Ceiling and Visibility

Brown , Barbara G., Jennifer L. Mahoney, Tressa L. Fowler, and Judy Henderson, 2001: Approaches for Verification of Ceiling and Visibility Diagnoses and Forecasts. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

CCFP and Convection

Kay, Michael P, 2004: The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product. Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace, 4-8 October, Hyannis, Massachusetts.

Mahoney, J. L., S. Seseske, J.E. Hart, and M. Kay, 2004: Defining observation fields for verification of spatial forecasts of convection: Part 2. Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace, 4-8 October, Hyannis, Massachusetts.

Mahoney, J.L., P. Kucera, J.E. Hart, and B.G. Brown, 2004: Quality Assessment Report: National Convective Weather Forecast (NCWF-2). Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Mahoney, J.L., J.E. Hart, and B.G. Brown, 2004: Defining observation fields for verification of spatial forecasts of convection. Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 11-15 January, Seattle, Washington.

Mahoney, Jennifer, 2003: Verification of the CCFP. Presentation made to CDM Weather Applications Working Group Meeting.

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, C.A. Davis, R. Bullock, and C. Mueller, 2002: Improved approaches for measuring the quality of convective weather forecasts. Preprints, 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 14-18 January, Orlando, FL., 20-25.

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, J.E. Hart, and C. Fischer: 2002: Using verification techniques to evaluate differences among convective forecasts. Preprints, 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 14-18 January, Orlando, FL., 12-19.

Mahoney, Jennifer Luppens, Barbara G. Brown, Joan E. Hart, and Judy Henderson, 2002: A Statistical Evaluation of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP) and the Convective Significant Weather Advisory (C-Sigmet): 2001 and 2002. Submitted to FAA Weather Research Program (available from mahoney@fsl.noaa.gov).

Brown, Barbara G. and Jennifer L. Mahoney, 2000: Quality Assessment of the National Convective Weather Forecast Product. Submitted to FAA Weather Research Program (available from mahoney@fsl.noaa.gov).

Brown, B.G and J.L. Mahoney, 2000: Quality Assessment for the National Convective Weather Forecast Product. Report, Research Application Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80303, 29 pp (available from the Authors).

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, J. Hart, 2000: Statistical Verification Results for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product. NOAA Technical Report, OAR 457-FSL 6, Boulder, CO 80303.

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, C. Mueller, J.E. Hart, 2000: Convective Intercomparison Exercise: Baseline Statistical Results. 9th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 11-15 September, Orlando, FL.

Hartsough, C.S., J.L. Mahoney, J.K. Henderson, 1999: Verification of the Aviation Weather Center's Convective SIGMET Outlooks using RTVS. Preprint, 8th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 10-15 January, Dallas, TX, 100-104.

Coastal Storms Initiative

Shaw, B., M. Kay, J. Mahoney, J. McGinley, J. Smart, P. Welsch, A. Wildman, J.Savadel, P. Bogenschutz, P. Ruscher: 2004. Applying the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to National Weather Service Forecast Office Operations. Preprints, 16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 January, Seattle, WA.

Icing

Mahoney, J.L., T. Fowler, J. Henderson, C. Fischer, S. Seseske, and B.G. Brown, 2004: Forecast Icing Potential for Alaska (FIP-AK): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Kelsch, M., J.L. Mahoney, T. Fowler, B.G. Brown, J. Henderson, C. Fischer, 2003: Current Icing Potential for Alaska (CIP-AK): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Brown, B.G., T.L. Fowler, J.L. Mahoney, M. Chapman, R.Bullock, and J. Henderson: 2003: Forecast Icing Potential (FIP): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel.

Brown, Barbara G, Tressa L. Fowler, and Jennifer L. Mahoney, 2001: Verification Results for the Integrated Icing Forecast Algorithm (IIFA). Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Brown, Barbara G., Jennifer L. Mahoney, Randy Bullock, Tressa L. Fowler, Judy Henderson, and Andy Loughe, 2001. Quality Assessment Report: Integrated Icing Diagnostic Algorithm (IIDA). Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Precipitation

Loughe, A.F., J.K. Henderson, J.L. Mahoney, E.I. Tollerud, 2001: A Verification Approach Suitable for Assessing the Quality of Model-Based Precipitation Forecasts during Extreme Precipitation Events. Preprint, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, 14-19 January, Albuquerque, NM.

