769 415769 408771 404771 398775 
      390781 379790 370795 364799 360803 353811 347820 337827 
      334830 333836 334842 337845 338849 340850 345850 348848 
      352843 358835 366827 376822 382818 385814 393805 396801 
      401798 411794 418793 424790 425782 
 0.01 388737 386732 384729 379735 374737 366739 353739 341740 
      327742 324745 323751 327757 333760 339761 344764 349767 
      355769 363768 369765 373764 377760 381756 385749 388741 
      388737 
 0.01 306822 305813 301808 290802 287798 286793 285789 283787 
      276785 270785 259795 255800 254804 255814 259821 263824 
      269826 275828 279831 285834 290835 296836 300836 304835 
      306829 306822 
 0.25 479000 483008 490019 500020 507008 517978 524961 528949 
      530934 526917 518914 515916 511918 505924 499933 493942 
      480964 473975 472981 473990 479000 
 0.25 477155 477146 477142 474137 472137 471137 466137 461139 
      457143 454147 451151 449154 450159 452161 455160 458160 
      461161 467163 469164 472164 476159 477155 
 0.25 439108 438103 434099 431096 428097 424100 417101 415098 
      415091 417087 419083 420075 417069 413066 408065 401066 
      394072 387079 382081 380085 378090 375093 366100 359104 
      353106 350107 345106 342104 340102 338102 336106 334110 
      331114 323118 307127 306133 306140 304146 301150 296157 
      293167 297174 300178 305181 315180 324178 333174 341170 
      342165 345161 354158 361152 367151 371148 378145 382142 
      384134 390127 397120 405117 410116 417117 424119 429120 
      431119 439108 
 0.50 520939 519930 517926 514925 512927 509930 504934 501938 
      496946 490956 486966 485971 487974 490976 495978 499981 
      505978 508975 512970 514964 517952 520939 
 0.50 416080 416074 413071 408069 403069 399071 396074 391079 
      372105 364108 357111 349110 340106 337109 336114 334119 
      332122 329124 324124 317127 314131 315135 319137 321141 
      319144 312147 306152 300159 301164 303167 305170 310172 
      314171 322168 334161 361146 373139 376139 377137 378132 
      383127 386123 388119 391116 395114 399107 402098 410088 
      414083 416080 
 1.00 405079 404078 401078 399079 401081 404080 405079 
 1.00 377126 371121 368116 366114 357115 349113 344113 342116 
      339126 336131 336135 338139 338142 340149 346148 349146 
      358142 364137 367134 370129 377126 
 1.00 317164 319161 317159 315160 314161 312163 313165 316164 
      317164 
 1.50 368122 365119 360119 355117 351116 349117 349120 345121 
      342121 341123 342129 343133 344140 347141 350140 354138 
      359136 362133 364128 368125 368122 
 2.00 360128 361125 359123 357121 354121 351122 348123 347123 
      345123 343123 342123 343126 345130 346134 347135 350135 
      352134 353134 356132 358131 359130 360128  
 
24HR QP VT 23/00Z
 0.01 541197 539187 535181 529173 523165 509150 493137 488132 
      481128 470126 469124 469121 470118 471110 470106 465104 
      461101 459096 454094 451092 444089 436089 432088 432084 
      439082 447080 449081 451079 454073 455066 456059 457052 
      459047 461041 469025 477007 479001 482995 489988 503976 
      510973 516973 519973 523969 526967 528961 530956 531950 
      535939 537933 541928 547916 549912 549906 549897 550892 
      553881 551871 548867 545864 541864 535858 531855 526854 
      523854 516857 510861 505868 497875 489879 483887 480892 
      476898 460908 458908 456906 454901 450888 446877 443871 
      439868 425864 409864 405867 403869 399877 395884 390890 
      362916 352925 346933 342940 332956 324969 317981 310995 
      295026 291033 288042 285051 286057 289061 295060 298059 
      302056 305055 304061 299068 292078 288083 284090 285095 
      287097 294102 299107 297118 296125 299127 309129 329128 
      336139 340142 345143 354141 360142 364146 370151 375152 
      377149 383144 389137 395130 402125 406123 409123 412124 
      415127 417130 419134 421136 425134 430127 432127 433134 
      430146 427155 425159 424162 425166 429167 434164 437165 
      440169 442173 442177 441180 437183 431188 424198 422203 
      420209 417219 414229 411241 410249 410255 410277 410282 
      411288 413293 416298 420303 424305 427304 433298 434295 
      438291 442291 445289 453284 457283 461285 465289 470293 
      474294 479295 487296 495296 501295 504294 509289 516279 
      521266 522256 522250 521246 523243 527238 530234 533229 
