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Draft Genetic Test
Review
Hereditary Hemochromatosis
Clinical
Validity
Print
Version
CLINICAL VALIDITY
Question
18: How often is the test
positive when the disorder is present?
Question
19:
How often is the test
negative when the disorder is not present?
Question
20:
Are there methods to
resolve clinical false positive results in a timely manner?
Question
21: What is the prevalence
of the disorder in this setting?
Question
22: Has the test been
adequately validated on all populations to which it may be offered?
Question
23: What are the positive
and negative predictive values?
Question
24: What are the
genotype/phenotype relationships?
Question
25: What are the genetic,
environmental or other modifiers?
CLINICAL
VALIDITY
Question 18: How often
is the test positive when the disorder is present?
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Page 3
Summary
- Among non-Hispanic
Caucasians, clinical sensitivity of C282Y homozygosity for
detecting individuals with primary iron overload and associated
morbidity is estimated to be at least 87 percent (95 percent CI
80 to 94%).
- It is based on four
studies totaling 247 individuals, not all of whom were symptomatic
- When the disorder is
defined more rigorously in clinical terms, clinical sensitivity of
the test increases
- Actual clinical
sensitivity is likely to be slightly lower, because analytic
sensitivity is less than 100 percent (estimated in Question 9 to
be 98.4 percent).
- It is not possible
to confidently estimate clinical sensitivity among other
racial/ethnic groups because little, if any, data are published
- Among other
racial/ethnic groups, the sensitivity appears to be lower
- 0% among Hispanic
Caucasians according to 6 cases reported in 1 studies
- 0% among
Black/African Americans according to 14 cases reported in 1
studies
-
0% among Asians/Asian Americans according to 23 cases reported in
2 studies
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Introduction
The definitions of clinical
sensitivity (Question 18) and clinical specificity (Question 19) can be derived
using a two-by-two contingency table for data from case/control or cohort
studies. If the data are from a general population cohort, both positive
predictive and negative predictive values (Question 23) can also be directly
computed. In Table 3-1, the rows are defined by the HFE gene test
results, stratified into two categories; C282Y homozygosity and all other test
results. The HFE gene has been identified as the major genetic factor
leading to iron overload in the Caucasian population, and the C282Y mutation is,
by far, the most important mutation in this gene. The columns are defined by
the specific clinical disorder that the screening test aims to detect – in this
instance, primary iron overload with associated morbidity. The first column
contains all individuals with primary iron overload sufficient to cause
significant morbidity and mortality, and the second column contains all
individuals who do not have the clinical manifestations of iron overload.
Table
3-1. A Two-by-Two
Contingency Table for Deriving the Four Major Clinical Performance
Parameters
* primary iron overload of adult onset associated with significant morbidity
-
Clinical sensitivity [ A / (A + C)
] is the proportion of individuals with clinical manifestations of primary iron
overload (A+C) who are correctly identified as being C282Y homozygotes (A) by
the screening test.
-
Clinical specificity [ D / (B + D)
] is the proportion of individuals not affected with clinical manifestations of
primary iron overload (B+D) who are correctly identified as not being C282Y
homozygotes (D) by the screening test.
-
Positive predictive value [ A / (A
+ B) ] is the proportion of positive tests (A + B) that correctly identify
individuals with clinical manifestations of primary iron overload (A). This can
only be directly derived if the table is derived from a population-based cohort
study.
-
Negative predictive value [ D / (C
+ D) ] is the proportion of negative tests (C + D) that correctly identify
unaffected individuals/controls (D). This also can only be directly derived if
the table is derived from a population-based cohort study.
Definition of clinical
phenotype
In Question 1, a general
definition of the disorder being screened for is stated as: primary iron
overload of adult onset sufficient to cause significant morbidity and
mortality. This definition includes individuals who will develop clinical
manifestations of iron overload in their adult life. A more specific definition
of the clinical phenotype for primary iron overload is needed before selecting
studies that provide data appropriate for assessing clinical validity.
