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Energy Demand Forecast and Analysis
- Energy prices and consumption for residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sector

Annual Energy Outlook and Related Products

  • Overview, HTML
    - Energy Consumption
    - Energy Intensity
  • Legislation and Regulations, HTML 
    - Appliance Efficiency Standards
    - Low-Emission Vehicle Program
  • Market Trends, HTML
    - Residential Sector Energy Demand
    - Commercial Sector Energy Demand
    - Industrial Sector Energy Demand
    -
    Transportation Sector Energy Demand
    -
    Energy Demand in Alternative Technology Cases 
  • Forecast Comparisons, HTML
    - Total Energy Consumption
    - Residential and Commercial Sectors
    -
    Industrial Sector
    -
    Transportation Sector

Data Tables (Forecast to 2025) - HTML

  • Appendix A. Reference Case Forecast, Tables A4-A7 - PDF
  • Appendix B. Economic Growth Case Comparisons, Tables B4-B7 - PDF
  • Appendix C. Oil Price Case Comparisons, Tables C4-C7 - PDF
  • Appendix E.  Household Expenditures, Tables E1-E6 - PDF
  • Appendix F. Results from Side Cases, Tables F1-F4 - PDF
  • Supplement Tables
    - Tables 1-10 Consumption by Sector & Census Division - HTMLPDF 
    - Tables 11-20 Prices by Sector and Census Division - HTMLPDF
    - Tables 21-32 Residential, Commercial, and Industrial Sector Data -  HTML, PDF
    - Tables 33-59 Transportation Demand Sector Data - HTML, PDF

Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook

  • House Expenditures Module -  HTML, PDF
  • Residential Demand Module -  HTML, PDF
  • Commercial Demand Module - HTML, PDF
  • Industrial Demand Module - HTML, PDF
  • Transportation Demand Module - HTML, PDF

NEMS: An Overview 2003

  • Residential Demand Module - HTML, PDF
  • Commercial Demand Module - HTML, PDF
  • Industrial Demand Module - HTML, PDF
  • Transportation Demand Module - HTML, PDF

National Energy Modeling System: Model Documentation

  • Residential Sector Demand Module - PDF
  • Commercial Sector Demand Module - PDF
  • Industrial Demand Module - PDF
  • Transportation Demand Module - PDF
  • Transportation Sector Module of the World Energy Projection System - PDF

Analysis Reports and Papers

Modeling and Analysis Papers
-Price Responsiveness in the AEO2003 NEMS Residential and Commercial Buildings Sector Models - HTML, PDF
-Delivered Energy Consumption Projections by Industry in the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 - HTML, PDF
- Measuring Changes in Energy Efficiency for the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 - HTML, PDF
- Outlook for Biomass Ethanol Production and Demand - HTML
- The Northeast Heating Fuel Market: Assessment and Options - HTML
- Modeling Distributed Electricity Generation in the NEMS Buildings Models - HTML, PDF

Special Analysis

Issues in Midterm Analysis and Forecasting 1999
- Price Responsiveness in the NEMS Building Sector Unit
- Sectoral Pricing in a Restructured Electricity Market
- Modeling Technology Learning in the National Energy Modeling System
Issues in Midterm Analysis and Forecasting 1998
- Modeling Technological Change and Diffusion in the Buildings Sector
- The Importance of Location and Housing Type with Respect to Future Residential Sector Energy Use

Energy Price Impacts on the U.S. Economy

Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants With Advanced Technology Scenarios - HTML, PDF
Summary - Analysis of Selected Transportation Fuel Issues Associated with Proposed Energy Legislation - PDF
Analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards for Light Trucks and Increased Alternative Fuel Use -   PDF
Addendum - Methodology for the Assessment of the Macroeconomic Impacts of Stricter CAFE Standards - PDF
Analysis of Efficiency Standards for Air Conditioners, Heat Pumps, and Other Products (S. 1766 Section 921-929,
H.R. 4 Section 124, 142, and 143)
- PDF
The Northeast Heating Fuel Market:  Assessment and Options - HTML, PDF

Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, Carbon Dioxide, and Mercury and a Renewable Portfolio Standard
Chapter 4 - Fuel Market and Macroeconomic Impacts -  HTML
- Industry Employment Impacts
Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide Chapter 4. Fuel Market and Macroeconomic Impacts -  HTML
- Industry Employment Impacts
Analysis of the Impacts of an Early Start for Compliance with the Kyoto Protocol
Chapter 2.  Timing of U.S. Carbon Reductions - HTML
Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets & Economic Activity
Chapter 3.  End-Use Energy Demand
-  Residential, Commercial - HTML
-  Industrial, Transportation - HTML
Appendix B.  Results for the Carbon Reduction Cases, Tables B4-B7 - PDF
Analysis of The Climate Change Technology Initiative: Fiscal Year 2001
Chapter 2.  CCTI Tax Initiative
- Buildings - HTML
- Transportation - HTML
-  Renewable Electricity Generation - HTML
Chapter 3.  Research, Development, and Deployment

Buildings - HTML
- Industry - HTML
- Transportation - HTML
-  Electricity Generation - HTML
-  Renewable Technologies - HTML
Chapter 4. Energy-Efficient Appliances and Equipment - HTML
The Comprehensive Electricity Competition Act: A Comparison of Model Results

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