Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook
provides monthly analysis of current developments in the livestock
and poultry industry, providing data on animal numbers, meat and
egg production, prices, trade, and net returns.
Annual summaries
of the forces that shaped the animal products industries during
the previous year and how those forces are expected to affect the
current year's outlook are available from the Livestock, Dairy,
and Poultry Outlook page. Instead of providing a separate report
covering all the commodities once a year, we will release summaries
for the various commodities in the newsletter as information becomes
available.
U.S. 2003 and 2004
Livestock and Poultry Trade Influenced by Animal Disease and Trade
Restrictions discusses how animal diseases and disease-related
trade restrictions have influenced trade in animal products in the
past few years, with an emphasis on 2003 and forecasts for 2004.
Disease outbreaks and related trade restrictions have slowed previously
expected high growth in many U.S. animal product exports, with U.S.
beef exports most affected.
Savvy Buyers
Spur Food Safety Innovations in Meat Processing finds that the
market incentives that motivate private firms to invest in food
safety innovation seem to be fairly weak. Results from an ERS survey
of U.S. meat and poultry slaughter and processing plants and two
case studies of innovation in the U.S. beef industry reveal development
of a number of mechanisms to overcome that weakness and to stimulate
investment in food safety innovation. For the full report, see Food
Safety Innovation in the United States: Evidence from the Meat Industry.
India's Poultry Sector: Development
and Prospects assess the supply, demand, structure, and policy
factors affecting the growth of the Indian poultry industry, including
the rise of integrated producers who are fostering improved productivity
and reduced marketing costs.
The Poultry Sector
in Middle-Income Countries and Its Feed Requirements: the Case of
Egypt examines the interaction between domestic feed and animal
production and meat and feed imports. Egypt, a country with little
potential for growing feed, illustrates the issues facing many middle-income
countries.
International Trade
of Meat/Poultry Products and Food Safety Issues uses case studies
to evaluate the international trade implications of bovine spongiform
encephalopathy (BSE or mad cow disease), foodborne pathogens (e.g.,
salmonella), and certain production practices (e.g., drug
use for growth promotion) in exporting countries.
Many factors determine the Structure
of the Global Markets for Meat, including the relative availability
of resources for raising and processing animals for meat. Preferences
for various cuts of meat among countries provide opportunities for
international trade.
Manure Management for Water Quality
evaluates the costs of spreading manure on cropland at the farm,
regional, and national levels. EPA regulations enacted in February
2003 require concentrated animal feeding operations (generally the
largest producers of hogs, chicken, dairy, and beef cattle) to meet
nutrient application standards when spreading their manure on cropland
in order to preserve water resources from nitrogen and phosphorus
runoff. USDA is encouraging all animal feeding operations to do
the same. If all operations meet the new standards, increases in
production costs could be felt throughout the food and agricultural
system.
Implications of Russia's New Poultry
Import Quotas examines the impact of new quotas on livestock
imports imposed by Russia in April 2003. One of the quotas is an
absolute quota on poultry meat imports. Because Russia is one of
the largest destinations for U.S. poultry products, the quota could
significantly affect U.S. poultry exports and prices.
U.S.-Mexico
Broiler Trade: A Bird's Eye View examines sanitary requirements
and regulations currently governing the U.S.-Mexico broiler trade.
A sensitivity analysis, using a cost-minimization mathematical programming
model, detects minimal economic impact on the U.S. broiler market
if Mexico is allowed to ship fresh, chilled, and frozen poultry
to the United States.
Growth in
Broiler Production Likely to Slow in 2001 examines factors influencing
the short-term outlook for U.S. broiler production and looks at
the influence of trade on domestic prices.
Confined Animal Production Poses Manure Management Problems
discusses the challenge of handling manure disposal to avoid polluting
water resources, a challenge compounded by the growth in large specialized
livestock growout operations.
User-Fee Financing of USDA's Meat
and Poultry Inspection examines user fees as a method of financing
meat and poultry inspection systems in other countries and offers
suggestions for structuring a program in the United States.
Food Consumption, Prices, and Expenditures,
1970-1997 contains data on per-capita consumption for meats
and livestock products, supply and demand, and wholesale and retail
prices.
An Economic Assessment of Food Safety
Regulations: The New Approach to Meat and Poultry Inspection
evaluates the benefits and costs of reducing microbial pathogens
and preventing foodborne illness using the inspection system called
Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points (HACCP).
Broiler Farms' Organization, Management, and Performance describes
the organization, management, and financial performance of U.S.
broiler farms and considers factors such as farm size, financial
structure, household income, management practices, and spousal participation
in decision making.
for more information, contact:
David J. Harvey
web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov
page updated: July 12, 2004
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