The primary iron overload
phenotype will be defined as:
-
biochemical evidence of iron
overload that includes two or more of the following indices:
-
excess hepatic iron of 80 mmol/g
or more
-
hepatic iron index greater than 1.9
-
histologic stainable iron 3-4+
-
removal of 4 to 5 or more grams of iron by quantitative phlebotomy
-
and
clinical manifestations associated with progressive organ damage (e.g., liver
disease, cardiomyopathy, and arthropathy associated with specific radiological
changes).
Clinical
sensitivity of C282Y testing for primary iron overload
Clinical
sensitivity refers to the proportion of individuals who have, or who are
destined to develop, the primary iron overload phenotype who have a positive
test result for C282Y homozygosity. In contrast, analytic sensitivity describes
how often the laboratory correctly identifies C282Y homozygosity. The
penetrance of this genotype – or the proportion of individuals homozygous for
C282Y who will progress to the primary iron overload phenotype - is not yet
precisely known, but is recognized to be considerably below 100 percent.
The ideal study to assess
clinical performance
The ideal study to assess
clinical performance of HFE testing as a way to detect the primary iron
overload phenotype would be to perform DNA testing in a large population-based
cohort of young adults. This entire population would then be followed at
intervals to determine in whom, and at what age, the phenotype of interest
developed. At the conclusion of the study, it would be possible to fill in the
four critical numbers in Table 3-1. Such a study would not provide the
information in a timely manner and also would not be considered ethically
acceptable.
A realistic study to
assess clinical sensitivity
A more realistic approach
would be to first identify a group of individuals who have the primary iron
overload phenotype (A+C from Table 3-1), and then determine the proportion who
are C282Y homozygotes (A from Table 3-1). This would provide an estimate of
clinical sensitivity, but this design does not allow for the computation of the
positive predictive value (the penetrance) of the genotype. Case or
case-control studies can be used to determine the proportion of individuals
clinically affected with the primary iron overload phenotype who are C282Y
homozygotes. Limitations of this approach include:
-
some studies do not provide information about whether cases might
be from the same family
-
some studies do not provide adequate information about
race/ethnicity (most provide race but few stratify by ethnicity)
-
studies vary widely in their definitions of both clinical
phenotype and iron overload
-
some studies may not have ruled out secondary causes of the iron
overload phenotype (e.g., chronic anemia)
-
some studies may have selection biases (e.g., if C282Y homozygotes
are routinely identified and classified as having the phenotype, they may be
over-represented among individuals recruited into the study)
Clinical sensitivity in
non-Hispanic Caucasians in the United States
Initially, the focus of this
analysis is the non-Hispanic Caucasian population, because most of the iron
overload in this group is associated with the HFE gene. This review uses
the term ‘non-Hispanic Caucasian’ as a surrogate for the more common designation
of ‘northern European Caucasian’. Few, if any, studies published in the U.S.
collect information about country of origin, but many collect information about
race/ethnicity. A total of 10 studies report the frequency of the C282Y
homozygous genotype in non-Hispanic Caucasian individuals previously classified
as having the primary iron overload phenotype, based on biochemical and/or
clinical evidence. Definitions of the primary iron overload phenotype are
variable. Appendix A contains a summary table of all 10 studies. Overall, the
clinical sensitivity ranges from 32 to 91 percent (consensus 69%) and is highly
heterogeneous (c2=155, p< 0.001).
Appendix A has complete information on these estimates.
In order to properly examine
the relationship between C282Y homozygosity and the clinical phenotype, we found
it necessary to exclude some of these studies. Two studies were removed because
they did not rule out secondary causes of iron overload that were likely to be
common in their subjects (Bartolo et al, 1998; Press et al, 1998). A third
study was removed because the population was restricted to iron-overloaded
individuals without manifestations and also included first-degree relatives of
probands (Sham et al., 2000). Two additional studies were removed because they
might have included cases reported in an earlier data set (Bacon et al., 1999;
Barton et al., 2000) and/or because the inclusion of some HLA-identical siblings
of probands could affect genotype frequencies (Bacon et al., 1999). Once these
studies were removed, heterogeneity was greatly reduced. Table 3-2 shows the
remaining five studies, one of which (Beutler et al., 1996) probably had defined
cases adequately, but the manuscript was not sufficiently clear to be sure. The
four remaining study estimates were homogeneous, and the summary estimate of the
clinical sensitivity was 87 percent (95 percent CI 80 to 94%). Raw data from
all 10 studies are available in Appendix A. Exact confidence intervals for
individual studies were computed using the binomial distribution (True Epistat,
Texas).
