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rural population and migration

overview
Population change: the over 65 crowd, Richmond: VA farm and city, natual amenities drive population change, and clothes on the line. Forty-nine million Americans live in nonmetropolitan areas as currently defined. They make up 17 percent of the U.S. population but are spread out across four-fifths of the land area. The 1990s were a period of rebound in rural and small town population growth as more people moved into nonmetro counties than moved out. The nonmetro population grew, as defined at the start of the decade, by 5.3 million, or 10.3 percent, during the 1990s compared with just a 1.3-million increase from 1980 to 1990.

Despite the movement of urban dwellers to the countryside and small towns, metro America had faster population growth than nonmetro America because of a higher birth rate, a lower death rate, and rapid growth from foreign immigration. Since 1994-95, nonmetro population growth has steadily diminished during a time of unprecedented national prosperity as the net inflow of newcomers from metro places has dwindled. More overview...

contents

features
A map shows the percentage change in the Hispanic population from 1990-2000. The darkest shaded counties had growth rates of one hundred percent or more during the decade.New Patterns of Hispanic Settlement in Rural America—Since 1980, the nonmetro Hispanic population in the United States has doubled and is now the most rapidly growing demographic group in rural and small-town America. Many Hispanics in counties that have experienced rapid Hispanic growth are recent U.S. arrivals with relatively low education levels, weak English proficiency, and undocumented status. This ERS report compares socioeconomic indicators for Hispanics living in traditional and new rural destinations and documents the growing residential separation between Hispanics and non-Hispanic Whites during the 1990s, a period when Hispanic population dispersion increased significantly throughout nonmetro counties in all U.S. regions.

Understanding Rural Population Loss—One in four rural counties lost population between 1990 and 2000. Declining farm employment is often cited as the reason. But recent ERS research suggests that the drawback for such counties is less their agriculture than their remoteness and thin settlement, coupled with their lack of natural amenities. Natural amenities, such as varied topography, lakes and ocean shore lines, sunny winters, and temperate summers, are a magnet for population and tourism.

Rural America: Older Rural America—This a special issue on older rural Americans, with articles on population trends and migration, Federal funding in elderly counties, the aging of the farm population and aging trends in Australia. Other feature articles discuss safe drinking water, rural housing prices, and the socioeconomic impacts of the conservation reserve program in North Dakota. Rural Updates in this issue cover hired farmworker earnings and Federal funds to nonmetro counties.

The Shifting Pattern of Black Migration From and Into the Nonmetropolitan South, 1965-95—Between 1965 and 1995, migration of the Black population from the nonmetro (rural and small town) South to places in the North and West declined greatly, shifting instead mostly to the metro South. This movement, in turn, became offset by migration of Blacks into (or back to) rural or small town districts from the cities. Migration lowered the educational level of the nonmetro Black population somewhat by a net loss of college graduates.

Houghton County Courthouse, Houghton, Michigan

County Courthouse Photos

By Calvin L. Beale

recommended readings
Natural Amenities Drive Rural Population Change—This report develops an index of natural amenities, based on climate, topography, and presence of bodies of water, and ties that index to changes in nonmetro population over the past 25 years.

Metropolitan, Urban, and Rural Commuting Areas: Toward a Better Depiction of the United States Settlement System—Classifies U.S. census tracts using measures of urbanization, population density, and daily commuting from the 1990 decennial census and compares tract-based and county-based metro and nonmetro areas.

Migrants Settling Far and Wide in the Rural West—Examines the rebound in nonmetro population growth from the mid-1980s through the early 1990s, caused mostly by changing patterns of net migration. Scenic settings accessible to metro areas continued to attract a disproportionate share of new residents, but record numbers of recent migrants chose more sparsely settled and isolated areas with fewer natural amenities.

Racial/Ethnic Minorities in Rural Areas: Progress and Stagnation, 1980-1990—Examines rural Black, Hispanic, Native American, and Asian and Pacific Islander populations and their economic well-being in the 1980s. Results show minimal progress of minorities as measured by changes in occupation, income, and poverty rates. However, the type and speed of progress was quite different among minority groups and between men and women of the same minority group.

recommended data products
Rural-Urban Continuum Codes—Form a classification scheme that distinguishes metropolitan counties by size and nonmetropolitan counties by degree of urbanization and proximity to metro areas (updated in 2003).

Urban Influence Code—Classifies all U.S. counties by the population size of the largest city within each county, and adjacency to a metropolitan area.

County-level population change—State and county-level data show population change 1990, 2000, and 2003 in data tables and maps.

recent research developments
Click to go to the Population Change and Rural Society Conference Agenda and Abstracts.Conference: Population Change and Rural Society—At the conference, held January 29-30, 2004, leading social scientists presented current work on critical demographic trends and drew conclusions about implications for economic and social life in rural America. For details on topics and speakers, see the agenda. Abstracts of selected presentations are also available.

The Graying of Rural America—This article identifies three critical issues in studying the rural older population: the rural elderly are diverse in terms of their socioeconomic characteristics and geographic concentration, rural elders are more likely to be poorer than their urban counterparts, and rural health services are less accessible and fewer alternatives are available. Policies and programs for the older population must take into account these rural differences. Contact Carolyn Rogers for more information.

Migrants in the Rural South Choose Urban and Natural Amenities—Analyzes recent population growth in the rural South and factors underlying the spatial pattern of net migration within the region. Counties experiencing persistent net outmigration since the 1970s are concentrated in large subregional clusters marked by high poverty, low human capital, and high minority presence. Persistent high inmigration counties face a different set of challenges related to rapid growth.

related briefing rooms

related links
Center for the Study of Rural America, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City—Provides objective analysis of economic and policy issues key to rural America's future.

U.S. Census Bureau—Provides access to a full range of U.S. Census information and data products.

FedStats—Provides easy access to the full range of statistics and information produced by Federal agencies for public use.

maps and images gallery
Rural Gallery—Charts and maps depict information on rural indicators, including population and migration; labor and education; income, poverty, and welfare; housing; and industry.

 

for more information, contact: John Cromartie
web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov
page updated: August 10, 2004

 

 Also at ERS...
latest publications
Rural America At A Glance, 2004

The Conservation Reserve Program: Economic Implications for Rural America

Amber Waves, September 2004

latest data products
Farm and Farm-related Employment

County Typology Codes

Farm Income Data

research emphases
an enhanced quality of life for rural Americans

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Policy Topics>Rural Policy

Rural America

Rural America>Development Programs & Policy

Rural America>Income, Poverty, & Welfare

Rural America>Labor & Education

Rural America>Measuring Rurality

Rural America>Population & Migration

U.S./State Facts

U.S./State Facts>Population, Employment, & Income

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