Table 32.  Comparison of Energy Consumption, Gross Domestic Product, and Energy Intensity Results
for EIA and Five-Lab Study Analyses

Projection

1990

1996

2010

Five-Lab Study

EIA

Business as Usual

50 HE/LC

Reference

1990+24%

1990+9%

1990+9%
High Technology

Energy Use by Sector
(Quadrillion Btu)

               

 Buildings

29.8 34.3 36.0 32.0 38.6 36.1 32.2 33.3
 Industrial 31.4 34.6 37.4 33.6 40.0 38.5 36.9 34.6
 Transportation 22.7 24.9 32.3 27.8 32.6 31.9 30.5 29.8
   Total 83.9 93.8 105.7 93.4 111.2 106.5 99.6 97.7
Gross Domestic Product                
 Billion 1992 Chain-Weighted Dollars 6,139 6,928 9,185 9,185 9,429 9,333 9,241 9,277a
 Change From Reference Projection
 (Percent) 		— — — 0.0 — -1.0 -2.0 -1.65
Energy Intensity                
 Thousand Btu per Dollar of GDP 13.67 13.54 11.51 10.17 11.79 11.42 10.78 10.54a
 Annual Percent Change, 1996-2010 — — -1.2 -2.0 -1.0 -1.25 -1.65 -1.78
  aThe GDP and intensity values are approximations derived without using the full DRI model.
  — = not applicable.
  Sources: Five-Lab Study—Interlaboratory Working Group on Energy-Efficient and Low-Carbon Technologies, Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions: Potential Impacts of Energy-Efficient and Low Carbon Technologies by 2010 and Beyond (Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, and Argonne National Laboratory, September 1997), Table 1.1. EIA—National Energy Modeling System, runs KYBASE.D080398A, FD24ABV.D080398B, FD09ABV.D080398B, and HITECH09.D080498B.