Table 3-2 Studies That
Can be Used to Compute Clinical Sensitivity of HFE Testing for the Iron
Overload Phenotype among Non-Hispanic Caucasians in the U.S.
a
Definitions of cases:
-
Study 1 = Elevated transferrin
saturation at least twice in the absence of other causes of iron overload
-
Study 2 and study 3 = defined only
by elevated transferrin saturation and serum ferritin
-
Study 4 = All study subjects
satisfied at least 2 of the following 4 criteria (hepatic iron concentration
>4,500 ug/g, hepatic iron index >2.0, 3-4+ stainable iron, removal of at least 4
grams of mobilizable iron).
-
Study 5 = All study subjects were
classified by liver biopsy or quantitative phlebotomy (hepatic iron index >1.9
or removal of at least 5 grams of mobilizable iron).
b
Definitions of cases:
-
Study 1 = subset of probands
satisfying at least 2 of the following 4 criteria (hepatic iron concentration
>4,500 ug/g, hepatic iron index >2.0, 3-4+ stainable iron, removal of at least 4
grams of mobilizable iron).
-
Study 2 = confirmed by liver biopsy
or therapeutic phlebotomy
-
study 3 = not possible to determine
which results were derived from the group with liver biopsy and quantitative
phlebotomy
-
Study 4 = All study subjects
satisfied at least 2 of the following 4 criteria (hepatic iron concentration
>4,500 ug/g, hepatic iron index >2.0, 3-4+ stainable iron, removal of at least 4
grams of mobilizable iron).
-
Study 5 = All study subjects were
classified by liver biopsy or quantitative phlebotomy (hepatic iron index >1.9
or removal of at least 5 grams of mobilizable iron).
Among the five studies shown
in Table 3-2, none stratify their results according to whether or not the
primary iron overload phenotype was present. Instead, cases were defined
according to more limited criteria; namely, measurement of iron indices that
confirmed iron overload biochemically. Column 3 of Table 3-2 lists the clinical
sensitivity as reported in each of the five studies. It was possible to perform
further calculations in four of these studies using supplementary data from the
study to more rigorously define the clinical phenotype. Column 5 shows the
revised clinical sensitivity for the four remaining studies. In the three where
more rigorous definitions were used in this analysis (Studies 3, 6 and 5), the
revised clinical sensitivity was always higher.
Earlier in this section, an
“ideal study” was described that would provide data to define clinical
sensitivity. That study would follow a population-based genotyped cohort
through life to determine the proportion of C282Y homozygotes that develops
clinical manifestations. Such a study is not possible. Instead, the available
studies (Table 3-2) use a combination of biochemical and tissue analyses to
characterize the extent of iron overload as a surrogate for the clinical
phenotype. In addition, many of the individual studies did report some clinical
manifestations, but no study separately provided the proportion of these that
was homozygous. The current analysis demonstrates that the more rigorously the
extent of iron overload is defined, the closer its relationship to C282Y
homozygosity becomes. Clinical sensitivity is known to be less than 100
percent, because a small proportion of individuals with the clinical phenotype
is known not to be homozygous for C282Y mutation. Thus, clinical sensitivity of
C282Y homozygosity for the clinical phenotype is likely to be at least as high
as 87 percent but also must be several percentage points less than 100 percent.
Limitations and strengths of this analysis
The reliability of estimating clinical
sensitivity of C282Y homozygosity for the primary iron overload phenotype is
limited, because the number of acceptable studies (four) and the number of
patients studied (318) is small. In addition, all four studies include some
individuals who did not have clinical manifestations (e.g., liver damage), a key
component of the clinical phenotype. No study included only clinically affected
individuals, and none provided a separate estimate for the clinically affected
subset. The strength of this analysis is in showing that when the studies are
restricted to a more rigorous definition of iron overload, the clinical
sensitivity increases. The clinical sensitivity of C282Y homozygosity may even
higher than that found in the present analysis.
