Agriculture in Brazil and Argentina:
Developments and Prospects for Major Field Crops. Recent increases
in international competitiveness by Argentine and Brazilian grain
and soybean producers likely foreshadow continued global trade-share
gains, particularly for soybeans and soybean products. Macroeconomic
and policy developments, particularly those related to exchange
rates, and infrastructure improvements will remain central to each
country's future prospects.
U.S. Agriculture and the Free Trade
Area of the Americas. The Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA),
under negotiation among the United States and 33 countries in the
Western Hemisphere, will progressively liberalize trade and investment
in the region. The FTAA will lead to an estimated 6-percent increase
in annual U.S. agricultural exports to the Hemisphere and a 3-percent
increase in annual U.S. agricultural imports from the Hemisphere.
What Is the
Cause of Growth in Regional Trade: Trade Liberalization or RTA's?
The Case of Agriculture. Intra-regional trade in agriculture
is the driving force behind the growth in world agricultural trade.
Argentina's
Economic Crisis: Can the Ag Sector Help? A simple resolution
to Argentina's severe economic crisis does not appear imminent.
Although devaluation of the Argentine peso could eventually generate
an export-led recovery, agricultural production and exports will
likely be hindered by new export taxes, capital controls, higher
input prices, and tight credit.
Economic
Reforms Remain Critical for Argentina and Brazil. Argentina's
economic reform programs of the 1990s fostered improved economic
performance throughout much of the 1990s, but left many significant
problems untouched. Argentina's economy is still burdened by excessive
regulation and high labor costs, and mounting public debt has undermined
investor confidence in the economy and posed a serious threat to
economic stability.
Argentina's
Economic Reforms Expand Growth Potential For Agriculture. In
the late 1990s, Argentina was poised to realize the full agricultural
production potential afforded by its temperate climate and some
of the world's richest farmland.
U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in
the Western Hemisphere Food Industry. Foreign direct investment
has become the leading means for U.S. processed food companies to
participate in international markets.
How Does Structural
Change in the Global Soybean Market Affect the U.S. Price? South
American soybean production, combined with the U.S. soybean stocks-to-use
ratio, provides a strong basis for forecasting U.S. soybean prices.
South American soybean production accounts for much of the global
structural change that has altered the relationships among U.S.
soybean production, use, stocks, and price.
Many factors determine the Structure
of the Global Markets for Meat, including the relative availability
of resources for raising and processing animals for meat. Countries'
preferences for various cuts of meat provide opportunities for international
trade.
International Evidence on Food
Consumption Patterns. Analysis of major consumption expenditures
across 114 countries indicates that poorer countries are more responsive
to price and income changes and also allocate larger shares of their
total budget to necessities such as food.
for more information, contact:
Jim Stout or Mary
Burfisher
web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov
page updated: June 8, 2004
|