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October 11, 1996
***Election and Campaign Research***
Among the diverse scientific disciplines supported through NSF
research grants, political science yields particularly fascinating and
timely insights during this election season. NSF now supports 130
grants at institutions nationwide to study political elections and
other issues related to voting. Below are examples. For more
information on NSF political science research, please contact George
Chartier, (703) 292-8070, gchartie@nsf.gov
Contents of this Tipsheet:
A significant and growing percentage of images Americans see in TV
political ads are technologically altered to create false or
misleading impressions. Worse: the camera tricks largely succeed in
influencing voting decisions. These are the conclusions of an
NSF-supported study at the University of Oklahoma where researchers
have analyzed more than 2,000 campaign ads broadcast from 1952 to
1992. Lynda Lee Kaid, director of the Political Communication Center,
looked for evidence of manipulations and found plenty: bright color
images of rival candidates were made dark and grainy; sinister shadows
or suspicious blurs were added; faces were stretched; sound and
pictures were slowed to a drunken pace or energized with artificial
speed. Using the same techniques, Kaid and her research team showed
audiences "clean" and altered versions of ads and found that the
distortions did what political advertisers hope for: they swayed
viewers' perceptions and the likelihood of voting for a candidate.
Bottom line: 42 percent of ads in 1992 were deliberately distorted;
early findings suggest that percentage is even higher for the 1996
campaign.
Contact: Lynda Lee Kaid, (405) 325-1571, lkaid@uoknor.edu
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Americans love the principle of democracy, but don't always like to
see its essential process in practice, according to John Hibbing and
Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, University of Nebraska political scientists.
Their NSF-supported research indicates that Americans may defend
democracy's ideals but also deplore the deals and debates -- all the
squabbling among their legislators, and sometimes rancorous exchanges
between the Capitol and the White House -- that epitomize the
democratic process at work. "We want it both ways," says Hibbing.
"We want to know that our democratic system is open, but we don't like
seeing what goes on in committee meetings. It reminds us that the
public is often at odds with itself," which is not the image of a big,
happy family that Americans prefer. The public blames politicians and
the press for creating controversies, and in the long run this denial
of our society's differences and diversity is unhealthy, Hibbing
warns. He and Theiss-Morse turned their research into a book,
"Congress as Public Enemy" (Cambridge University Press, 1995) which
recently won an American Political Science Association award. Contact:
John Hibbing, (402) 472-3220, jhibbing@unlinfo.unl.edu or Elizabeth
Theiss-Morse, (402) 472-3221, eat@unlinfo.unl.edu
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The NSF-funded National Election Studies (NES) program at the
University of Michigan's Institute for Social Research has up to five
decades of data tracing public opinions and electoral behavior. Among
the data: 43 percent of Americans surveyed in 1958 believed that
"people in government waste tax money"; in 1994, 70 percent expressed
that opinion. Offered the statement "Public officials don't care what
people think," 35 percent of those surveyed in 1952 thought so; in
1994, nearly twice as many -- 66 percent -- agreed. Here's another
statistic: During the 1960 Nixon-Kennedy campaign, 21 percent of
Americans surveyed said they wore campaign buttons or displayed bumper
stickers, compared with 11 percent during the 1992 Bush-Clinton race.
NES also has a store of statistics on social and religious
characteristics of the American electorate, public opinion on issues
like health care and affirmative action, and evaluations of political
parties and presidential and congressional candidates. Contact:
Thomas Ivacko, NES administrator; or Steven Rosenstone, NES principal
investigator, (313) 764-5494, nes@umich.edu; or, for data on religion
and politics, call David Leege, a political scientist at the
University of Notre Dame who chairs the NES Board of Overseers,
(219) 631-7809, leege.1@nd.edu
To access the database, see: http://www.umich.edu/~nes
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