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Office of Genomics and Disease Prevention

 

Will Genetics Revolutionize Medicine

chromosome in the shape of a question mark



A Public Health Perspective
A s human gene discoveries continue, the usefulness of the resulting information in the practice 
of medicine remains in question. In the July 13, 2000, issue of the New England Journal of MedicineDrs. Neil Holtzman and Teresa Marteau, answer mostly no to the question  “Will genetics revolutionize medicine?”  They argued that genetic information is useful only in extremely rare disorders, where the disease is the inevitable outcome of having the genetic variant. 

They also argued that genetics has limited value in predicting, preventing, or treating common diseases such as cancer, diabetes, and other diseases with multifactorial causation. Based not only on 10 years of human genome research but also on the impact of genetics on the practice of medicine today, Holtzman and Marteau predict that genetics is unlikely to revolutionize medicine. 

Their views, however, stand in contrast to the opinions of many others, including Dr. Francis Collins, Director of the Human Genome Project, who in the “Shattuck Lecture: Medical and Societal Consequences of the Human Genome Project,”  predicts sweeping changes in medicine as early as the year 2010 when individuals conceivably will be able to accurately assess risk for common diseases and determine appropriate intervention strategies based on a personal genetic profile. 

The Public Health Perspective
Let us examine, from a public health perspective, the continuum of opinions on the impact of the human genome project on the practice of medicine.  Holtzman and Marteau paint an accurate picture of the impact of genetics on medicine both today and in the immediate future. They point out many of the issues that limit widespread applications of genetics—the incomplete penetrance of genotypes for common diseases, the limited ability to tailor treatment or prevention to genotypes, the low magnitude of risks conferred by various genotypes for the population at large, and some of the many social issues involved in genetic testing.  

The other end of the spectrum represents the possibilities, perhaps even the goals, for future use of genetic information. Considering the rapid advances in technology in recent years and the continuation of gene discoveries, the possibilities for new methods of detection and prevention are endless. In fact, because most common diseases result from the interaction among several genes and environmental factors (such as diet, drugs, and infectious agents), the same arguments that Holtzman and Marteau raised can be used to show how interacting factors, once discovered, will increase the penetrance of genotypes at single genes and target medical and behavioral interventions, as discussed in the letters to the editor.

Planning for the Future
Nevertheless, careful planning and additional research are needed before we see a new era in medicine.  Medical and public health researchers must continue population-based research studies to increase our understanding of genetic variation and the risk for disease, to determine other associated risk factors and their role in the development of disease, and to address the associated social issues.  Throughout this process, two challenges will face public health agencies. 

Challenges Facing Public Health
The first challenge will be to ensure that validated genetic information is used safely and effectively to prevent disease and improve health, especially in underserved populations. The second challenge will be to protect the public from premature and inappropriate use of genetic information by developing and disseminating timely and ongoing information about the laboratory and clinical performance of genetic tests and their utility in improving health and preventing disease. 

Only after researchers complete clinical and epidemiologic studies on thousands of genes and interacting factors will we have the types of data needed to translate gene discoveries into medical practice in the 21st century. 

 

This page last updated on August 17, 2004