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July 1999
World cotton production for 1999/00 is projected at 89.2
million bales, 4.9 million higher than the 84.4 million estimated
for 1998/99. Estimated production in the United States is
increased as area is higher and yield potential is improved due
to favorable weather in Texas and California during planting and
the early crop development stage. Production in China is
estimated lower due to the expected impact of reduced returns
from cotton. Input costs and the risk associated with cotton
production are higher than for competing crops. The production
outlook in the other major cotton producing countries is mixed.
Production in India is estimated down as lower cotton prices
during 1998/99 vis-a-vis those of competing crops like rice,
tobacco, chillies, and coarse grains resulted in a decrease in
cotton area. In Uzbekistan, production is forecast up as
favorable weather patterns during the early months of the growing
season appear to have offset late planting.
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