RTVS

Mahoney, Jennifer Luppens, Judy K. Henderson, Barbara G. Brown, Joan E. Hart, Andrew Loughe, Christopher Fischer, and Beth Sigren, 2002: The Real-Time Verification System (RTVS) and its Application to Aviation Weather Forecast. 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May, Portland, OR.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, B.G. Brown, C.S. Hartsough, 1999: Benefits of using FSL's Real-Time Verification System (RTVS) at the NWS/NCEP Aviation Weather Center. Preprint, 8th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 10-15 January, Dallas TX, 95-99.

Fields, H. L., J.L. Mahoney, 1999: The Use of Verification from an Operational Forecaster's Perspective. Preprint, 8th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 10-15 January, Dallas, TX, 105-106.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, 1998: Developing the Real-Time Verification System to Support Aviation Forecasting and Product Development. Preprint, Annales Geophysicae, Part III Space and Planetary Sciences. Supplement III to Volume 6. 20-24 April, Nice, France, European Geophysical Soc., C961.

Mahoney, J.L, J.K. Henderson, B.G. Brown, D. Mathews, and F. Mosher, 1998: Verification of the Aviation Weather Center's In-Flight Aviation Weather Advisories: The Methods, Complexities, and Limitations. Preprints, 14th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences. 11-16 January, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, J65-J69.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, P.A. Miller 1997: Developing FSL's Real-Time Verification System. FSL Forum, Forecast Systems Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO, 4-9 (available from Nita Fullerton 303-497-6995).

Mahoney, J. L., J.K., Henderson, P.A. Miller, 1997: A Description of the Forecast Systems Laboratory's Real-Time Verification System (RTVS). Preprints, 7th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 2-7 February, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, J26 - J31.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, P.A. Miller, L.A. Sherretz, D.M. Rodgers, and M. Moore, 1997: Statistical Evaluation of Edited Icing Grids using FSL's Real-Time Verification System (RTVS). Preprint, 7th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 2-7 February, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 120 - 125.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, P.A. Miller, L.A. Sherretz, D.M. Rodgers, M. Moore, and D. Sims, 1997: Using the FSL Prototype AIV Editor to Edit Icing Grids: A Preliminary Evaluation using the RTVS. NOAA Technical Memorandum, ERL FSL-20, Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80303, pp 14.

Mahoney, J.L., P.A. Miller, J.E. Ramer, T.L. Smith, M.M. Cairns, R.J. Miller, 1996: A Second Evaluation of State-of-the-Atmosphere Variables Generated by the MAPS Surface Assimilation System. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-19, 38 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Mahoney, J.L., C. Hartsough, P.A. Miller, M.M. Cairns, R.J. Miller, 1995: A Second Evaluation of Aviation Impact Variables Generated by LAPS. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-16, 89 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Marroquin, A., J.L. Mahoney, M.M. Cairns, R.J. Miller, 1995: Importance of Statistical Verification of AIVs from Mesoscale Numerical Model Output. Preprints. 6th Conference on Aviation Weather Systems, 15-20 January, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,

Cairns, M.M., R.J. Miller, J. Chen, A. Marroquin, J.L. Mahoney, 1994: A Second Evaluation of Aviation Impact Variables Generated by the ETA Model. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-14, 94 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Cairns, M.M., R.J. Miller, J. Chen, J.L. Mahoney, S.G. Benjamin, J.E. Ramer, T.L. Smith, 1994: A Second Evaluation of Aviation Impact Variables Generated by the MAPS Model. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-13, 96 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Cairns, M.M., J.R. Miller, S.C. Albers, D.L. Birkenheuer, B.D. Jamison, C.S. Hartsough, J.L. Mahoney, A. Marroquin, P.T. McCaslin, J.E. Ramer, J.M. Schmidt, 1993: A Preliminary Evaluation of Aviation-Impact Variables Derived from Numerical Models. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-5, 165 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Turbulence

Takacs, A., L. Holland, M. Chapman, B.G. Brown, J.L. Mahoney, and C. Fischer, 2004: Graphical Turbulence Guidance 2 (GTG2): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Kelsch, M., C. Fischer, J.L. Mahoney, 2003: Forecaster's evaluation of the integrated turbulence forecast algorithm (ITFA), Winter 2003. Preprints, 20th Conference on weather Analysis and Forecasting, 11-15 January, Seattle, WA.