 0.01 439684 436677 431675 427676 424679 422680 419679 415679 
      412681 409685 403696 398706 394713 389718 380726 369732 
      356738 350741 344747 341751 339757 341761 343762 348764 
      353765 359765 364765 371763 382759 388756 395751 399747 
      405742 413730 419721 424714 428710 433704 436698 439691 
      439684 
 0.01 427985 426981 423973 419970 416971 411974 407978 403983 
      400985 395997 390007 384015 377023 363039 358047 350054 
      369049 375047 378043 386037 393030 400022 413006 420997 
      424993 426986 427985 
 0.01 378992 379987 377982 371980 365979 360982 354987 350992 
      341003 336006 331011 328015 325022 321029 320035 324035 
      332032 343024 354017 357016 359013 364008 372998 378992 
 0.25 539888 533889 528887 525886 522888 517892 513898 509905 
      504911 500913 496914 492914 485916 479919 474922 469926 
      464932 459937 451944 449944 445941 442934 441924 440913 
      438901 435891 432885 427880 424880 421882 411893 401901 
      393910 380926 371935 361945 352953 344962 337970 333975 
      330981 334983 340982 350975 355971 360967 365963 371965 
      377968 383967 388964 392960 399957 407955 414954 422954 
      426957 430960 433964 435968 437973 437983 436993 433000 
      430008 421020 414030 409042 406048 401053 394058 382061 
      375061 370061 365064 363070 367080 363084 359087 352089 
      346089 340086 334089 328095 321105 316108 315113 318114 
      323114 331113 342117 349119 352118 353115 353110 355107 
      361104 374101 384098 388098 392102 391105 386110 382115 
      377121 376126 380126 390122 399113 401112 406113 410113 
      413110 413103 412097 410088 411083 413081 415076 418072 
      420069 426068 430065 432062 435056 438052 449042 463017 
      468008 474995 481981 484975 489969 509952 511951 513946 
      515938 519929 522919 527913 533906 539888 
 0.25 533215 535206 536196 530184 524177 516170 508165 502163 
      499164 497167 496171 498179 503187 511196 516205 519210 
      523215 529218 533215 
 0.25 514266 517258 516248 514243 511239 505230 499221 495217 
      491213 487215 487219 489224 488229 486237 486244 488250 
      493262 495266 498269 500270 506269 514266 
 0.25 483160 482157 481155 479154 476153 473152 472150 471149 
      468148 467149 465153 467156 470156 473157 476158 476159 
      479161 481161 483160 
 0.25 468240 468231 468227 470223 471219 470216 464214 458213 
      455214 446216 440218 438222 435225 432233 426239 424246 
      425252 430261 435264 438262 445256 452250 459245 465243 
      468240 
 0.25 339058 339051 338049 335048 331052 327052 323055 321059 
      318062 314065 312068 312075 316077 321076 324075 328072 
      332068 335065 337062 339058 
 0.50 532205 532200 531196 530194 529192 526190 523189 522192 
      521196 521201 522202 524206 526208 527208 528208 530208 
      532205 
 0.50 502944 499943 496945 496946 493947 491951 491953 489956 
      492960 494958 497956 498954 500951 501949 502944 502944 
 0.50 477977 477971 475967 470966 465969 454981 437009 428023 
      424030 418037 403064 396068 390068 377068 374066 371068 
      372080 372086 373089 376091 381094 388090 391089 396088 
      402084 406076 409071 416067 424064 427061 430057 433052 
      439047 444044 446041 450035 454027 459020 467004 473990 
      477977 
 0.50 461233 459230 456228 453230 452230 447228 444229 440234 
      438238 436246 441250 444249 448246 452243 457240 460237 
      461233 
 0.50 462225 460221 457221 454222 453222 454224 457225 459228 
      462225 
 0.50 432908 430897 426893 422893 418895 412900 402909 397914 
      392919 387925 383933 378945 372949 374953 377955 380961 
      389957 399948 404946 413944 421941 427935 431920 432908 
 0.50 370954 368953 365954 365955 368954 370954 
 0.50 349113 347110 346106 346099 343096 341092 338092 335095 
      332099 329102 329107 332110 337111 343112 346114 349113 
 0.50 335058 333055 333054 330054 327055 325058 327061 330062 
      333061 335058 
 0.50 324068 321066 319068 318068 318072 319072 320072 321071 
      324068 
 1.00 463005 464001 464996 461996 454003 448011 440019 435028 
      432036 426044 424048 427049 435044 443040 447031 452022 
      457013 463005 
 1.00 404931 402929 402928 399927 396928 395929 394931 392934 
      391934 390938 392941 395941 398938 400936 402936 403933 
      404931  
 




Last Updated: 630 PM EDT TUE OCT 19 2004