Gap in knowledge The
clinical sensitivity of C282Y homozygosity in individuals with clinical
manifestations and documented iron overload has not yet been defined. Currently,
our estimate of clinical sensitivity of C282Y homozygosity testing is
based mainly on individuals with documented biochemical iron overload who may,
or may not, have clinical manifestations. While this is likely to a reasonable
approximation, it would be worthwhile to attempt to obtain a more appropriate
group for analysis to confirm our estimate.
Figure 3-1 Estimated Clinical Sensitivity of
C282Y Homozygosity in Non-Hispanic Caucasians in the U.S.
The 10 studies identified in our literature
search and summarized in Appendix A, are ordered from lowest to highest clinical
sensitivity. The study number (from Appendix A, Table 3-3) is located on the
horizontal axis, and the clinical sensitivity (open circle) and associated 95
percent confidence intervals (thin vertical lines) are shown on the
vertical-axis. Only four of these studies are used in computing the revised
estimates (bolded circles and thick vertical lines). In three instances, the
estimates are revised (studies 3,4 and 9), and both the original (thin) and
revised (thick) estimates are provided. The horizontal dashed lines indicate
the overall revised consensus estimate of the clinical sensitivity (bold
horizontal line) and 95 percent confidence intervals (thin horizontal lines).
Clinical
Specificity in Other Racial/Ethnic Groups
Hispanic
Caucasians There is limited genotype information for Hispanic
Caucasians with a clinical diagnosis of HHC. One study from Mexico (Ruiz-Arguell
et al., 2000) identified six individuals, none of whom were homozygous
for C282Y (two were heterozygotes).
Blacks/African Americans There is limited genotype information for
Blacks/African Americans with a clinical diagnosis of HHC. One study from
Zimbabwe (Gangaidzo et al., 1999) identified 14 suspected cases of HHC by
autopsy. None of the 28 chromosomes carried a C282Y mutation.
Asians/Asian Americans There is limited genotype information for
Asians/Asian Americans with a clinical diagnosis of HHC. Two studies (Tsui
et al, 2000 and Shiono et al., 2001) identified 12 and 11 cases with
clinical findings suggestive of HHC. None of the 46 chromosomes studies carried
a C282Y mutation.
Appendix
A
Table 3-3. Studies
Reporting Frequencies of the C282Y Homozygous Genotype in Non-Hispanic
Caucasians in the United States with Primary Iron Overload.
a
Definitions of cases
Study 1 = liver biopsy with hepatic stainable
iron of 2+
Study 2 = liver biopsy with elevated hepatic
stainable iron
Study 3 = Elevated TS at least twice in the absence of other known causes of IO.
Study 4 = Ranges from elevated TS and serum
ferritin to confirmation by liver biopsy or therapeutic phlebotomy
Study 5 = Elevated TS at least twice in the
absence of other known causes of IO.
Study 6 = Ranges from elevated TS and serum
ferritin to confirmation by liver biopsy or therapeutic phlebotomy
Study 7 = Ranges from elevated TS and serum
ferritin to confirmation by liver biopsy or therapeutic phlebotomy.
Study 8 = At least 2 of 4 IO criteria (HIC >4,500 ug/g, HII >2.0, 3-4+ stainable iron, >4g mobilizable iron).
Study 9 = Liver biopsy or quantitative phlebotomy
(HII >1.9 or removal of >5g mobilizable iron).
Study 10 = Liver biopsy with 3-4+ hepatic
stainable iron or HII >1.9 or HLA identity to a proband.
Reference
numbers used for Tables 3-2 and 3-3 and Figure 3-1.
1.
Press et al., 1998
2.
Bartolo et
al., 1998
3.
Barton et
al., 1997
4.
Sham et
al., 2000
5.
Barton et
al., 2000
6.
Sham et
al., 1997
7.
Beutler et
al., 1996
8.
Feder et
al., 1996
9.
Brandhagen
et al., 2000
10.
Bacon et al.,
1999
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