Kelsch, M., C. Fischer, M. Kay, J.L. Mahoney, A. Takacs, T. Fowler, B.G. Brown, J. Wolff, 2003: Forecaster Assessment of Upper Level Guidance from the Integrated Turbulence Forecast Algorithm (ITFA): A Summary of Results for the Winter 2003 Study. Quality Assessment Report submitted to the Turbulence Product Development Team. (Available from the author: Kelsch.edu).

Mahoney, Jennifer Luppens, Tressa Fowler, Barbara G. Brown, Jamie Braid, Chris Fischer, Mike Kay, and Jamie Wolf, 2002: Forecaster Assessment of Turbulence Algorithms: A Summary of Results for the Winter 2002 Study. Submitted to Aviation Weather Research Program Leadership Team.

Brown , Barbara G., Jennifer L. Mahoney, Randy Bullock, Michael B. Chapmen, Chris Fischer, Tressa L. Fowler, Joan E. Hart, and Judy K. Henderson, 2002: Integrated Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm (ITFA): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Mahoney, Jennifer L., Barbara G. Brown, Randy Bullock, Tressa L. Fowler, Chris Fischer, Judy Henderson , and Beth Sigren, 2001: Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison: Winter 2001 Results. FAA Turbulence Product Development Team Report to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from mahoney@fsl.noaa.gov).

Mahoney , Jennifer Luppens, Jamie Braid, Barbara Brown, Tressa Fowler, and Jamie Wolff, 2001: A Forecaster Evaluation of Turbulence Algorithms: A Summary of the Winter 2001 Study. FAA Turbulence Product Development Team Report to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from mahoney@fsl.noaa.gov).

Brown, Barbara G., Jennifer L. Mahoney, Robert Sharman, Jamie Vogt, and Judy Henderson, 2000: Use of Automated Observations for Verification of Turbulence Forecasts. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, R. Bullock, T.L. Fowler, J. Hart, J. Henderson, and A. Loughe, 2000. Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison: Winter 2000 Results. September 2000

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, J.Henderson, T.L. Kane, R. Bullock, and J.E. Hart, 2000. The Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison Exercise: Statistical Verification Results. 9th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 11-15 September, Orlando, FL.

Mahoney, J.L. and B.G. Brown, 2000. Forecaster Assessment of Turbulence Algorithms: A Summary of Results for the Winter 2000 Study. Preprint, FAA Aviation Weather Research Program Turbulence Product Development Team, 25 September 2000.

Brown, B.G, J.L. Mahoney, R. Sharman, J. Vogt, and J. Henderson, 2000: Use of Automated Observations for Verification of Turbulence Forecasts. October.

Brown, B.G, J.L. Mahoney, J. Henderson, T.L. Kane, R. Bullock, J.E. Hart, 2000: The Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison Exercist: Statistical Verification Results. Preprint, 9th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 11-15 September, Orlando, FL.

Brown, B.G, J.L. Mahoney, R. Bullock, J. Henderson, and T.L. Kane, 1999: Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison: 1998-99 Initial Results. Report, Research Application Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80303, 64 pp (available from the Authors).

Marroquin, A., C.M.I.R. Girz, J. Mahoney, 1998: Forecasting Turbulence in the Upper Troposphere. Preprint, Annales Geophysicae, Part III Space and Planetary Sciences. Supplement III to Volume 6. 20-24 April, Nice, France, European Geophysical Soc., C961.

Other

Welsh, P., A. Wildman, B. Shaw, J. Smart, J. McGinley, J.L. Mahoney, and M. Kay, 2004: Implementing and evaluating the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Model at NWS WFO Jacksonville, Florida. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 January, Seattle, Washington.

Shaw, B., M. Kay, J.L. Mahoney, J. McGinley, and J. Smart, 2004: Applying the New Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to National Weather Service forecast office operations. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 January, Seattle, Washington.

Brown, B.G., A. Takacs, J.L. Mahoney, and T. Fowler, 2002: Summary of workshop on forecast verification. Submitted to Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Kay, M. P. and M. E. Baldwin, 2002: Combining objective and subjective information to improve forecast evaluation. Preprints, 19th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting. 11-15 August, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Kain, J. S., M. E. Baldwin, S. J. Weiss, P. R. Janish, G. Carbin, M. P. Kay, and L. Brown, 2002: Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations. Preprints. 15th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 August, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc.